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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks27%8983
9Pistons73%97107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.4
31.9
27.5
6
33%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.3
31.7
32.4
6
27%
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
2-5
40%
2-9
5-12
22%
44%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
29.7
25.5
2
17%
3
8
1
1
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
25.7
24.5
11
44%
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
7
1-1
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
25.4
19.3
10
56%
13
0
1
1
1
0
3
10
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.6
30.3
25.7
13
43%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
3-9
33%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.2
27.7
17.1
18
71%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
6-9
1-4
67%
40%
1-2
50%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
15.9
15.2
9
90%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.0
14.1
20.2
4
67%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.8
6.4
6.4
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.6
1.2
6.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
20.3
0
4-8
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.0
38.6
34.6
13
53%
6
4
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
33.9
30.2
11
54%
12
5
1
1
0
0
2
10
1-5
20%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.0
33.8
35.2
16
74%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.4
33.1
30.4
17
48%
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
7
1-4
25%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.4
27.9
31.7
17
80%
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
3-3
3-6
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.5
25.9
19.8
15
78%
2
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.7
13.4
7.0
8
52%
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
0
2-4
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
9.7
24.7
6
60%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.1
8.7
12.6
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
8.7
5.6
2
25%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.2
6.3
4.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.4
0.9
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.