FinalWin Prob.pScore
554%95
92
846%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
96.89595.4
MIA logo MIA
98.09897.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 292
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)92
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)92
12.4%
95
87.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (24 PTS)92
26.7%
93
73.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)90
18.6%
93
81.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
10.1%
93
89.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup90
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 1:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)90
12.5%
93
87.5%
Q4 - 1:15SASGinobili Driving Layup (21 PTS)89
7.5%
93
92.5%
Q4 - 1:18MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)87
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Brown Driving Layup87
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)87
6.6%
93
93.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q4 - 1:51SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
13.2%
91
86.8%
Q4 - 2:12MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
20.6%
91
79.4%
Q4 - 2:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
25.0%
89
75.0%
Q4 - 2:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
22.7%
89
77.3%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)85
21.2%
89
78.8%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)85
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 2:47SASBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)85
25.0%
87
75.0%
Q4 - 3:05MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)85
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
56.8%
84
43.2%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot85
61.3%
84
38.7%
Q4 - 3:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
71.1%
84
28.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup85
64.2%
84
35.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
57.9%
84
42.1%
Q4 - 3:39SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot85
60.8%
84
39.2%
Q4 - 3:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
67.1%
84
32.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 285
70.5%
83
29.5%
Q4 - 3:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
66.6%
83
33.4%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot85
72.4%
83
27.6%
Q4 - 4:16SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (19 PTS)85
66.7%
83
33.3%
Q4 - 4:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
58.4%
83
41.6%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 283
57.0%
83
43.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
53.0%
83
47.0%
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
57.8%
82
42.2%
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot83
60.8%
82
39.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T16)83
67.3%
82
32.7%
Q4 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
57.6%
82
42.4%
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot83
60.1%
82
39.9%
Q4 - 5:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
65.8%
82
34.2%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk83
63.4%
82
36.6%
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
57.6%
82
42.4%
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
55.2%
82
44.8%
Q4 - 5:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
49.6%
82
50.4%
Q4 - 5:33SASMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot81
43.6%
82
56.4%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
49.6%
82
50.4%
Q4 - 6:09SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)81
57.0%
80
43.0%
Q4 - 6:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
65.3%
80
34.7%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
62.8%
80
37.2%
Q4 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
57.1%
80
42.9%
Q4 - 6:35SASMISS Udrih 6' Jump Bank Shot81
59.6%
80
40.4%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)81
65.3%
80
34.7%
Q4 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
57.4%
80
42.6%
Q4 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
55.5%
80
44.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
51.4%
80
48.6%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
54.3%
79
45.7%
Q4 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
57.4%
78
42.6%
Q4 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
55.4%
78
44.6%
Q4 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
51.4%
78
48.6%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 277
50.3%
78
49.7%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 277
47.4%
78
52.6%
Q4 - 8:06SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)77
44.7%
78
55.3%
Q4 - 8:26SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
38.6%
78
61.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot75
36.7%
78
63.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound75
32.5%
78
67.5%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot75
34.3%
78
65.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
45.4%
76
54.6%
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Bank Shot75
47.3%
76
52.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)75
51.6%
76
48.4%
Q4 - 9:35MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
57.6%
75
42.4%
Q4 - 9:54SASBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)75
63.1%
73
36.9%
Q4 - 10:21SASSpurs Rebound72
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
49.8%
73
50.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
45.6%
73
54.4%
Q4 - 10:29SASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)72
47.5%
73
52.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIADoleac 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)72
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q4 - 11:01SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)72
56.5%
71
43.5%
Q4 - 11:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)72
62.0%
71
38.0%
Q4 - 11:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
56.5%
71
43.5%
Q4 - 11:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
55.6%
71
44.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
51.4%
71
48.6%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot70
49.6%
71
50.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
45.7%
71
54.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
45.7%
71
54.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
51.7%
71
48.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot70
50.2%
71
49.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASBrown Reverse Layup (2 PTS)70
46.6%
71
53.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)68
41.5%
71
58.5%
Q3 - 1:01SASParker Driving Layup (22 PTS)68
37.6%
71
62.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
33.3%
71
66.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 1:36SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)66
37.5%
69
62.5%
Q3 - 1:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
33.2%
69
66.8%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot64
32.6%
69
67.4%
Q3 - 2:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Duncan 12' Fadeaway Jumper64
30.8%
69
69.2%
Q3 - 2:38SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
30.8%
69
69.2%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWade Dunk (15 PTS)64
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q3 - 3:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)64
38.7%
67
61.3%
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 263
37.6%
67
62.4%
Q3 - 3:15MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
38.9%
67
61.1%
Q3 - 3:33SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)63
34.5%
67
65.5%
Q3 - 3:52MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
30.7%
67
69.3%
Q3 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
38.6%
64
61.4%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot61
40.0%
64
60.0%
