FinalWin Prob.pScore
3432%93
94
2168%99
97
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
97.99691.5
ORL logo ORL
99.098103.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL94
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Smith 31' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)94
6.4%
96
93.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHDickau Layup (28 PTS)94
13.1%
95
86.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0NOHHornets Rebound92
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Jacobsen 3PT Jump Shot92
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot92
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 1:03ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 1:03NOHMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 292
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 1:03NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)92
10.1%
95
89.9%
Q4 - 1:05ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Christie 5 AST)91
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 1:22NOHNachbar 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dickau 6 AST)91
12.8%
93
87.2%
Q4 - 1:38ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)88
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 1:58NOHAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 1:58NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)87
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 2:02ORLChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)86
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 2:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 2:18NOHMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 286
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 2:18NOHMISS Rogers Free Throw 1 of 286
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 2:38ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 2:56NOHChristie STEAL (2 STL)86
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 3:03NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 3:05NOHMISS Rogers 21' Jump Shot86
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 3:21ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)86
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 3:25NOHHoward STEAL (1 STL)86
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 3:39NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
18.6%
89
81.4%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q4 - 4:02ORLMAGIC Rebound86
13.2%
89
86.8%
Q4 - 4:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot86
16.6%
89
83.4%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMAGIC Rebound86
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q4 - 4:29NOHMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
14.4%
89
85.6%
Q4 - 4:44ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)86
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q4 - 4:44ORLFrancis Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)86
24.6%
88
75.4%
Q4 - 4:47NOHCato STEAL (2 STL)86
31.8%
86
68.2%
Q4 - 5:05ORLChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)86
39.2%
86
60.8%
Q4 - 5:19NOHDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)86
31.4%
86
68.6%
Q4 - 5:38ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Francis 10 AST)83
19.2%
86
80.8%
Q4 - 5:44ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
24.6%
84
75.4%
Q4 - 5:46NOHCato BLOCK (4 BLK)83
26.7%
84
73.3%
Q4 - 6:02ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q4 - 6:02ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
32.6%
83
67.4%
Q4 - 6:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
37.2%
82
62.8%
Q4 - 6:12NOHMISS Lampe 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
39.7%
82
60.3%
Q4 - 6:32NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
45.7%
82
54.3%
Q4 - 6:32NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 283
38.4%
82
61.6%
Q4 - 6:32NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q4 - 6:49NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
38.3%
82
61.7%
Q4 - 6:52ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper82
35.8%
82
64.2%
Q4 - 7:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 7:10NOHCato BLOCK (3 BLK)82
32.6%
82
67.4%
Q4 - 7:13NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
37.5%
82
62.5%
Q4 - 7:15NOHTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)82
32.6%
82
67.4%
Q4 - 7:23NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
37.5%
82
62.5%
Q4 - 7:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 7:35ORLMISS Francis Reverse Layup82
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 7:50NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 182
31.4%
82
68.6%
Q4 - 7:50NOHSmith 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 7:56NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
25.6%
82
74.4%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 280
24.8%
82
75.2%
Q4 - 7:57ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
21.9%
82
78.1%
Q4 - 7:57ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 7:58ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup80
29.2%
81
70.8%
Q4 - 8:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Francis Layup80
29.4%
81
70.6%
Q4 - 8:22NOHRogers Layup (6 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)80
25.7%
81
74.3%
Q4 - 8:38ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)78
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q4 - 8:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
17.2%
81
82.8%
Q4 - 8:42NOHMISS Nachbar 13' Jump Shot78
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 8:57ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)78
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q4 - 9:05ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
17.7%
81
82.3%
Q4 - 9:07NOHMISS Lampe 11' Jump Hook Shot78
18.8%
81
81.2%
Q4 - 9:30NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 9:43NOHJacobsen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)78
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q4 - 9:43NOHJacobsen 12' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
14.4%
81
85.6%
Q4 - 9:54NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 9:56NOHMISS Vroman 14' Jump Shot75
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q4 - 10:06NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMISS Stevenson 16' Fadeaway Jumper75
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 10:25NOHAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)75
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q4 - 10:38NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q4 - 10:40ORLMISS Garrity 22' Jump Shot75
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 10:51NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 10:51NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 274
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q4 - 10:56NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 10:58ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot74
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q4 - 11:20ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 11:22NOHMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 11:37NOHHornets Rebound74
