Final Win Prob. pScore
554%95
92
846%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
96.89595.4
MIA logo Heat
98.09897.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
96
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
96
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
96
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Brown92
96
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen92
96
Q4 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR Anderson92
96
Q4 - 0:05.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)92
96
Q4 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 292
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
96
Q4 - 0:06.0SASParker P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
95
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
95
Q4 - 0:09.0SASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)92
95
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)92
95
Q4 - 0:43.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (24 PTS)92
93
Q4 - 0:51.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)90
93
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)90
93
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
93
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup90
93
Q4 - 1:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 1:15MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)89
93
Q4 - 1:15SASGinobili Driving Layup (21 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 1:18MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)87
93
Q4 - 1:20MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
93
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Brown Driving Layup87
93
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 1:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
91
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
91
Q4 - 2:12MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 2:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 2:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)85
89
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 2:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)85
87
Q4 - 2:47SASBrown L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)85
87
Q4 - 2:47SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)85
87
Q4 - 3:02SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)85
87
Q4 - 3:05MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)85
87
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
84
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot85
84
Q4 - 3:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
84
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup85
84
Q4 - 3:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
84
Q4 - 3:39SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot85
84
Q4 - 3:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
84
Q4 - 3:55MIASUB: Anderson FOR Doleac85
83
Q4 - 3:55SASSUB: Brown FOR Nesterovic85
83
Q4 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound85
83
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 285
83
Q4 - 3:55SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P4.PN)85
83
Q4 - 3:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
83
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot85
83
Q4 - 4:16SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (19 PTS)85
83
Q4 - 4:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
83
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 283
83
Q4 - 4:37MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
83
Q4 - 4:37SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
82
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
82
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot83
82
Q4 - 4:57MIASUB: Doleac FOR Haslem83
82
Q4 - 4:57MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T16)83
82
Q4 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
82
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot83
82
Q4 - 5:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
82
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk83
82
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 5:32MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.PN)81
82
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
82
Q4 - 5:33SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot81
82
Q4 - 5:42SASSUB: Parker FOR Brown81
82
Q4 - 5:42SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udrih81
82
Q4 - 5:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)81
82
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
82
Q4 - 6:09SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)81
80
Q4 - 6:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
80
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
80
Q4 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
80
Q4 - 6:35SASMISS Udrih 6' Jump Bank Shot81
80
Q4 - 6:46MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)81
80
Q4 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
80
Q4 - 7:01MIASUB: Wade FOR Anderson80
80
Q4 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
80
Q4 - 7:01MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.PN)79
80
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
80
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 7:18SASBrown S.FOUL (P2.T4)79
78
Q4 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
78
Q4 - 7:30MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling77
78
Q4 - 7:30MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T4)77
78
Q4 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
78
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 277
78
Q4 - 7:46MIAHEAT Rebound77
78
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 277
78
Q4 - 7:46SASBrown S.FOUL (P1.T3)77
78
Q4 - 8:06SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)77
78
Q4 - 8:26SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
78
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot75
78
Q4 - 8:46SASSUB: Udrih FOR Horry75
78
Q4 - 8:46SASSUB: Duncan FOR Ginobili75
78
Q4 - 8:46SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Parker75
78
Q4 - 8:46MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler75
78
Q4 - 8:46MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac75
78
Q4 - 8:46MIASUB: Haslem FOR Wade75
78
Q4 - 8:4675
78
Q4 - 8:46SASHorry L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)75
78
Q4 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound75
78
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot75
78
Q4 - 9:07MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
78
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
76
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Bank Shot75
76
Q4 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)75
76
Q4 - 9:35SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T1)75
75
Q4 - 9:35MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
75
Q4 - 9:54SASBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)75
