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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks26%9483
23Bucks74%102113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.7
43.1
33.7
20
75%
10
4
1
1
0
4
5
5
3-3
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
1-1
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
39.5
38.4
21
41%
10
3
1
1
0
4
2
8
5-8
63%
8-19
7-14
42%
46%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
28.5
26.8
6
38%
2
2
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.2
23.5
14.1
2
15%
6
2
0
0
1
5
2
4
2-2
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.5
22.1
21.7
10
75%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-6
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
41%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.2
21.8
17.7
12
75%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
8-9
89%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.0
21.1
31.7
2
10%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
20.5
4.9
6
75%
7
2
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
16.4
10.1
4
40%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.4
3.4
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
10.5
0
1-3
45%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.3
9.4
0
1-3
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.4
37.2
20.9
5
39%
7
6
4
1
1
0
0
7
0-1
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.3
31.8
33.7
23
58%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
7-9
78%
8-16
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
28.7
23.7
10
43%
1
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
19.7
28.7
10
79%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
14.6
23.3
3
52%
4
0
1
1
3
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.6
26.6
26.0
18
73%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.0
26.1
16.0
11
56%
8
1
3
1
3
1
1
7
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
47%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.2
26.1
9.7
11
59%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
15.3
15.3
11
81%
4
1
2
0
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.8
7.0
5.7
5
91%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.6
7.0
5.3
6
63%
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
4-4
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
32.1
1
7-14
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.