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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Hawks24%9496
28Warriors76%103101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.7
41.6
30.3
17
48%
15
4
2
1
0
4
7
8
1-2
50%
8-16
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
38.0
40.2
14
44%
14
1
0
1
0
4
6
8
0-0
-
7-16
7-14
44%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
36.9
18.5
12
64%
3
8
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
1-2
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
36.5
38.4
27
52%
6
4
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
6-18
7-15
33%
45%
5-7
71%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.2
25.8
31.9
5
28%
8
1
1
1
2
3
1
7
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
0-0
-
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.5
15.4
15.8
2
35%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
0-2
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.3
13.6
9.1
5
36%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
12.3
20.3
6
38%
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
11.1
6.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.1
8.7
21.5
6
61%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.2
7.2
0
1-1
44%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.5
6.0
0
1-2
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.5
43.5
38.9
20
60%
2
6
0
2
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
7-10
4-8
70%
44%
1-5
20%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
39.7
37.8
31
69%
5
1
4
2
1
3
2
3
8-8
100%
4-10
8-15
40%
51%
5-9
56%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
37.1
32.3
18
50%
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-15
4-9
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.8
34.6
32.9
12
41%
4
10
4
2
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
25.8
20.4
8
50%
8
0
0
0
6
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.8
27.6
15.7
6
28%
20
0
0
0
0
1
5
15
4-6
67%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35.9
17.0
19.5
4
42%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.6
11.1
9.8
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
3.6
13.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
17.2
1
2-4
46%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 18.9
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.