Q3 - 3:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot61
40.4%
64
59.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)61
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q3 - 4:39SASMassenburg Tip Shot (2 PTS)61
47.5%
62
52.5%
Q3 - 4:41SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
43.8%
62
56.2%
Q3 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot59
40.4%
62
59.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS)59
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
48.0%
60
52.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot59
51.1%
60
48.9%
Q3 - 5:13SASJones STEAL (2 STL)59
48.0%
60
52.0%
Q3 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)59
52.4%
60
47.6%
Q3 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Reverse Layup (18 PTS)59
56.6%
59
43.4%
Q3 - 5:39SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
60.3%
57
39.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)57
56.6%
57
43.4%
Q3 - 6:17SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)57
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 6:37MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)54
56.5%
54
43.5%
Q3 - 7:01SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)54
59.3%
52
40.7%
Q3 - 7:08SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup51
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 7:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q3 - 7:16SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup51
49.2%
52
50.8%
Q3 - 7:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
52.3%
52
47.7%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 251
51.7%
52
48.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
50.1%
52
49.9%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)51
51.8%
51
48.2%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)49
48.4%
51
51.6%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q3 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
45.9%
51
54.1%
Q3 - 8:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
48.8%
51
51.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Jones 18' Fadeaway Jumper49
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
44.5%
51
55.5%
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot49
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q3 - 8:48MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
48.8%
51
51.2%
Q3 - 8:55SASWade STEAL (4 STL)49
55.8%
48
44.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)49
59.6%
48
40.4%
Q3 - 9:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
63.0%
46
37.0%
Q3 - 9:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 248
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q3 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T10)48
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIAHEAT Rebound48
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot48
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot48
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q3 - 9:58SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)48
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)46
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)46
59.5%
44
40.5%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
59.8%
43
40.2%
Q3 - 11:05SASDuncan 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q3 - 11:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot42
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot42
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)42
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)39
49.5%
41
50.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASParker 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
47.1%
41
52.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)37
42.9%
41
57.1%
Q2 - 1:14MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 1:16SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)37
48.2%
39
51.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
49.3%
39
50.7%
Q2 - 1:41SASWade STEAL (3 STL)37
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)37
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHEAT Rebound37
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot37
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 2:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)37
62.4%
35
37.6%
Q2 - 2:25SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot37
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 2:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
62.4%
35
37.6%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot37
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup37
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)37
62.4%
35
37.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
64.9%
33
35.1%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot37
65.8%
33
34.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAAnderson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
67.9%
33
32.1%
Q2 - 3:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 3:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
69.7%
31
30.3%
Q2 - 3:51MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
67.9%
31
32.1%
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
64.8%
31
35.2%
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
62.0%
31
38.0%
Q2 - 4:23SASParker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)33
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 4:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
56.5%
31
43.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot31
55.6%
31
44.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot31
54.5%
31
45.5%
Q2 - 5:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
56.5%
31
43.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot31
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)31
53.7%
31
46.3%
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
51.1%
31
48.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 5:48SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot29
54.6%
29
45.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
56.7%
29
43.3%
Q2 - 6:17SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)29
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper26
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 6:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q2 - 6:43SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot26
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 6:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)26
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup26
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHEAT Rebound26
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 7:13SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot26
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
54.1%
26
45.9%
Q2 - 7:51SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot26
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q2 - 8:30MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
58.9%
24
41.1%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot26
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 8:43SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 8:45SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot26
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 9:05SASSpurs Rebound26
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot26
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 9:23SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
58.9%
24
41.1%
Q2 - 9:52MIADoleac 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
61.6%
24
38.4%
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS)26
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
63.7%
21
36.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
65.7%
19
34.3%
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Brown 7' Hook Shot24