73
Q4 - 10:06MIADoleac P.FOUL (P2.T3)72
73
Q4 - 10:21MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)72
73
Q4 - 10:21SASSpurs Rebound72
73
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
73
Q4 - 10:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
73
Q4 - 10:29SASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)72
73
Q4 - 10:48MIADoleac 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
73
Q4 - 11:01SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)72
71
Q4 - 11:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)72
71
Q4 - 11:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
71
Q4 - 11:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
71
Q4 - 11:30MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)70
71
Q4 - 11:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
71
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot70
71
Q4 - 12:0070
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
71
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
71
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
71
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot70
71
Q3 - 0:33.0SASBrown Reverse Layup (2 PTS)70
71
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)68
71
Q3 - 1:01SASParker Driving Layup (22 PTS)68
71
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
71
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
70
Q3 - 1:14SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T4)66
69
Q3 - 1:36SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 1:48MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
69
Q3 - 1:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
69
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot64
69
Q3 - 2:04SASSUB: Horry FOR Massenburg64
69
Q3 - 2:04MIASUB: Anderson FOR Haslem64
69
Q3 - 2:04SASSUB: Brown FOR Duncan64
69
Q3 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
69
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Duncan 12' Fadeaway Jumper64
69
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal64
69
Q3 - 2:32SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry64
69
Q3 - 2:32SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
69
Q3 - 2:38SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
69
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
69
Q3 - 2:51MIAWade Dunk (15 PTS)64
69
Q3 - 3:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)64
67
Q3 - 3:13MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones63
67
Q3 - 3:13MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones63
67
Q3 - 3:13SASSpurs Rebound63
67
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 263
67
Q3 - 3:13MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T3)63
67
Q3 - 3:15MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
67
Q3 - 3:33SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)63
67
Q3 - 3:52MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
67
Q3 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
64
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot61
64
Q3 - 3:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
64
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot61
64
Q3 - 4:23MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)61
64
Q3 - 4:39SASMassenburg Tip Shot (2 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 4:41SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
62
Q3 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
60
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 5:13SASJones STEAL (2 STL)59
60
Q3 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 5:23SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili59
59
Q3 - 5:23MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)59
59
Q3 - 5:23SASMassenburg S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
59
Q3 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (18 PTS)59
59
Q3 - 5:39SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
57
Q3 - 5:54MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)57
57
Q3 - 6:17SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)57
54
Q3 - 6:37MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)54
54
Q3 - 7:01SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)54
52
Q3 - 7:08SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
52
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup51
52
Q3 - 7:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
52
Q3 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup51
52
Q3 - 7:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
52
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 251
52
Q3 - 7:31SASSUB: Massenburg FOR Nesterovic51
52
Q3 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
52
Q3 - 7:31SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
51
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)51
51
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
51
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
51
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)49
51
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
51
Q3 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 8:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
51
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Jones 18' Fadeaway Jumper49
51
Q3 - 8:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
51
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 8:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
51
Q3 - 8:55SASWade STEAL (4 STL)49
48
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)49
48
Q3 - 9:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
46
Q3 - 9:15SASSpurs Rebound48
46
Q3 - 9:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 248
46
Q3 - 9:15MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
46
Q3 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T10)48
46
Q3 - 9:38MIAHEAT Rebound48
46
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot48
46
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
46
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot48
46
Q3 - 9:58SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)48
46
Q3 - 10:14MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)46
46
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)46
44
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
44
Q3 - 10:52SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T1)44
43
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
43
Q3 - 11:05SASDuncan 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
41
Q3 - 11:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
41
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot42
41
Q3 - 11:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
41
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot42
41
Q3 - 12:0042
41
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
41
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)42
41
Q2 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Butler39