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q4 - 11:38NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL74
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound74
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 41' 3PT Jump Shot74
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHNachbar Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0NOHVroman Dunk (3 PTS) (Nachbar 3 AST)72
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Vroman Free Throw 2 of 270
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHVroman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHHornets Rebound69
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Andersen 9' Jump Shot69
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHHornets Rebound69
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Vroman 4' Jump Shot69
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 1:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)69
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 1:09ORLTurkoglu Layup (15 PTS)69
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 1:27NOHDickau 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q3 - 1:49ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)66
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 2:04NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)66
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 2:19NOHFrancis STEAL (3 STL)66
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 2:34ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Francis 9 AST)66
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 2:53NOHJacobsen 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dickau 5 AST)66
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 3:13NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 3:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 3:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q3 - 3:23ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 3:25NOHCato BLOCK (2 BLK)64
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q3 - 3:41ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)64
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 3:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 3:45ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot64
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 3:52ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 3:54ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot64
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 4:26NOHDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rogers 3 AST)64
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 4:41ORLHill Layup (11 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)61
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 4:47NOHFrancis STEAL (2 STL)61
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 5:16ORLHill 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)61
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 5:41NOHDickau 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 5:46NOHLampe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 5:48ORLMISS Christie 20' Jump Shot58
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 6:03NOHMISS Rogers 12' Jump Shot58
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 6:27ORLChristie Slam Dunk (8 PTS)58
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 6:31NOHChristie STEAL (1 STL)58
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 6:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)58
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 6:45ORLHoward Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)58
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q3 - 6:52NOHDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)58
20.3%
61
79.7%
Q3 - 7:12ORLFrancis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 7:23ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 7:26NOHMISS Rogers 21' Jump Shot55
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 7:49ORLChristie Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
20.6%
59
79.4%
Q3 - 8:00ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
22.8%
57
77.2%
Q3 - 8:03NOHMISS Dickau 20' Running Jump Shot55
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 8:32ORLCato Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)55
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 8:48NOHSmith Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)55
28.7%
55
71.3%
Q3 - 9:03ORLHill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q3 - 9:24NOHLampe 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)53
28.4%
53
71.6%
Q3 - 9:38NOHHornets Rebound51
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q3 - 9:39ORLMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 10:03ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 10:07NOHMISS Dickau 11' Running Jump Shot51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 10:18NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 10:20NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 10:27NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 10:29NOHMISS Lampe 19' Jump Shot51
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 10:48ORLChristie 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)51
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 11:05NOHCato STEAL (1 STL)51
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q3 - 11:23ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)51
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q3 - 11:38NOHRogers 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)51
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 11:45NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q3 - 11:47ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot49
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL49
27.7%
49
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
27.7%
49
72.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Rogers 16' Jump Shot49
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
30.1%
49
69.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 249
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:05NOHHill BLOCK (1 BLK)49
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 1:17ORLFrancis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)49
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q2 - 1:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:22NOHMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot49
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 1:28ORLChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q2 - 1:33NOHSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)49
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:37NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q2 - 1:39ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot47
26.8%
48
73.2%
Q2 - 1:47NOHHill STEAL (4 STL)47
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 2:05NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 2:07NOHMISS Rogers Reverse Layup47
26.1%
48
73.9%
Q2 - 2:14NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot47
