FinalWin Prob.pScore
1241%94
91
1159%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.89598.3
IND logo IND
98.99475.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
93
100%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound91
3.5%
93
96.5%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.7%
93
99.3%
OT1 - 0:11.0INDO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)91
16.7%
93
83.3%
OT1 - 0:33.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)91
32.7%
91
67.3%
OT1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot91
39.9%
91
60.1%
OT1 - 0:57.0INDO'Neal 1' Layup (27 PTS)91
54.0%
91
46.0%
OT1 - 0:58.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)91
67.1%
89
32.9%
OT1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot91
76.6%
89
23.4%
OT1 - 1:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
63.1%
89
36.9%
OT1 - 1:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)90
60.6%
89
39.4%
OT1 - 1:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)89
51.4%
89
48.6%
OT1 - 1:39INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot89
47.0%
89
53.0%
OT1 - 1:53INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
38.1%
89
61.9%
OT1 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
41.9%
89
58.1%
OT1 - 2:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
52.7%
89
47.3%
OT1 - 2:08INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
47.7%
89
52.3%
OT1 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)89
36.2%
89
63.8%
OT1 - 2:30MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)89
36.2%
89
63.8%
OT1 - 2:32MIAO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)87
21.6%
89
78.4%
OT1 - 2:48INDO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)87
31.1%
89
68.9%
OT1 - 3:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)87
36.7%
87
63.3%
OT1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot87
41.1%
87
58.9%
OT1 - 3:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
51.8%
87
48.2%
OT1 - 3:19INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
47.1%
87
52.9%
OT1 - 3:30INDJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
36.4%
87
63.6%
OT1 - 3:30INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
47.2%
87
52.8%
OT1 - 3:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
38.9%
87
61.1%
OT1 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
41.8%
87
58.2%
OT1 - 4:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)87
48.6%
87
51.4%
OT1 - 4:02INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup87
45.6%
87
54.4%
OT1 - 4:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
38.9%
87
61.1%
OT1 - 4:05INDMISS Croshere 15' Jump Shot87
45.6%
87
54.4%
OT1 - 4:28INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
38.8%
87
61.2%
OT1 - 4:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 287
40.1%
87
59.9%
OT1 - 4:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 287
46.4%
87
53.6%
OT1 - 4:41MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
48.7%
87
51.3%
OT1 - 4:42INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot87
45.7%
87
54.3%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Haslem: Tip to Johnson87
38.8%
87
61.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
32.7%
87
67.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
20.4%
87
79.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
33.2%
85
66.8%
Q4 - 1:02INDJackson 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)83
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)83
36.5%
83
63.5%
Q4 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
28.0%
83
72.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot81
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q4 - 2:00MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
28.0%
83
72.0%
Q4 - 2:02INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 2:22INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
18.3%
83
81.7%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot81
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 2:42INDJones 1' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)81
31.1%
83
68.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)81
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
35.0%
81
65.0%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)80
40.8%
81
59.2%
Q4 - 3:16INDMiller 4' Dunk (23 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)79
31.3%
81
68.7%
Q4 - 3:20MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)79
36.5%
79
63.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
51.9%
79
48.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)79
41.0%
79
59.0%
Q4 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)79
48.5%
79
51.5%
Q4 - 3:43INDMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot79
45.6%
79
54.4%
Q4 - 4:02INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
38.9%
79
61.1%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 279
40.2%
79
59.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
46.4%
79
53.6%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)78
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 4:18INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
36.5%
79
63.5%
Q4 - 4:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
30.2%
79
69.8%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot78
32.9%
79
67.1%
Q4 - 4:53INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 5:04INDPACERS Rebound78
31.3%
79
68.7%
Q4 - 5:05INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup78
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (33 PTS)78
31.3%
79
68.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)76
24.9%
79
75.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot76
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q4 - 5:58INDJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)76
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q4 - 6:03MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)76
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 6:10INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)76
39.5%
77
60.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJones 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)76
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 6:35INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)74
26.2%
77
73.8%
Q4 - 6:54MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS)74
20.0%
77
80.0%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q4 - 7:01INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup72
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 7:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q4 - 7:04INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot72
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (29 PTS)72
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q4 - 7:46INDHarrison 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)70
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q4 - 7:48INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q4 - 7:50INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot70
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)70
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q4 - 8:32INDHarrison 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)68
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q4 - 8:48INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot68
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 9:05INDJones 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)68
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q4 - 9:28INDPACERS Rebound68
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 9:30INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
27.3%
71
72.7%
Q4 - 9:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)68
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIAJones 2' Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)67
19.8%
71
80.2%
Q4 - 10:01INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)65
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 10:15INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q4 - 10:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q4 - 10:27INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
27.9%
68
72.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)65
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q4 - 10:58INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q4 - 10:58INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)65
34.3%
66
65.7%
Q4 - 11:39INDCroshere Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)63
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
25.2%
66
74.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot63
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)63
26.1%
66