41
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)39
41
Q2 - 0:19.0SASSUB: Horry FOR Massenburg39
41
Q2 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones39
41
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)39
41
Q2 - 0:19.0SASSUB: Massenburg FOR Nesterovic39
41
Q2 - 0:41.0SASParker 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)37
41
Q2 - 1:14MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
39
Q2 - 1:16SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)37
39
Q2 - 1:36MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
39
Q2 - 1:41SASWade STEAL (3 STL)37
37
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)37
37
Q2 - 2:16MIAHEAT Rebound37
35
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 2:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)37
35
Q2 - 2:25SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 2:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
35
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
35
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup37
35
Q2 - 3:01SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
35
Q2 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)37
35
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
33
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 3:34MIAAnderson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 3:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 3:47MIASUB: Wade FOR Butler36
31
Q2 - 3:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
31
Q2 - 3:47MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
31
Q2 - 3:51MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
31
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
31
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
31
Q2 - 4:05MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.PN)33
31
Q2 - 4:07MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
31
Q2 - 4:23SASParker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)33
31
Q2 - 4:32MIASUB: Anderson FOR Jones31
31
Q2 - 4:32MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T4)31
31
Q2 - 4:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
31
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
31
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 5:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
31
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)31
31
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 5:36SASNesterovic Violation:Lane29
30
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 5:36SASSUB: Parker FOR Brown29
29
Q2 - 5:36SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udrih29
29
Q2 - 5:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling29
29
Q2 - 5:36MIASUB: Haslem FOR Doleac29
29
Q2 - 5:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade29
29
Q2 - 5:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
29
Q2 - 5:36SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T3)29
29
Q2 - 5:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29
Q2 - 5:48SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 5:56MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
29
Q2 - 6:17SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)29
29
Q2 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
29
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper26
29
Q2 - 6:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
29
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot26
29
Q2 - 6:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)26
29
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup26
29
Q2 - 7:12SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry26
29
Q2 - 7:12SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)26
29
Q2 - 7:12MIAHEAT Rebound26
29
Q2 - 7:13SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot26
29
Q2 - 7:35MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 7:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26
Q2 - 7:51SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot26
26
Q2 - 8:10MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
26
Q2 - 8:30MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 8:43SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
24
Q2 - 8:45SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 8:51MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Anderson26
24
Q2 - 8:51SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Ginobili26
24
Q2 - 8:5126
24
Q2 - 8:51MIADoleac P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
24
Q2 - 9:05SASSpurs Rebound26
24
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 9:23SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
24
Q2 - 9:29MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones26
24
Q2 - 9:29MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)26
24
Q2 - 9:40SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry26
24
Q2 - 9:40MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
24
Q2 - 9:52MIADoleac 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
24
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS)26
22
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
22
Q2 - 10:30SASUdrih S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
21
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
21
Q2 - 10:35MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Brown 7' Hook Shot24
19
Q2 - 10:38SASSpurs Rebound24
19
Q2 - 10:40SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)24
19
Q2 - 10:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
19
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Dooling Layup24
19
Q2 - 11:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q2 - 11:11SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot24
19
Q2 - 11:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
19
Q2 - 11:43SASGinobili 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)24
19
Q2 - 12:0022
19
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
19
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
19
Q1 - 0:23.0SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)22
19
Q1 - 0:38.0MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
19
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
17
Q1 - 0:53.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 219
17
Q1 - 0:53.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 0:53.0MIASUB: Anderson FOR Haslem18
17
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
17
Q1 - 1:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot18
17
Q1 - 1:19SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)18
17
Q1 - 1:31SASSUB: Brown FOR Nesterovic15
17
Q1 - 1:31MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
17
Q1 - 1:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade 3' Finger Roll15
17
Q1 - 1:52SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker15
17
Q1 - 1:52SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T5)15
17
Q1 - 1:52SASParker OFF.Foul (P2)15
17
Q1 - 2:01SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen15
