FinalWin Prob.pScore
954%98
101
2346%97
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.310696.5
CHI logo CHI
97.210897.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
105
100%
OT1 - 0:06.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
1.8%
105
98.2%
OT1 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 2101
2.3%
104
97.7%
OT1 - 0:06.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
1.6%
104
98.4%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
2.7%
104
97.3%
OT1 - 0:12.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
9.0%
104
91.0%
OT1 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 2 of 2101
8.5%
104
91.5%
OT1 - 0:13.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)101
4.8%
104
95.2%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)101
8.5%
103
91.5%
OT1 - 0:22.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
2.3%
103
97.7%
OT1 - 0:24.0CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 298
2.1%
103
97.9%
OT1 - 0:24.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)98
1.2%
103
98.8%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)98
2.1%
102
97.9%
OT1 - 0:43.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
9.2%
102
90.8%
OT1 - 0:43.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
10.4%
101
89.6%
OT1 - 0:45.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
16.0%
100
84.0%
OT1 - 0:49.0CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
25.7%
100
74.3%
OT1 - 1:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)98
18.7%
100
81.3%
OT1 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
7.4%
100
92.6%
OT1 - 1:12CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot95
6.5%
100
93.5%
OT1 - 1:24MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
5.3%
100
94.7%
OT1 - 1:33CHIChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T16)92
2.5%
100
97.5%
OT1 - 1:42CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
1.7%
100
98.3%
OT1 - 1:45MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot92
2.1%
100
97.9%
OT1 - 2:11CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)92
3.9%
100
96.1%
OT1 - 2:31CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
7.7%
97
92.3%
OT1 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot92
9.4%
97
90.6%
OT1 - 2:43MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
14.7%
97
85.3%
OT1 - 2:44CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
7.7%
97
92.3%
OT1 - 2:44CHIMISS Deng Tip Shot92
12.1%
97
87.9%
OT1 - 2:46CHIMISS Duhon 4' Jump Shot92
12.1%
97
87.9%
OT1 - 2:58MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)92
9.3%
97
90.7%
OT1 - 3:14CHIGordon 5' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
15.8%
97
84.2%
OT1 - 3:33MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)92
24.8%
95
75.2%
OT1 - 3:49CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
31.9%
95
68.1%
OT1 - 4:09CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)92
48.9%
92
51.1%
OT1 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot92
52.0%
92
48.0%
OT1 - 4:29CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)92
58.8%
92
41.2%
OT1 - 5:00CHIJump Ball Chandler vs. Haslem: Tip to Hinrich92
48.7%
92
51.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot90
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)90
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIBULLS Rebound90
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot90
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
14.6%
92
85.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
28.4%
92
71.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
60.6%
89
39.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
65.4%
89
34.6%
Q4 - 1:07CHIGordon 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Duhon 6 AST)90
73.7%
89
26.3%
Q4 - 1:18CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
88.4%
86
11.6%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot90
90.1%
86
9.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
91.9%
86
8.1%
Q4 - 1:42CHIMISS Gordon Layup90
90.5%
86
9.5%
Q4 - 1:47MIADuhon STEAL (2 STL)90
86.3%
86
13.7%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
91.5%
86
8.5%
Q4 - 2:02CHIMISS Duhon 8' Jump Shot90
90.1%
86
9.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAAnderson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)90
85.0%
86
15.0%
Q4 - 2:46CHIDuhon Running Layup (7 PTS)88
81.7%
86
18.3%
Q4 - 2:52CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)88
83.0%
84
17.0%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
85.3%
84
14.7%
Q4 - 3:25CHIGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
90.0%
84
10.0%
Q4 - 3:41MIAAnderson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)88
92.7%
81
7.3%
Q4 - 3:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
90.1%
81
9.9%
Q4 - 3:53CHIMISS Deng Layup86
89.1%
81
10.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAChandler STEAL (4 STL)86
86.2%
81
13.8%
Q4 - 4:12CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
90.4%
81
9.6%
Q4 - 4:12CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
91.1%
80
8.9%
Q4 - 4:27CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 286
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 286
94.7%
79
5.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
95.3%
79
4.7%
Q4 - 4:44CHIMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot86
94.7%
79
5.3%
Q4 - 4:53CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)86
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
93.9%
79
6.1%
Q4 - 5:11CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
93.5%
79
6.5%
Q4 - 5:22MIAZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
95.2%
77
4.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 285
94.9%
77
5.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
95.4%
77
4.6%
Q4 - 5:42CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot85
94.9%
77
5.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
93.6%
77
6.4%
Q4 - 6:12CHICurry Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Duhon 5 AST)83
89.7%
77
