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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs54%9592
8Heat46%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.7
41.1
32.9
9
56%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.8
37.7
23.3
20
52%
9
3
1
0
2
1
1
8
10-12
83%
5-14
5-11
36%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
36.7
34.6
22
62%
1
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
5-11
7-13
45%
50%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
36.2
31.7
24
57%
7
2
2
2
0
3
1
6
8-9
89%
8-15
4-8
53%
49%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
24.4
20.1
4
20%
11
2
1
0
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
20.1
16.2
5
50%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.1
12.4
22.0
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
11.3
12.2
3
75%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.5
10.7
13.5
0
0%
3
1
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
9.4
10.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.2
21.7
1
3-7
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
4.5
0
1-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
44.4
38.4
28
50%
5
6
4
1
2
5
1
4
4-4
100%
12-26
7-16
46%
46%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.9
36.4
33.6
27
66%
7
3
0
0
2
3
2
5
11-19
58%
8-12
9-16
67%
55%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
33.5
29.9
11
92%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.3
33.1
37.8
12
53%
6
0
2
1
1
1
0
6
3-3
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
30.5
35.6
2
50%
11
3
0
1
0
3
1
10
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
19.4
13.7
5
87%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.7
16.0
10.7
6
60%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
14.4
16.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
12.2
12.8
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
14.8
0
2-5
42%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.6
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.9
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.