FinalWin Prob.pScore
916%85
81
284%97
99
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
92.08886.4
SAS logo SAS
108.89192.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASDuncan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Brown 5 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06HOUMISS Barrett 5' Running Layup79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASSPURS Rebound79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 279
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38HOUWesley 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55HOUParker STEAL (5 STL)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09SASParker 1' Slam Dunk (22 PTS)77
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:13HOUParker STEAL (4 STL)77
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 3:23SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 3:23SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 3:33HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 3:33HOURockets Rebound76
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 3:33HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 276
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 3:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 3:35HOUMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot76
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:51SASNesterovic 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)76
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:05SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 4:07HOUNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)76
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 4:38SASSPURS Rebound76
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 4:39SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 176
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 4:39SASGinobili 3' Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS)76
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 5:00HOUMcGrady 2' Running Layup (22 PTS)76
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 5:18SASParker 3' Layup (18 PTS)74
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 5:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 5:36HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot74
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q4 - 5:55HOURockets Rebound74
12.2%
77
87.8%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Parker 1' Layup74
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q4 - 6:00HOUNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)74
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 6:09HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q4 - 6:11SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 6:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 6:21HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot74
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 6:39SASNesterovic 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)74
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q4 - 6:56HOUMcGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 7:18SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
12.6%
75
87.4%
Q4 - 7:18SASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 272
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q4 - 7:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q4 - 7:23HOUMISS McGrady 5' Running Jump Shot72
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 7:34SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T15)72
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q4 - 7:47HOUDuncan STEAL (2 STL)72
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q4 - 8:12SASMassenburg Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)72
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 8:29HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)72
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q4 - 8:44HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot70
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q4 - 9:15HOUYao 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)70
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q4 - 9:30SASBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)68
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q4 - 9:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q4 - 9:40HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 268
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 9:40HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 268
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q4 - 9:50SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)68
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q4 - 9:59SASMISS Barry Free Throw Technical68
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q4 - 10:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q4 - 10:03HOUDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)68
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q4 - 10:08SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q4 - 10:23SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q4 - 10:25HOUMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot68
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q4 - 10:49SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)68
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q4 - 11:13HOUYao 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)68
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q4 - 11:30HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q4 - 11:32SASMISS Massenburg 3' Layup66
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q4 - 11:34SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q4 - 11:37SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot66
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q4 - 11:46SASSPURS Rebound66
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Massenburg 4' Layup66
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU66
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot66
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)66
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUHoward Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T13)66
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 1:07SASParker 2' Layup (16 PTS)66
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 1:11HOUParker STEAL (3 STL)66
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 1:31SASParker 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)66
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 1:39SASSPURS Rebound66
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q3 - 1:41SASMISS Massenburg 7' Jump Hook Shot66
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 265
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 2:23SASRose 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)65
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q3 - 2:46HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 2:46HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 2:52HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 2:54SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 3:14HOUGinobili STEAL (3 STL)63
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 3:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 263
16.1%
64
83.9%
Q3 - 3:49SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
15.6%
64
84.4%
Q3 - 3:50HOUMISS Wesley 10' Jump Shot63
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 3:52HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 3:54HOUMISS Mutombo 5' Jump Shot63
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 3:56HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 3:58HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot63
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 4:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 4:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 4:28HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)63
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 4:57SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)61
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q3 - 4:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)61
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 5:16HOUWesley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)61
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 5:38SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)59
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 5:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
19.9%
58
80.1%
Q3 - 5:44HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot59
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 6:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)59