10.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHaslem Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)83
91.9%
75
8.1%
Q4 - 6:49MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
89.8%
75
10.2%
Q4 - 6:51CHIMISS Duhon 8' Jump Shot81
88.8%
75
11.2%
Q4 - 7:09MIAZhi-zhi 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)81
84.5%
75
15.5%
Q4 - 7:29CHIDeng Running Layup (12 PTS)79
81.2%
75
18.8%
Q4 - 7:48MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)79
84.6%
73
15.4%
Q4 - 8:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
86.4%
73
13.6%
Q4 - 8:05CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
85.5%
73
14.5%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)79
83.2%
73
16.8%
Q4 - 8:28MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
79.4%
73
20.6%
Q4 - 8:30CHIMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot77
78.1%
73
21.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAZhi-zhi 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
74.8%
73
25.2%
Q4 - 8:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
69.8%
73
30.2%
Q4 - 8:56CHIMISS Griffin 20' Jump Shot75
68.1%
73
31.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)75
63.6%
73
36.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
69.2%
73
30.8%
Q4 - 9:35CHIMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot75
67.6%
73
32.4%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 175
64.4%
73
35.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)75
63.6%
73
36.4%
Q4 - 9:56CHIChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T13)73
58.1%
73
41.9%
Q4 - 10:14CHIBULLS Rebound73
51.8%
73
48.2%
Q4 - 10:14CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw Clear Path73
51.8%
73
48.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIAChandler STEAL (3 STL)73
51.8%
73
48.2%
Q4 - 10:30CHIGriffin 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)73
57.9%
73
42.1%
Q4 - 10:44CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)73
63.0%
71
37.0%
Q4 - 10:47CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
66.9%
71
33.1%
Q4 - 10:55CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)73
63.0%
71
37.0%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot73
64.7%
71
35.3%
Q4 - 11:21CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)73
67.4%
71
32.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)73
76.0%
68
24.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI73
80.0%
68
20.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
76.0%
68
24.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
71.4%
68
28.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Hook Shot71
70.1%
68
29.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)71
67.1%
68
32.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHIMISS Hinrich Layup71
70.1%
68
29.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
67.1%
68
32.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
66.3%
68
33.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)69
71.4%
66
28.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 169
70.9%
66
29.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIHinrich Layup (9 PTS)69
71.4%
66
28.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIADooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)69
74.6%
64
25.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
78.3%
64
21.7%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot69
75.8%
64
24.2%
Q3 - 1:28CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)69
78.3%
64
21.7%
Q3 - 1:28CHIChandler Layup (4 PTS)69
78.3%
64
21.7%
Q3 - 1:30CHIMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot69
83.4%
62
16.6%
Q3 - 1:44MIAZhi-zhi 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)69
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q3 - 1:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
78.3%
62
21.7%
Q3 - 2:02CHIMISS Gordon 9' Jump Shot67
76.1%
62
23.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAZhi-zhi Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
73.5%
62
26.5%
Q3 - 2:41CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
70.1%
62
29.9%
Q3 - 2:41CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
70.7%
61
29.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)65
73.5%
60
26.5%
Q3 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound63
69.7%
60
30.3%
Q3 - 3:10CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
68.4%
60
31.6%
Q3 - 3:18CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 3:20CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot63
68.4%
60
31.6%
Q3 - 3:23CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade Dunk63
66.8%
60
33.2%
Q3 - 3:31CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
69.7%
60
30.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAZhi-zhi 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 4:05CHICurry 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)61
61.5%
60
38.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)61
64.9%
58
35.1%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
69.3%
58
30.7%
Q3 - 4:14CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot61
68.0%
58
32.0%
Q3 - 4:27CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
64.9%
58
35.1%
Q3 - 4:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
69.3%
58
30.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Allen Layup61
66.3%
58
33.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot61
66.3%
58
33.7%
Q3 - 4:54CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
69.3%
58
30.7%
Q3 - 4:54CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
70.1%
57
29.9%
Q3 - 4:59CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
72.4%
56
27.6%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
73.1%
56
26.9%
Q3 - 5:11CHIDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)61
75.4%
56
24.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)61
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
65.1%
56
34.9%
Q3 - 5:42CHIMISS Deng Layup58
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 5:46CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
60.9%
56
