FinalWin Prob.pScore
2327%89
83
973%97
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
92.29082.7
DET logo DET
120.28997.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL83
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 283
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILSantiago 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)83
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETDupree Dunk (2 PTS) (Jenkins 3 AST)81
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILJenkins STEAL (1 STL)81
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:13DETMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DETMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DETDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DETMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MILHamilton Tip Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MILHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MILMISS Williams Layup79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05DETMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MILStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DETJenkins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dupree 1 AST)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DETDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MILMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DETMilicic Dunk (6 PTS) (Jenkins 2 AST)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MILHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55DETArroyo 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26MILStrickland Layup (15 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Jenkins Layup74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48DETPISTONS Rebound74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49MILMISS Strickland Layup74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05DETMISS Dupree Tip Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DETDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09DETMISS Jenkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28DETPISTONS Rebound74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MILMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51DETMISS Milicic 9' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MILStrickland 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DETMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MILVan Horn 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MILMISS James 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DETMilicic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11MILVan Horn 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MILVan Horn Foul Turnover (P1.T12)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Milicic Tip Shot67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47DETMISS Dupree 19' Jump Shot67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01DETPISTONS Rebound67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MILPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DETMISS Jenkins 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58DETArroyo 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 5 AST)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23MILVan Horn Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48DETMilicic Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:12MILVan Horn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43MILJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)61
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:34MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 258
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45MILMISS James 19' Jump Shot58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound58
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS James 34' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)58
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETWallace Dunk (10 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)58
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILStrickland 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:08DETHamilton Layup (14 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)56
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:13MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)56
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:30DETArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)56
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:39MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:50DETMISS Hamilton 28' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 2:02MILMISS James 21' Jump Shot56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:09MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 2:11DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 2:37MILStrickland 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:58DETWallace Dunk (17 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)54
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 3:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot54
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 3:20DETWallace Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)54
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 3:44MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)54
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 3:44MILSmith Layup (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 3:45MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 3:47MILMISS James 18' Jump Shot51
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 4:04DETHamilton Driving Layup (12 PTS)51
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 4:23MILSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 6 AST)51
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:40MILBucks Rebound49
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:41DETMISS Prince Layup49
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:57DETPISTONS Rebound49
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 5:16MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 5:16MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q3 - 5:32DETWallace Layup (15 PTS)47
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 5:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 5:34DETMISS Wallace Layup47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 6:00MILSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 6:14MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 6:41MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)45
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 6:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 6:55DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 7:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 7:08MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 7:36DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)43
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 7:50MILPachulia Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 7:52MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 7:54MILMISS Smith Layup41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 7:59MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 8:01DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 8:14MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 8:26DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 8:26DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 241
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 8:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
0.7%
66
99.3%
Q3 - 8:31MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot41
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 9:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 141
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 9:04DETWallace Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 9:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:21MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:45MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 241
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 241
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:52DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:54MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 10:04MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 10:06DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 10:27MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 10:50DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)41
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 10:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 11:00DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 11:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q3 - 11:22MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot41
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 11:45DETPrince 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)41
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Williams Layup41
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETArroyo Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILArroyo STEAL (3 STL)41
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 241
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 241
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)41
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 1:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q2 - 1:03MILMISS Kukoc 7' Hook Shot41
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 1:22DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 141
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 1:22DETPrince Dunk (9 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)41
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q2 - 1:26MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)41
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 1:43MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 1:44DETMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot41
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 2:11MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)41
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 2:22DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)39
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 2:39MILWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 2:57DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)39
9.0%
49
91.0%
Q2 - 3:03MILArroyo STEAL (2 STL)39
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 3:10MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 3:13DETMISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot39
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 3:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 3:23MILPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)39
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 3:43DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 3:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot39
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 4:19MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:20DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 4:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:30MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot39
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 4:42MILStrickland Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)39
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:42MILStrickland Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)38
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:57DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)37
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 5:03DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 5:05MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot37
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 5:27DETArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)37
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 5:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 5:48MILMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 237
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 5:48MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 6:02MILBucks Rebound36
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 6:03MILMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 6:09MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 6:11DETMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot36
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 6:32MILPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)36
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 6:40MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 6:42DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot34
