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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
31Wizards55%9996
34Hornets45%9798
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
48.0
38.3
34
52%
4
6
4
2
1
2
1
3
8-9
89%
10-17
6-13
59%
46%
2-12
17%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
43.4
36.4
30
56%
12
1
0
1
0
1
5
7
9-11
82%
6-17
7-13
35%
50%
3-5
60%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
35.4
21.3
4
40%
7
2
0
1
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.2
27.5
24.0
8
103%
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.5
24.8
31.8
8
58%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
17.1
20.4
2
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
16.2
20.7
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.1
10.8
17.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.5
9.7
4.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.0
7.0
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.2
10.2
0
1-2
42%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 29.0
5.6
0
1-1
43%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.3
40.9
27.9
13
57%
7
2
1
1
1
2
5
2
1-1
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.4
37.0
32.0
18
58%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-8
38%
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.4
36.6
32.9
10
31%
0
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
1-7
14%
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.7
28.4
34.3
12
46%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
44%
2-5
40%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
23.3
22.7
6
60%
9
5
0
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
26.7
19.9
16
74%
9
3
2
0
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
48%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.6
24.7
23.2
15
76%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
42%
1-3
33%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
22.3
25.8
8
47%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.8
10.3
1
1-3
44%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.0
9.2
0
2-4
48%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.0
7.8
0
1-3
46%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.7
5.4
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.