39.1%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot58
62.2%
56
37.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
65.1%
56
34.9%
Q3 - 6:00CHIMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot58
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)58
60.7%
56
39.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHeat Rebound55
53.1%
56
46.9%
Q3 - 6:42CHIMISS Curry 7' Jump Shot55
51.8%
56
48.2%
Q3 - 6:56CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot55
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q3 - 7:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
52.9%
56
47.1%
Q3 - 7:11CHIMISS Curry 8' Hook Shot55
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 7:25CHIBULLS Rebound55
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot55
49.9%
56
50.1%
Q3 - 7:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
53.0%
56
47.0%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
49.9%
56
50.1%
Q3 - 7:45CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 155
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 7:45CHIDeng Layup (8 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)55
53.0%
56
47.0%
Q3 - 7:47MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)55
56.3%
54
43.7%
Q3 - 7:59CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
60.6%
54
39.4%
Q3 - 7:59CHICurry 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)55
64.2%
53
35.8%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade Layup (14 PTS)55
67.2%
51
32.8%
Q3 - 8:28CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
64.2%
51
35.8%
Q3 - 8:28CHICurry Layup (8 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)53
67.6%
50
32.4%
Q3 - 8:34CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot53
71.5%
48
28.5%
Q3 - 8:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
73.9%
48
26.1%
Q3 - 8:50CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot53
72.8%
48
27.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
70.1%
48
29.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
67.1%
48
32.9%
Q3 - 9:21CHIMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
66.0%
48
34.0%
Q3 - 9:36MIAHaslem 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
63.7%
48
36.3%
Q3 - 10:03CHIDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)49
60.6%
48
39.4%
Q3 - 10:10CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q3 - 10:13CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
69.1%
45
30.9%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical49
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q3 - 10:27CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 249
67.2%
45
32.8%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 249
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q3 - 10:44CHIDeng Layup (6 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)49
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)49
72.7%
43
27.3%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
69.9%
43
30.1%
Q3 - 11:14CHIMISS Curry 13' Jump Shot47
69.0%
43
31.0%
Q3 - 11:31MIAJones Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
66.8%
43
33.2%
Q3 - 11:36CHICurry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)45
63.9%
43
36.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIDuhon 10' Running Layup (2 PTS)45
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot45
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIPiatkowski 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)45
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
75.2%
38
24.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 245
76.7%
38
23.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
77.6%
37
22.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0CHIMISS Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
78.7%
37
21.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
77.6%
37
22.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
77.1%
37
22.9%
Q2 - 1:09CHIHarrington Layup (4 PTS)44
76.2%
37
23.8%
Q2 - 1:11CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 1:14CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot44
80.2%
35
19.8%
Q2 - 1:33CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot44
79.8%
35
20.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 1:51CHIMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot44
80.3%
35
19.7%
Q2 - 2:13CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
78.5%
35
21.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade Layup44
79.1%
35
20.9%
Q2 - 2:35CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)44
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
84.2%
32
15.8%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
83.9%
32
16.1%
Q2 - 2:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
82.3%
32
17.7%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot42
81.1%
32
18.9%
Q2 - 3:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
81.7%
32
18.3%
Q2 - 3:19CHIMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 242
81.4%
32
18.6%
Q2 - 3:19CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
80.2%
32
19.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
81.5%
31
18.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHeat Rebound40
79.8%
31
20.2%
Q2 - 3:30CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot40
79.2%
31
20.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
77.6%
31
22.4%
Q2 - 3:57CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)38
75.7%
31
24.3%
Q2 - 4:16CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
72.8%
31
27.2%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot38
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot38
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 4:36MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 4:38CHIMISS Curry Layup38
74.4%
31
25.6%
Q2 - 4:49CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
72.8%
31
27.2%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot38
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 4:57MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)38