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 6:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)59
23.1%
57
76.9%
Q3 - 6:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
25.0%
56
75.0%
Q3 - 6:23HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot59
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)59
28.4%
56
71.6%
Q3 - 6:56HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)59
31.6%
54
68.4%
Q3 - 7:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)57
27.8%
54
72.2%
Q3 - 7:17SASDuncan 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)57
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 7:31HOUWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q3 - 7:35HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup54
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q3 - 7:56HOUMcGrady 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)54
24.4%
51
75.6%
Q3 - 8:10HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 8:12HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q3 - 8:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 8:36SASNesterovic 1' Layup (4 PTS)52
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 8:38SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot52
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 8:50SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot52
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q3 - 9:14HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q3 - 9:15SASMISS Brown 3' Layup52
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot52
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 9:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS McGrady 2' Layup52
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 9:49SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)52
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q3 - 9:49SASBrown 3' Layup (3 PTS)52
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q3 - 9:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q3 - 9:55HOUNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)52
32.8%
46
67.2%
Q3 - 10:08SASBowen 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)52
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q3 - 10:21HOUMcGrady 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)52
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q3 - 10:39SASDuncan 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)50
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q3 - 10:48HOUYao 2' Layup (11 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)50
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q3 - 10:59HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
33.7%
42
66.3%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot48
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q3 - 11:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
29.0%
42
71.0%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 248
31.7%
42
68.3%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 248
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)48
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU45
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound45
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Barrett 52' 3PT Running Jump Shot45
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Parker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot45
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0HOUBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)45
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)45
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot45
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 1:10SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)45
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 1:32HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 1:32HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 1:32HOUBarry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)43
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 1:32HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot42
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 1:47HOUWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 1:57HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 1:58SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot42
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 2:15HOUYao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)42
22.7%
38
77.3%
Q2 - 2:31SASParker 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 2:39SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 2:42HOUMISS Weatherspoon 17' Jump Shot40
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 2:54SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T8)40
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 3:05HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
21.7%
36
78.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 3:21SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 3:24HOUParker STEAL (2 STL)40
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 3:31HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 3:33SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot40
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot40
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 4:00HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 4:00HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)39
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 4:16HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 4:19SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot37
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 4:39HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot37
19.8%
34
80.2%
Q2 - 4:52SASMassenburg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 4:53SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 4:56SASMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot37
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 5:04SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 5:06HOUBrown BLOCK (3 BLK)37
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 5:07HOURockets Rebound37
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 5:08HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)37
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 5:28SASDuncan 4' Running Layup (14 PTS)37
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 5:49SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 5:51HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 5:51HOUMISS Weatherspoon 1' Tip Shot37
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 5:53HOUMISS McGrady 5' Reverse Layup37
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 5:56HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 5:58HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot37
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 6:15SASMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 6:15SASMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 6:15SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 6:16SASMISS Barry 6' Jump Bank Shot37
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 6:33HOUYao 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)37
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 6:48SASDuncan 1' Finger Roll (12 PTS)35
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 7:05HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 7:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 232
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 7:31SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
20.2%
28
79.8%
Q2 - 7:48SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Barry 7' Running Hook Shot32
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 7:55HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q2 - 7:56SASMISS Brown 1' Layup32
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 8:08HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 8:08HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 8:26SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)30
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 8:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q2 - 8:44HOUMISS McGrady 13' Jump Bank Shot30
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 8:58SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)30
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 9:14HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q2 - 9:14HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q2 - 9:21HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot28
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q2 - 9:47HOUDuncan STEAL (1 STL)28
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q2 - 9:57SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 128
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q2 - 9:57SASGinobili 1' Layup (7 PTS)28
