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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 15, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards23%9593
10Rockets77%105123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
38.9
41.1
11
36%
4
9
4
2
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-6
6-14
17%
44%
2-8
25%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.5
38.4
29.1
21
59%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
40%
1-4
25%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
37.5
38.5
23
60%
7
3
0
1
0
4
2
5
4-5
80%
8-12
7-14
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
28.5
26.4
2
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.2
23.7
25.2
16
62%
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
1
2-2
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.0
24.0
8.3
8
58%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
2-5
40%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
20.2
19.3
6
34%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
2-4
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
8.3
19.2
4
41%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.1
8.3
15.1
2
41%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
37%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.5
8.2
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.7
4.1
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.2
8.0
0
1-1
39%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 29.0
4.5
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.3
40.7
31.2
18
64%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
42%
2-6
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
40.2
38.9
34
73%
6
9
2
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
11-13
7-15
85%
48%
3-9
33%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.9
31.9
34.5
6
50%
10
6
2
1
1
5
2
8
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.4
31.0
30.2
23
80%
9
1
1
0
4
2
3
6
1-1
100%
11-14
7-12
79%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.0
28.9
31.7
18
61%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
18.4
17.8
6
100%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.8
18.0
14.0
13
111%
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
3-3
100%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.6
17.0
14.7
4
58%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.6
7.4
9.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.2
3.3
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 23.0
3.3
2.2
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.