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 5:17CHIHinrich 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)37
72.7%
31
27.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAChandler STEAL (2 STL)37
74.7%
29
25.3%
Q2 - 5:34CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
76.9%
29
23.1%
Q2 - 5:34CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 237
77.5%
28
22.5%
Q2 - 5:45CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
76.8%
28
23.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 237
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 5:48MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
78.4%
28
21.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
76.9%
28
23.1%
Q2 - 5:57CHIMISS Nocioni 13' Jump Shot36
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
74.2%
28
25.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)35
72.1%
28
27.9%
Q2 - 6:35CHICurry 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)33
70.3%
28
29.7%
Q2 - 6:49CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
72.1%
26
27.9%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot33
72.9%
26
27.1%
Q2 - 7:08CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 133
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 7:08CHINocioni Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)33
74.0%
26
26.0%
Q2 - 7:13MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 7:13CHIPiatkowski Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
77.8%
24
22.2%
Q2 - 7:31MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)33
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 7:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q2 - 7:43CHIMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot31
73.3%
24
26.7%
Q2 - 7:53CHIBULLS Rebound31
71.8%
24
28.2%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot31
72.5%
24
27.5%
Q2 - 8:17CHIPiatkowski Layup (2 PTS)31
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q2 - 8:18CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
75.4%
22
24.6%
Q2 - 8:21CHIMISS Piatkowski 3PT Jump Shot31
76.8%
22
23.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIADooling Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
75.4%
22
24.6%
Q2 - 9:00CHIPiatkowski Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q2 - 9:12CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
71.0%
22
29.0%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot29
71.7%
22
28.3%
Q2 - 9:28MIAHeat Rebound29
73.2%
22
26.8%
Q2 - 9:28CHIMISS Hinrich Layup29
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q2 - 9:40CHIBULLS Rebound29
71.0%
22
29.0%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot29
71.7%
22
28.3%
Q2 - 9:51MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q2 - 9:53CHIMISS Nocioni 8' Jump Shot29
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWade Layup (11 PTS)29
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
68.8%
22
31.2%
Q2 - 10:13CHIMISS Gordon Layup27
68.0%
22
32.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 10:34MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
64.1%
22
35.9%
Q2 - 10:38CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q2 - 10:51CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q2 - 10:51CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot24
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)24
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Hinrich 10' Jump Shot22
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 11:36CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q2 - 11:38CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
57.4%
21
42.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
56.0%
20
44.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)20
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q1 - 1:10CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 1:23CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 1:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Haslem Layup18
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade Layup18
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 1:30CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIAJones Layup (7 PTS)18
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 1:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.3%
17
45.7%
Q1 - 1:52CHIMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot16
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)16
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q1 - 2:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 2:15CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot16
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 2:50CHIChandler Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 2:51CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 2:53CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot14
54.1%
15
45.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIACurry STEAL (1 STL)14
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 3:17CHIDavis Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)14
55.0%
15
45.0%
Q1 - 3:26CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
56.9%
13
43.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 3:49CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
59.4%
13
40.6%
Q1 - 3:49CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 214
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 4:11MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 4:32CHIHarrington Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)11
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)11
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 5:09CHIGordon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)9
50.9%
12
49.1%
Q1 - 5:21CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
52.8%
10
47.2%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot9
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 5:34CHIHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:49CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
52.8%
10
47.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 29
53.1%
10