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q2 - 10:02SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot28
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q2 - 10:28HOUHoward 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q2 - 10:53SASRose Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)26
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q2 - 11:09HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)26
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q2 - 11:16SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q2 - 11:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q2 - 11:19HOUBrown BLOCK (2 BLK)26
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q2 - 11:26HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q2 - 11:28SASMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot26
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q2 - 11:41SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q2 - 11:43HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot26
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Mutombo 14' Jump Shot26
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot26
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUHoward 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)26
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)24
17.5%
21
82.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 223
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 1:12SASRose 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)23
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
18.1%
19
81.9%
Q1 - 1:37HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 2:00HOUHoward 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 2:20HOUBarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot19
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 2:40HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 2:40HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 2:58HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 3:01HOUMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot17
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 3:19SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 3:19SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 3:35HOUHoward 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 3:58HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 215
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 215
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 4:04HOUParker STEAL (1 STL)15
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 4:20SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 4:33HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot15
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 4:46SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Bank Shot15
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:59HOUStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 5:08SASMISS Parker Layup15
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 5:15HOUMISS Mutombo Dunk15
12.7%
15
87.3%
Q1 - 5:31SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)15
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 5:32SASSPURS Rebound15
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot15
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 5:56HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)15
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 6:24SASDuncan 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 6:43SASSPURS Rebound15
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 6:44SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot15
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 6:56HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)15
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 7:07HOURockets Rebound13
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 7:07HOUGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)13
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 7:19SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 8:00SASNesterovic 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 8:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 8:13HOUNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)11
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 8:21HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 8:22SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot11
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 8:41HOUStrickland 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 8:43HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 8:46HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 8:52SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 9:10HOUWesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
10.2%
11
89.8%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
9.0%
11
91.0%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 9:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 9:44HOUWesley 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 10:04SASParker 3' Running Layup (4 PTS)4
9.0%
9
91.0%
Q1 - 10:14HOUStrickland 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
9.5%
7
90.5%
Q1 - 10:42SASGinobili Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
9.0%
7
91.0%
Q1 - 10:45HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)2
9.5%
5
90.5%
Q1 - 11:00SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
10.3%
5
89.7%
Q1 - 11:13HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
10.9%
3
89.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
10.2%
3
89.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Yao: Tip to Bowen0
11.7%
0
88.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
11
24
46%
SAS
21
32
66%
Midrange
HOU
15
38
39%
SAS
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
SAS
25
37
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2246%11.0 / 24
Yao2063%10.0 / 16
J. Howard1657%8.0 / 14
D. Wesley1359%6.5 / 11
D. Mutombo542%2.5 / 6
R. Strickland467%2.0 / 3
J. Barry113%0.5 / 4
C. Weatherspoon0-0.0 / 2
A. Barrett0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3058%15.0 / 26
T. Parker2258%11.0 / 19
M. Ginobili1875%9.0 / 12
R. Nesterovic880%4.0 / 5
M. Rose660%3.0 / 5
B. Bowen542%2.5 / 6
D. Brown525%2.5 / 10
B. Barry375%1.5 / 2
T. Massenburg225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
71
+14
-17
85
SAS
78
+13
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
104.9
HOU 92.0 +16.7
SAS 108.8
Pace
91.5
91.2
HOU 86.4
SAS 92.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
HOU 16.7
SAS 15.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.2%
HOU 45.1%
SAS 53.6% +8.5%
TO %
14.2%
14.2%
HOU 18.2%
SAS 15.0% +3.2%
ORB %
26.4%
29.2%
HOU 26.3% +2.8%
SAS 23.5%
FTrt
30.9
32.9
HOU 31.0
SAS 53.6 +22.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
60.6%
HOU 53.3% +1.9%
SAS 51.4%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
HOU 6.8%
SAS 12.1% +5.3%
BLK %
7.4%
9.9%
HOU 8.6%
SAS 14.5% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.6%
HOU 47.1%
SAS 53.8% +6.7%
Rim FG%
57.3%
59.3%
HOU 45.8%
SAS 65.6% +19.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
37.2%
HOU 39.5% +1.0%
SAS 38.5%
3P %
36.4%
36.3%
HOU 44.4% +8.0%
SAS 36.4%
FT %
78.1%
72.4%
HOU 77.3% +9.7%
SAS 67.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.5%
37.6%
HOU 33.8%
SAS 46.4% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
47.8%
40.8%
HOU 53.5%
SAS 37.7% +15.8%
3P Att. %
23.7%
21.6%
HOU 12.7%
SAS 15.9% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8891
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8199
Rebounds3636
Assists1618
Steals611
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals30-7135-69
At-the-Rim FG11-2421-32
Midrange FG15-3810-26
2-Point FG26-6231-58
3-Point FG4-94-11
Free Throws17-2225-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
44.7
22
46%
3
6
0
1
2
2
2
1
6-6
100%
5-17
29%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
34.1
16
57%
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 34
31.9
13
59%
5
2
0
1
3
6
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 39
28.8
4
67%
4
5
1
1
4
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 310 · 24
27.7
20
63%
4
0
0
2
2
4
1
3
2-5
40%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 36
24.9
1
13%
2
3
4
0
3
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 39
19.0
5
42%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
5-6
83%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 34
15.2
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 23
11.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 29
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
G · 6'5" 200 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
47%
36
16
6
5
17
0
10
26
17-22
77%
26-62
42%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.