73.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)61
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)61
30.2%
63
69.8%
Q3 - 1:12INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 1:12INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 259
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 1:14INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
26.6%
62
73.4%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 1:34INDJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
34.9%
60
65.1%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
30.8%
60
69.2%
Q3 - 2:05INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
29.5%
60
70.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIACroshere STEAL (1 STL)57
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 2:37INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)57
30.8%
60
69.2%
Q3 - 2:37INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)57
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 2:37INDMiller Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)57
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q3 - 2:47INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot57
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q3 - 3:06INDMiller 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)57
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 3:09INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
48.0%
55
52.0%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)57
49.4%
55
50.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Anderson 2' Layup57
49.4%
55
50.6%
Q3 - 3:17MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot57
49.4%
55
50.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot57
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q3 - 3:39INDPACERS Rebound57
47.9%
55
52.1%
Q3 - 3:40INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot57
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)57
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWade 11' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
39.3%
55
60.7%
Q3 - 4:11INDMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot54
37.9%
55
62.1%
Q3 - 4:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
39.3%
55
60.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot54
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup54
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 4:57INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)54
39.3%
55
60.7%
Q3 - 4:57INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)54
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q3 - 4:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
42.9%
53
57.1%
Q3 - 5:00INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q3 - 5:21INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
42.9%
53
57.1%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot54
44.3%
53
55.7%
Q3 - 5:45INDO'Neal 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)54
47.4%
53
52.6%
Q3 - 6:00INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
51.2%
51
48.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot54
51.8%
51
48.2%
Q3 - 6:23INDJackson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
54.9%
51
45.1%
Q3 - 6:48MIAHaslem 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)54
58.6%
49
41.4%
Q3 - 6:54INDJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)52
54.9%
49
45.1%
Q3 - 6:58INDJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
50.6%
49
49.4%
Q3 - 7:00INDMISS Croshere 16' Jump Shot52
53.6%
49
46.4%
Q3 - 7:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
49.7%
49
50.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Anderson 11' Jump Shot52
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q3 - 7:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
54.2%
49
45.8%
Q3 - 7:25INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
52.8%
49
47.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAAnderson 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)52
49.8%
49
50.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q3 - 7:58INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot50
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
41.5%
49
58.5%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q3 - 8:30INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot48
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
34.9%
49
65.1%
Q3 - 9:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
28.6%
49
71.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot45
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q3 - 9:23INDJackson 1' Layup (9 PTS)45
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q3 - 9:24INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q3 - 9:25INDMISS Miller 1' Layup45
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q3 - 9:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
32.7%
47
67.3%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
35.0%
47
65.0%
Q3 - 9:42INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIAJones 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)45
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q3 - 10:17INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup43
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones 5' Running Finger Roll (13 PTS)43
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q3 - 11:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup41
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q3 - 11:24INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q3 - 11:36INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot41
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 241
27.4%
45
72.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)40
24.5%
45
75.5%
Q2 - 1:03INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 1:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot38
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAHarrison BLOCK (1 BLK)38
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 1:26MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 1:28INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot38
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)38
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 2:00INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot36
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)36
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 2:43INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)34
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T8)34
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAHeat Rebound34
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 3:10INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 3:17INDMiller Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)34
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)33
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 3:37INDMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot32
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 3:51MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)32
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 4:18INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)32
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)32
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 4:45INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 5:07MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:29INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)28
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 5:42INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 5:44MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)28
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:00INDHarrison 1' Layup (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)28
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 6:18INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot28
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:42INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 6:42INDCroshere 2' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)28
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 6:44INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot28
21.7%
36
78.3%
Q2 - 6:54INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Allen 1' Layup28
20.8%
36
79.2%
Q2 - 6:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 15' Jump Shot28
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 7:32INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 7:32INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 228
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 7:48INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot28
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 8:09INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)28