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 6:55MILJames 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 7:17MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 7:18DETMISS McDyess Layup32
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 7:24MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)32
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 7:41MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 7:43MILMISS Van Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 8:02DETMcDyess Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)32
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 8:07MILStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)32
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 8:22DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)30
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 8:37MILKukoc 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)30
16.0%
34
84.0%
Q2 - 9:04DETMcDyess 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)28
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 9:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 9:18DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot28
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 9:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 9:28DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot28
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 9:49MILJames Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)28
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q2 - 10:11DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 10:11DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)26
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:13MILMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)26
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 10:25DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)26
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 10:28DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.0%
28
81.0%
Q2 - 10:30MILMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot26
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 10:41MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q2 - 10:43MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 10:54MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q2 - 10:57DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot26
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 11:21MILStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 11:41DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)24
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
18.9%
26
81.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)24
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)21
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)21
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 1:03DETPISTONS Rebound21
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 1:04MILMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.9%
24
82.1%
Q1 - 1:27DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 1:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 1:35MILMISS Kukoc 21' Jump Shot21
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 1:41MILMISS Mason Free Throw Technical21
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 1:55DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)21
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 2:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 2:07MILMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot21
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q1 - 2:25DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 2:25DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
27.2%
18
72.8%
Q1 - 2:41MILJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)21
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 2:49MILJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Wallace Layup18
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 2:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Mason Layup18
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 3:09MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)18
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 3:11DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 3:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 3:18MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot18
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q1 - 3:36MILBucks Rebound18
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 3:38DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot18
24.4%
17
75.6%
Q1 - 3:55MILKukoc Layup (4 PTS)18
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 4:14DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)16
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q1 - 4:33MILMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)16
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 4:47DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 4:52DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 4:54MILMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 5:15DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 5:36MILKukoc 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 5:51DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 6:09MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)14
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:09MILGadzuric Layup (7 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)13
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 6:23MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)11
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 211
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 211
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 6:39MILMason 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)11
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 6:42MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 6:44MILMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot9
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 6:50MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 6:53DETMISS Hamilton Layup9
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 7:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:05MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot9
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:23DETWallace 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)9
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:43DETPISTONS Rebound9
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 7:45MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot9
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 8:02MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)9
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot9
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 8:24MILSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)9
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:35MILBucks Rebound7
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:36MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot7
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 8:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)7
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:38MILMISS Smith Layup7
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 8:57DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:57DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 27
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 9:21MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:37DETWallace 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)5
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 9:57MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
20.2%
5
79.8%
Q1 - 10:00MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot5
21.1%
5
78.9%
Q1 - 10:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
20.2%
5
79.8%
Q1 - 10:05DETMISS Wallace Layup5
21.1%
5
78.9%
Q1 - 10:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.2%
5
79.8%
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Kukoc 20' Jump Shot5
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 10:31DETHamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)5
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:41DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot5
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:56MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:56MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:57MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot2
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 10:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:58MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 11:04MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:06DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:21MILGadzuric 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:36DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 11:36DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.2%
1
80.8%
Q1 - 11:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 11:42MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Kukoc0
21.4%
0
78.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.92 46.1%
DET
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
16
28
57%
DET
18
29
62%
Midrange
MIL
14
36
39%
DET
16
31
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
DET
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIL
8
14
57%
DET
18
30
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Strickland1875%9.0 / 12
M. James1343%6.5 / 15
J. Smith1142%5.5 / 13
D. Gadzuric1050%5.0 / 10
K. Van Horn990%4.5 / 5
T. Kukoc633%3.0 / 9
D. Mason627%3.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
M. Williams217%1.0 / 6
Z. Hamilton233%1.0 / 3
D. Santiago2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace1747%8.5 / 18
C. Billups1777%8.5 / 11
R. Hamilton1673%8.0 / 11
C. Arroyo1575%7.5 / 10
T. Prince1350%6.5 / 13
B. Wallace1150%5.5 / 11
D. Milicic850%4.0 / 8
A. McDyess660%3.0 / 5
R. Dupree233%1.0 / 3
H. Jenkins225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+14
-14
90
DET
85
+11
-4
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.92 46.1%
DET
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
103.0
MIL 92.2 +28.0
DET 120.2
Pace
93.5
89.5
MIL 82.7
DET 97.7 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.5
MIL 17.4
DET 14.7 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
47.2%
MIL 46.3%
DET 57.1% +10.8%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
MIL 13.8%
DET 4.2% +9.6%
ORB %
29.0%
31.3%
MIL 26.8% +1.8%
DET 25.0%
FTrt
33.9
33.5
MIL 17.3
DET 38.5 +21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
62.7%
MIL 62.9%
DET 78.0% +15.1%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
MIL 4.4%
DET 7.9% +3.5%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
MIL 6.7%
DET 7.8% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
49.3%
MIL 46.1%
DET 55.7% +9.6%
Rim FG%
54.1%
55.5%
MIL 57.1%
DET 62.1% +5.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.7%
MIL 38.9%
DET 51.6% +12.7%
3P %
35.1%
34.5%
MIL 29.4%
DET 38.9% +9.5%
FT %
77.2%
73.9%
MIL 57.1%
DET 60.0% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
35.1%
MIL 34.6%
DET 37.2% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
48.5%
MIL 44.4%
DET 39.7% +4.7%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.4%
MIL 21.0%
DET 23.1% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points83107
Rebounds4140
Assists2232
Steals47
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)4 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (5)
Field Goals35-8141-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2818-29
Midrange FG14-3616-31
2-Point FG30-6434-60
3-Point FG5-177-18
Free Throws8-1418-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 36
31.9
6
33%
0
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 222 · 27
31.7
6
27%
1
3
0
1
3
2
0
1
2-5
40%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
29.7
2
17%
3
8
1
0
4
5
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 30
25.7
11
42%
7
0
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
25.4
10
50%
13
0
1
1
0
4
3
10
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
30.3
13
43%
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-9
33%
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
27.7
18
75%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 245 · 29
15.9
9
90%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
14.1
4
67%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30
6.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 256 · 29
1.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
41
22
4
4
14
0
11
30
8-14
57%
30-64
47%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.