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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 22, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Heat54%98101
23Bulls46%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
46.8
39.6
21
48%
6
11
4
2
3
7
0
6
2-4
50%
8-18
8-17
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.3
43.2
27.5
15
61%
9
5
1
1
1
2
1
8
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
40.7
30.5
18
57%
8
5
0
1
1
3
0
8
1-2
50%
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.7
35.0
28.6
13
55%
9
0
2
1
0
2
2
7
1-4
25%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.0
1.8
32.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
8-14
-
56%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
26.6
23.4
4
40%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.7
20.4
18.3
8
82%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
4-4
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
19.8
11.3
6
39%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.6
18.6
2.8
11
71%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
5-5
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.8
12.3
15.8
5
43%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
9.4
0
1-2
42%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.9
2.9
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
43.5
38.1
9
23%
4
7
1
2
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-13
4-10
23%
42%
1-6
17%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
39.6
34.4
14
46%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-5
80%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.5
33.4
24.5
9
42%
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
38%
1-4
25%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.2
26.9
34.6
16
55%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
6-12
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
18.1
24.0
5
64%
10
0
1
0
0
3
4
6
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.4
29.5
18.4
6
68%
12
0
4
1
0
2
7
5
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.9
24.2
25.7
29
61%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
3-12
4-10
25%
45%
6-9
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.2
16.1
16.3
7
55%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
8.3
4.5
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.6
4.4
3.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.9
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.3
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.