17
Q1 - 2:18MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Parker 5' Running Hook Shot15
15
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 2:42SASSUB: Horry FOR Massenburg15
14
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
14
Q1 - 2:42SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan15
13
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal15
13
Q1 - 2:42SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
13
Q1 - 2:42SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
13
Q1 - 3:00SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)15
13
Q1 - 3:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 3:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
13
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 3:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup12
13
Q1 - 3:50SASWade STEAL (2 STL)12
13
Q1 - 4:02MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 4:40SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili12
13
Q1 - 4:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 4:40MIAHEAT Rebound12
12
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 212
12
Q1 - 4:40SASMassenburg P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
12
Q1 - 4:52SASParker 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
12
Q1 - 5:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
12
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
12
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Massenburg 9' Turnaround Hook Shot10
12
Q1 - 5:25MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
12
Q1 - 5:40SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)10
10
Q1 - 5:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 5:59MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 6:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade Running Dunk (6 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 6:28SASWade STEAL (1 STL)8
8
Q1 - 6:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound8
7
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
7
Q1 - 6:42SASSUB: Massenburg FOR Nesterovic8
7
Q1 - 6:42SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
7
Q1 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
7
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot8
7
Q1 - 7:16SASNesterovic Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 7:26SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
7
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 7:49SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 7:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
7
Q1 - 7:58SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)3
7
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
7
Q1 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
5
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Duncan Layup3
5
Q1 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)3
5
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot3
5
Q1 - 8:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
5
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 23
5
Q1 - 8:53SASNesterovic Violation:Lane3
5
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
5
Q1 - 8:53SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)3
4
Q1 - 8:58SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 9:16SASSpurs Rebound2
4
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 22
4
Q1 - 9:16MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
4
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:12SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:17SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:29SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup0
4
Q1 - 10:51SASJones STEAL (1 STL)0
4
Q1 - 10:51MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Parker: Tip to O'Neal0
4
Q1 - 11:05MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:25SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
20
60%
MIA
17
27
63%
Midrange
SAS
10
42
24%
MIA
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIA
5
7.5
9
56%
83%
Free Throws
SAS
21
25
84%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2455%12.0 / 22
T. Parker2261%11.0 / 18
T. Duncan2056%10.0 / 18
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
D. Brown550%2.5 / 5
R. Nesterovic420%2.0 / 10
B. Barry338%1.5 / 4
B. Udrih375%1.5 / 2
T. Massenburg250%1.0 / 2
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2848%14.0 / 29
S. O'Neal2761%13.5 / 22
E. Jones1250%6.0 / 12
D. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
M. Doleac660%3.0 / 5
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
R. Butler563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
83
+10
-12
93
MIA
81
+6
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
106.6
SAS 96.8
MIA 98.0 +1.1
Pace
91.2
93.9
SAS 95.4
MIA 97.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
SAS 15.1
MIA 14.8 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
SAS 44.9%
MIA 56.0% +11.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.0%
SAS 11.8% −6.5%
MIA 18.3%
ORB %
29.2%
27.0%
SAS 20.0% +5.3%
MIA 14.7%
FTrt
32.9
38.7
SAS 31.6
MIA 44.8 +13.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
57.8%
SAS 58.1% +18.1%
MIA 40.0%
STL %
8.2%
6.8%
SAS 12.6% +6.5%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
9.9%
8.7%
SAS 5.2%
MIA 8.1% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.7%
SAS 49.5%
MIA 54.5% +5.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
63.0%
SAS 60.0%
MIA 63.0% +3.0%
Mid FG%
37.2%
41.0%
SAS 23.8%
MIA 41.9% +18.1%
3P %
36.3%
37.7%
SAS 52.9%
MIA 55.6% +2.7%
FT %
72.4%
67.2%
SAS 84.0% +14.0%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.6%
SAS 25.3%
MIA 40.3% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
42.6%
SAS 53.2%
MIA 46.3% −6.9%
3P Att. %
21.6%
19.8%
SAS 21.5% +8.1%
MIA 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9296
Rebounds3841
Assists1814
Steals126
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)36 (3)
Field Goals31-7935-67
At-the-Rim FG12-2017-27
Midrange FG10-4213-31
2-Point FG22-6230-58
3-Point FG9-175-9
Free Throws21-2521-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
41.1
9
56%
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
37.7
20
56%
9
3
1
2
1
2
1
8
10-12
83%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
36.7
22
61%
1
2
2
0
3
3
1
0
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
36.2
24
55%
7
2
2
0
3
3
1
6
8-9
89%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
24.4
4
20%
11
2
1
0
1
4
4
7
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
20.1
5
50%
0
4
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
12.4
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
11.3
3
75%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
10.7
0
0%
3
1
3
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.4
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
38
18
12
3
12
0
9
29
21-25
84%
22-62
35%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.