27.0%
48
73.0%
Q2 - 2:28NOHRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
25.4%
48
74.6%
Q2 - 2:28NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 2:33NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper45
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 2:47ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 2:48NOHMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot45
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 3:10ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)45
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q2 - 3:16ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 3:18NOHMISS Lynch 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 3:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 3:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 245
28.3%
45
71.7%
Q2 - 3:55NOHSmith Layup (12 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)45
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 4:00ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)43
25.3%
45
74.7%
Q2 - 4:19NOHDickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)43
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 4:40ORLChristie Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)40
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 4:49ORLMAGIC Rebound40
20.9%
43
79.1%
Q2 - 4:49NOHMISS Rogers 22' Jump Shot40
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 5:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 5:11ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)40
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot40
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 5:20NOHHill STEAL (3 STL)40
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 5:33ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)40
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 5:58NOHJacobsen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)40
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 6:05NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 6:07ORLMISS Hill Layup37
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 6:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 6:15NOHMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot37
19.7%
41
80.3%
Q2 - 6:29ORLTurkoglu Dunk (8 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)37
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 6:35NOHHill STEAL (2 STL)37
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 6:47ORLHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)37
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 6:47ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 6:47NOHCato BLOCK (1 BLK)37
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 7:08ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 137
24.7%
39
75.3%
Q2 - 7:08ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)37
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 7:14ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 7:15NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 7:36ORLStevenson Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 7:59NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 8:12NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
29.1%
35
70.9%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 8:28NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nachbar 2 AST)35
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 8:49ORLBattie 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
25.0%
35
75.0%
Q2 - 9:05NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 9:05NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 232
26.3%
33
73.7%
Q2 - 9:21NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
26.8%
33
73.2%
Q2 - 9:23ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Tip Shot32
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 9:25ORLMISS Turkoglu Finger Roll32
26.1%
33
73.9%
Q2 - 9:37NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)32
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 9:49NOHHornets Rebound30
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 9:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 6' Running Jump Shot30
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 10:15NOHSmith 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 10:36ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)28
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 10:42NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 11:00ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 11:25NOHJacobsen 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)28
26.4%
28
73.6%
Q2 - 11:47ORLGarrity 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)26
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH26
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis Driving Layup (8 PTS)26
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 225
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Stevenson Layup25
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Jacobsen Driving Layup25
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 125
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLStevenson Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q1 - 1:01ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 1:03NOHMISS Nachbar 8' Running Jump Shot25
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 1:24ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 1:24ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:24ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 1:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 1:33NOHFrancis STEAL (1 STL)25
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 1:51ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
38.3%
20
61.7%
Q1 - 2:12NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 2:12NOHAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)24
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 2:26ORLStevenson Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 2:41NOHJacobsen 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)22
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 2:56ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)20
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 3:03ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 3:05NOHMISS Rogers 18' Jump Shot20
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 3:22NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 3:24ORLMISS Hill 9' Turnaround Jump Shot20
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 3:30ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
39.7%
13
60.3%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot20
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 3:40ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 3:42NOHBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)20
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 4:09NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 4:11ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup20
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 4:16ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.0%
13
61.0%
