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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Bobcats34%9599
32Knicks66%101102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.8
39.5
30.7
14
61%
5
2
0
1
2
0
3
2
6-8
75%
4-8
5-11
50%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
36.6
28.4
13
57%
7
1
2
1
0
3
1
6
7-10
70%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
24.2
21.2
8
37%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
41%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
16.7
19.7
6
60%
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-6
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.3
15.2
29.5
0
0%
0
6
1
2
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.8
32.8
24.6
17
88%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
6-6
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
3-3
100%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.1
24.2
2.5
18
87%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
6-8
0-1
75%
43%
1-1
100%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
23.5
8.6
11
56%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.9
14.7
16.1
10
66%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
8-8
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.0
12.7
21.1
2
14%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
30.7
1
6-12
46%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.4
22.2
0
4-8
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
39.6
40.0
16
69%
1
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
8-8
100%
4-7
7-14
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
33.5
22.9
7
58%
5
4
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
33.5
36.7
12
46%
6
3
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.6
17.4
26.2
6
60%
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
14.8
21.0
6
43%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
33.0
19.1
23
61%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
3-9
33%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.6
27.7
30.8
14
73%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.3
19.1
22.1
14
61%
4
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
8-8
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.8
13.1
7.1
2
27%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.6
8.4
3.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
6.2
0
1-2
48%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.0
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.