46.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 5:58CHIHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 6:14CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:15CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot8
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:44CHICurry Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)8
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 6:50CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot8
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 7:08CHIHarrington 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 7:27MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
58.7%
6
41.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 7:32CHIMISS Curry 13' Jump Shot8
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 7:48CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
58.7%
6
41.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 28
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 28
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 8:04CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:12CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot8
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 8:41CHIDeng 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)8
61.1%
6
38.9%
Q1 - 8:52CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 9:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:10CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot8
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 9:16CHIBULLS Rebound8
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 9:17CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot8
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 9:40CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)6
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 10:17CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 10:17CHIDeng Layup (2 PTS)4
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 10:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 10:18CHIMISS Deng Layup4
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 10:19CHIMISS Hinrich Layup4
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)4
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:39CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
60.2%
2
39.8%
Q1 - 10:59MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 11:11CHIHinrich 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)2
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 11:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:33CHIMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:44CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Haslem Layup0
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Curry vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
57.1%
0
42.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
CHI
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
19
68%
CHI
18
30
60%
Midrange
MIA
22
46
48%
CHI
10
43
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
CHI
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
13
25
52%
CHI
19
30
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2148%10.5 / 22
D. Jones1860%9.0 / 15
E. Jones1558%7.5 / 13
U. Haslem1350%6.5 / 13
W. Zhi-zhi1169%5.5 / 8
M. Doleac880%4.0 / 5
M. Allen638%3.0 / 8
K. Dooling542%2.5 / 6
S. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
S. O'Neal0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2960%14.5 / 24
E. Curry1650%8.0 / 16
L. Deng1444%7.0 / 16
K. Hinrich923%4.5 / 20
C. Duhon941%4.5 / 11
A. Nocioni750%3.5 / 7
T. Chandler675%3.0 / 4
O. Harrington563%2.5 / 4
E. Piatkowski563%2.5 / 4
A. Griffin233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+8
-19
95
CHI
93
+21
-15
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
CHI
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
99.0
MIA 95.3
CHI 97.2 +1.9
Pace
93.9
94.7
MIA 96.5
CHI 97.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
MIA 14.9
CHI 14.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.1%
MIA 53.7% +8.9%
CHI 44.8%
TO %
14.0%
16.9%
MIA 17.0%
CHI 12.8% +4.2%
ORB %
27.0%
28.5%
MIA 16.3%
CHI 30.5% +14.2%
FTrt
38.7
31.1
MIA 30.5
CHI 31.3 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
61.2%
MIA 65.9% +15.9%
CHI 50.0%
STL %
6.8%
7.4%
MIA 10.4% +0.2%
CHI 10.2%
BLK %
8.7%
7.0%
MIA 11.0% +11.0%
CHI 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
49.1%
MIA 51.5% +6.2%
CHI 45.3%
Rim FG%
63.0%
53.9%
MIA 68.4% +8.4%
CHI 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
MIA 47.8% +24.5%
CHI 23.3%
3P %
37.7%
35.7%
MIA 35.3%
CHI 43.5% +8.2%
FT %
67.2%
75.0%
MIA 52.0%
CHI 63.3% +11.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
33.4%
MIA 23.2%
CHI 31.3% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
44.8%
MIA 56.1%
CHI 44.8% +11.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
21.7%
MIA 20.7%
CHI 24.0% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions106108
Possession Minutes26.426.6
Points101105
Rebounds4854
Assists2719
Steals1111
Blocks80
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (4)36 (3)
Field Goals41-8238-96
At-the-Rim FG13-1918-30
Midrange FG22-4610-43
2-Point FG35-6528-73
3-Point FG6-1710-23
Free Throws13-2519-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
46.8
21
48%
6
11
4
3
7
2
0
6
2-4
50%
8-18
44%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
43.2
15
58%
9
5
1
1
2
3
1
8
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
40.7
18
60%
8
5
0
1
3
0
0
8
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
35.0
13
50%
9
0
2
0
2
5
2
7
1-4
25%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
26.6
4
40%
5
1
0
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
20.4
8
80%
3
2
1
0
1
5
0
3
0-2
0%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 27
19.8
6
38%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
18.6
11
69%
2
0
2
0
1
2
0
2
1-4
25%
5-5
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
12.3
5
42%
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
101
52%
48
27
11
8
19
0
7
41
13-25
52%
35-65
54%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.