Q1 - 4:18NOHMISS Dickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 4:37ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
41.6%
13
58.4%
Q1 - 4:37ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 4:51NOHJacobsen Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 5:02ORLTurkoglu Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)20
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 5:14ORLMAGIC Rebound20
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 5:16NOHMISS Nachbar 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 5:41NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
48.6%
9
51.4%
Q1 - 5:43ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot20
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 6:07NOHDickau 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)20
45.1%
9
54.9%
Q1 - 6:12ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 6:18NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 6:18NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 6:18NOHBrown Tip Shot (6 PTS)17
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 6:19NOHMISS Dickau Layup15
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 6:41ORLFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
37.4%
9
62.6%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 6:58NOHHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)15
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 7:10ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 7:10ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 7:23NOHDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)15
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 7:38NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 7:41ORLMISS Christie 22' Jump Shot12
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 7:49NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
32.9%
7
67.1%
Q1 - 7:49NOHSmith Layup (4 PTS)12
32.9%
7
67.1%
Q1 - 7:51NOHMISS Dickau Layup10
30.1%
7
69.9%
Q1 - 7:55ORLChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 8:02ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 8:04NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 8:20ORLChristie Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 8:41NOHLynch 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 8:49NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 8:50ORLMISS Howard Layup8
27.5%
7
72.5%
Q1 - 9:00NOHDickau 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 9:22NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Christie 21' Jump Shot6
24.5%
7
75.5%
Q1 - 9:36NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
23.3%
7
76.7%
Q1 - 9:36NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 9:48ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 10:03ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.3%
5
76.7%
Q1 - 10:05NOHMISS Brown Layup4
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 10:13ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)4
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 10:20ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 10:23NOHMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 10:36NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 10:37ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Hook Shot4
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 10:44NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)4
26.1%
3
73.9%
Q1 - 10:59ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
24.9%
3
75.1%
Q1 - 10:59ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 22
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:01NOHHill STEAL (1 STL)2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 11:23ORLHoward Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:38NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Cato vs. Brown: Tip to Rogers0
26.0%
0
74.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
10
21
48%
ORL
21
31
68%
Midrange
NOK
16
36
44%
ORL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
ORL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
NOK
15
24
63%
ORL
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Dickau2882%14.0 / 17
J. Smith2053%10.0 / 19
C. Jacobsen1267%6.0 / 9
P. Brown1056%5.0 / 9
R. Rogers619%3.0 / 16
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
B. Nachbar542%2.5 / 6
J. Vroman338%1.5 / 4
G. Lynch250%1.0 / 2
M. Lampe214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2252%11.0 / 21
H. Turkoglu2250%11.0 / 22
P. Garrity1286%6.0 / 7
G. Hill1146%5.5 / 12
D. Howard1155%5.5 / 10
D. Christie857%4.0 / 7
D. Stevenson643%3.0 / 7
K. Cato375%1.5 / 2
T. Battie2100%1.0 / 1
J. Nelson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
80
+14
-16
94
ORL
82
+11
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.99 49.5%
ORL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.9
101.8
NOH 97.9
ORL 99.0 +1.1
Pace
90.2
97.7
NOH 91.5
ORL 103.1 +11.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.6
NOH 15.7
ORL 14.0 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.6%
47.8%
NOH 49.4%
ORL 51.4% +2.0%
TO %
15.3%
16.0%
NOH 15.0% +1.5%
ORL 16.5%
ORB %
29.2%
30.0%
NOH 23.3%
ORL 24.3% +1.0%
FTrt
27.9
35.0
NOH 30.0
ORL 39.7 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
52.2%
NOH 62.9%
ORL 63.9% +1.0%
STL %
7.4%
7.9%
NOH 7.3%
ORL 12.2% +4.9%
BLK %
6.3%
8.0%
NOH 3.2%
ORL 14.0% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.8%
50.3%
NOH 49.5%
ORL 51.6% +2.1%
Rim FG%
52.2%
57.1%
NOH 47.6%
ORL 67.7% +20.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.0%
NOH 44.4% +6.9%
ORL 37.5%
3P %
31.5%
34.9%
NOH 39.1% +9.1%
ORL 30.0%
FT %
76.6%
75.9%
NOH 62.5%
ORL 75.9% +13.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
35.8%
NOH 26.3%
ORL 42.5% +16.2%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
50.5%
NOH 45.0%
ORL 43.8% +1.2%
3P Att. %
20.1%
13.7%
NOH 28.7% +15.1%
ORL 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsNOHORL
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points9497
Rebounds3842
Assists2223
Steals712
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals35-8036-73
At-the-Rim FG10-2121-31
Midrange FG16-3612-32
2-Point FG26-5733-63
3-Point FG9-233-10
Free Throws15-2422-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
35.4
6
19%
8
3
1
0
3
1
2
6
2-4
50%
2-11
18%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 180 · 26
34.7
28
82%
4
6
2
0
3
6
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
7-9
78%
G · 6'6" 225 · 19
33.1
20
53%
3
3
1
0
4
3
2
1
2-5
40%
9-12
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
20.8
2
50%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 239 · 35
18.7
10
56%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
28.0
12
67%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 221 · 25
27.5
5
42%
0
3
1
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27
23.0
6
60%
8
1
0
1
1
3
1
7
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 275 · 20
14.4
2
14%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24
4.5
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 212 · 26
F · 6'9" 241 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
38
22
7
2
16
0
10
28
15-24
63%
26-57
46%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.