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q2 - 10:38SASSpurs Rebound24
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q2 - 10:40SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)24
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q2 - 10:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Dooling Layup24
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q2 - 11:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
65.5%
19
34.5%
Q2 - 11:11SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot24
66.1%
19
33.9%
Q2 - 11:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
67.6%
19
32.4%
Q2 - 11:43SASGinobili 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)24
65.5%
19
34.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
62.7%
19
37.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)22
61.0%
19
39.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 219
58.9%
17
41.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
60.6%
17
39.4%
Q1 - 1:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot18
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 1:19SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)18
56.4%
17
43.6%
Q1 - 1:38SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade 3' Finger Roll15
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 1:52SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T5)15
49.3%
17
50.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
51.7%
17
48.3%
Q1 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
54.1%
15
45.9%
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Parker 5' Running Hook Shot15
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 3:00SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)15
58.7%
13
41.3%
Q1 - 3:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot12
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 3:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup12
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 3:50SASWade STEAL (2 STL)12
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 4:02MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot12
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 212
55.3%
12
44.7%
Q1 - 4:52SASParker 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 5:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
49.9%
12
50.1%
Q1 - 5:09SASMISS Massenburg 9' Turnaround Hook Shot10
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 5:25MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 5:40SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)10
54.1%
10
45.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 6:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
50.7%
10
49.3%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade Running Dunk (6 PTS)8
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 6:28SASWade STEAL (1 STL)8
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 6:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
57.0%
7
43.0%
Q1 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
56.1%
7
43.9%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot8
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 7:16SASNesterovic Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
56.0%
7
44.0%
Q1 - 7:26SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 7:49SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 7:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
48.6%
7
51.4%
Q1 - 7:58SASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)3
47.1%
7
52.9%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Duncan Layup3
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)3
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot3
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 8:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
52.8%
5
47.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 23
52.6%
5
47.4%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 22
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
52.1%
4
47.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 9:35SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot2
51.2%
4
48.8%
Q1 - 9:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
52.1%
4
47.9%
Q1 - 10:12SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)2
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 10:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 10:17SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot0
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 10:29SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup0
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 10:51MIAJump Ball Jones vs. Parker: Tip to O'Neal0
46.8%
4
53.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 11:25SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Haslem0
54.5%
0
45.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
20
60%
MIA
17
27
63%
Midrange
SAS
10
42
24%
MIA
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIA
5
7.5
9
56%
83%
Free Throws
SAS
21
25
84%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2455%12.0 / 22
T. Parker2261%11.0 / 18
T. Duncan2056%10.0 / 18
B. Bowen956%4.5 / 8
D. Brown550%2.5 / 5
R. Nesterovic420%2.0 / 10
B. Barry338%1.5 / 4
B. Udrih375%1.5 / 2
T. Massenburg250%1.0 / 2
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2848%14.0 / 29
S. O'Neal2761%13.5 / 22
E. Jones1250%6.0 / 12
D. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
M. Doleac660%3.0 / 5
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
R. Butler563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
83
+10
-12
93
MIA
81
+6
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
106.6
SAS 96.8
MIA 98.0 +1.1
Pace
91.2
93.9
SAS 95.4
MIA 97.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
SAS 15.1
MIA 14.8 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
SAS 44.9%
MIA 56.0% +11.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.0%
SAS 11.8% +6.5%
MIA 18.3%
ORB %
29.2%
27.0%
SAS 20.0% +5.3%
MIA 14.7%
FTrt
32.9
38.7
SAS 31.6
MIA 44.8 +13.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
57.8%
SAS 58.1% +18.1%
MIA 40.0%
STL %
8.2%
6.8%
SAS 12.6% +6.5%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
9.9%
8.7%
SAS 5.2%
MIA 8.1% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.7%
SAS 49.5%
MIA 54.5% +5.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
63.0%
SAS 60.0%
MIA 63.0% +3.0%
Mid FG%
37.2%
41.0%
SAS 23.8%
MIA 41.9% +18.1%
3P %
36.3%
37.7%
SAS 52.9%
MIA 55.6% +2.7%
FT %
72.4%
67.2%
SAS 84.0% +14.0%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.6%
SAS 25.3%
MIA 40.3% +15.0%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
42.6%
SAS 53.2%
MIA 46.3% +6.9%
3P Att. %
21.6%
19.8%
SAS 21.5% +8.1%
MIA 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9598
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9296
Rebounds3841
Assists1814
Steals126
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)36 (3)
Field Goals31-7935-67
At-the-Rim FG12-2017-27
Midrange FG10-4213-31
2-Point FG22-6230-58
3-Point FG9-175-9
Free Throws21-2521-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
41.1
9
56%
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
37.7
20
56%
9
3
1
2
1
2
1
8
10-12
83%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
36.7
22
61%
1
2
2
0
3
3
1
0
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
36.2
24
55%
7
2
2
0
3
3
1
6
8-9
89%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
24.4
4
20%
11
2
1
0
1
4
4
7
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
20.1
5
50%
0
4
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
12.4
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
11.3
3
75%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
10.7
0
0%
3
1
3
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.4
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
38
18
12
3
12
0
9
29
21-25
84%
22-62
35%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.