22.8%
35
77.2%
Q2 - 8:52INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 9:14MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 9:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q2 - 9:29INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot24
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:38INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:52INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 10:01MIAHarrison STEAL (1 STL)24
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 10:12INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:12INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
23.6%
31
76.4%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade 3' Tip Shot (14 PTS)24
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot22
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 11:19MIAHeat Rebound22
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q2 - 11:30MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q2 - 11:32INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot21
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 11:44INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25.2%
27
74.8%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot21
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound21
25.2%
27
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)21
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
25.2%
27
74.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 219
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)19
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot19
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDJackson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)19
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 1:11INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 219
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
29.0%
24
71.0%
Q1 - 1:30INDO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)18
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 1:39INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot18
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q1 - 2:06INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 2:25INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot18
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 2:42INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 2:42INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 2:51INDPACERS Rebound18
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 2:53INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot18
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 3:06INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
40.2%
17
59.8%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q1 - 3:18INDMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot18
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 3:46INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 3:46INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 4:05MIAJones 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 4:09INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade 5' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 4:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot11
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 4:53INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 5:36INDO'Neal 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)11
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 5:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 6:09INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 6:09INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)11
39.2%
10
60.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)11
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 6:22MIAHeat Rebound11
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)11
41.4%
9
58.6%
Q1 - 6:56INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)11
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAFoster STEAL (1 STL)11
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot11
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)11
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup11
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 7:32INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 7:43INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot11
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 8:08INDFoster 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)11
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 8:42INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)9
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 9:24INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)7
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 9:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot7
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 9:45INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 9:57INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot7
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:14INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup7
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 10:47INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot5
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 11:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 11:14INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:46INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Doleac: Tip to Foster0
36.8%
0
63.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.0%
IND
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
IND
14
23
61%
Midrange
MIA
16
42
38%
IND
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
IND
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
24
31
77%
IND
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3859%19.0 / 32
D. Jones1753%8.5 / 16
E. Jones1139%5.5 / 14
U. Haslem1137%5.5 / 15
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
S. Anderson433%2.0 / 6
M. Allen225%1.0 / 4
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
K. Dooling0-0.0 / 3
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2952%14.5 / 28
R. Miller2368%11.5 / 17
S. Jackson1341%6.5 / 16
D. Harrison880%4.0 / 5
A. Croshere744%3.5 / 8
F. Jones638%3.0 / 8
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
J. Tinsley0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+16
-11
100
IND
82
+15
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.0%
IND
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
102.4
MIA 95.8
IND 98.9 +3.1
Pace
93.9
89.9
MIA 98.3 +22.6
IND 75.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
MIA 14.7 +4.4
IND 19.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.6%
MIA 41.4%
IND 43.9% +2.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.7%
MIA 11.3% +1.8%
IND 13.1%
ORB %
27.0%
26.5%
MIA 27.5% +6.1%
IND 21.4%
FTrt
38.7
35.8
MIA 38.3 +9.0
IND 29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
55.8%
MIA 43.8%
IND 66.7% +22.9%
STL %
6.8%
8.3%
MIA 8.4%
IND 9.6% +1.2%
BLK %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 3.5%
IND 9.0% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.5%
MIA 45.0%
IND 47.9% +2.9%
Rim FG%
63.0%
55.1%
MIA 52.0%
IND 60.9% +8.9%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.5%
MIA 38.1%
IND 38.2% +0.1%
3P %
37.7%
34.4%
MIA 21.4%
IND 24.0% +2.6%
FT %
67.2%
79.2%
MIA 77.4%
IND 87.5% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.4%
MIA 30.9% +2.8%
IND 28.0%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
42.1%
MIA 51.9%
IND 41.5% +10.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
25.5%
MIA 17.3%
IND 30.5% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.229.8
Points9193
Rebounds4746
Assists1422
Steals89
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)37 (0)
Field Goals32-8133-82
At-the-Rim FG13-2514-23
Midrange FG16-4213-34
2-Point FG29-6727-57
3-Point FG3-146-25
Free Throws24-3121-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
46.2
38
59%
4
8
5
0
2
3
3
1
12-15
80%
13-23
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
46.0
11
39%
9
2
0
0
0
3
0
9
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
45.6
11
37%
18
1
2
0
3
5
6
12
5-8
63%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
42.4
17
53%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
20.9
6
75%
4
0
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
28.9
4
33%
6
0
1
2
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 27
9.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
7.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
7.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
91
45%
47
14
8
2
11
0
14
33
24-31
77%
29-67
43%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.