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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 25, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Cavaliers40%9382
13Pacers60%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.2
40.5
41.0
21
39%
7
5
2
2
1
2
3
4
3-4
75%
9-24
8-17
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.7
38.9
35.7
20
48%
15
0
1
1
4
1
10
5
4-6
67%
8-18
7-14
44%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
34.4
26.5
3
38%
7
1
1
1
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
28.6
40.2
5
25%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
46%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.4
27.4
29.9
15
45%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
5-6
83%
5-13
5-11
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
23.5
8.1
2
25%
2
8
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.1
20.6
15.4
10
48%
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
2-3
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.1
9.1
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.2
8.8
14.0
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.1
5.2
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.3
3.1
14.6
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.9
1.5
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.9
36.1
30.4
28
67%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
8-12
4-8
67%
47%
3-7
43%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.4
35.2
31.5
20
50%
8
5
0
1
2
3
0
8
4-9
44%
8-16
8-17
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
31.3
25.6
10
85%
1
7
1
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.5
23.3
29.4
5
63%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.0
21.7
4.3
6
75%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.0
23.5
26.6
7
51%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
2-3
67%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
21.1
15.1
8
59%
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.8
18.1
26.1
10
74%
6
3
1
1
0
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.5
16.7
5.2
7
50%
4
2
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
43%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.4
13.1
10.9
5
36%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.0
18.0
1
2-5
46%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.1
17.7
1
2-4
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.