| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 ORL | 107.7 | 91 | 87.5 |
 MIA | 111.0 | 91 | 94.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
82
+15
-9
97
MIA
81
+17
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ORL | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 98 0% | 101 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:01.0 | ORL | Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 98 0.6% | 99 99.4% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 95 1.8% | 99 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | ORL | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 95 0.8% | 99 99.2% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 95 2.3% | 99 97.7% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 95 2.8% | 98 97.2% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 95 6.0% | 97 94.0% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | ORL | MISS Francis 6' Jump Shot | 95 8.3% | 97 91.7% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 95 15.8% | 97 84.2% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 95 18.0% | 96 82.0% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | ORL | Cato Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Francis 4 AST) | 95 29.5% | 95 70.5% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 93 19.8% | 95 80.2% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 93 28.9% | 93 71.1% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 93 39.0% | 93 61.0% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | ORL | Hill 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 93 28.5% | 93 71.5% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 91 20.9% | 93 79.1% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | ORL | Turkoglu Layup (11 PTS) (Francis 3 AST) | 91 29.5% | 91 70.5% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 89 22.2% | 91 77.8% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | ORL | Francis Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 89 12.8% | 91 87.2% |
| Q4 - 2:42 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 87 10.4% | 91 89.6% |
| Q4 - 2:44 | MIA | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 87 8.5% | 91 91.5% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 87 6.6% | 91 93.4% |
| Q4 - 3:02 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot | 87 7.7% | 91 92.3% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 87 11.3% | 91 88.7% |
| Q4 - 3:34 | ORL | Hill 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 87 22.7% | 88 77.3% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 85 17.0% | 88 83.0% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot | 85 15.4% | 88 84.6% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | ORL | Hill Driving Dunk (24 PTS) | 85 12.0% | 88 88.0% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | MIA | Dooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 83 8.7% | 88 91.3% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | ORL | Francis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 83 6.0% | 88 94.0% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | MIA | Laettner Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 83 8.7% | 88 91.3% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | ORL | Francis 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 83 11.9% | 86 88.1% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Laettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 81 9.9% | 86 90.1% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Laettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 81 10.3% | 85 89.7% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Laettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 81 13.1% | 84 86.9% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | MISS Dooling 9' Jump Shot | 81 16.1% | 84 83.9% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 81 13.1% | 84 86.9% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | MIA | Dooling Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 81 18.3% | 84 81.7% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 81 22.4% | 82 77.6% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | ORL | MISS Hill 19' Jump Shot | 81 24.3% | 82 75.7% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | MIA | Dooling 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 81 29.0% | 82 71.0% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 81 34.7% | 80 65.3% |
| Q4 - 6:49 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot | 81 37.2% | 80 62.8% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 81 41.2% | 80 58.8% |
| Q4 - 7:24 | ORL | Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 2 AST) | 81 34.0% | 80 66.0% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 78 23.4% | 80 76.6% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 21.8% | 80 78.2% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 78 18.3% | 80 81.7% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | ORL | MISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 78 18.9% | 80 81.1% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 78 21.4% | 80 78.6% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 77 19.3% | 80 80.7% |
| Q4 - 8:22 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 23.5% | 78 76.5% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | ORL | MISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot | 77 25.0% | 78 75.0% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | MIA | Laettner Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 77 28.6% | 78 71.4% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 77 33.9% | 76 66.1% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 77 40.1% | 76 59.9% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | ORL | MISS Augmon 20' Turnaround Jump Shot | 77 35.8% | 76 64.2% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | Dooling Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 77 39.0% | 76 61.0% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | ORL | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 77 44.6% | 74 55.4% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 50.9% | 74 49.1% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 77 48.9% | 74 51.1% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | ORL | Augmon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 77 43.3% | 74 56.7% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 75 38.3% | 74 61.7% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 75 43.4% | 72 56.6% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | ORL | MISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 75 44.2% | 72 55.8% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | ORL | MISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 48.1% | 72 51.9% |
| Q4 - 10:43 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 75 49.5% | 72 50.5% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | ORL | Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 75 53.8% | 70 46.2% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 48.6% | 70 51.4% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 47.9% | 70 52.1% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 44.3% | 70 55.7% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | ORL | Garrity Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 73 43.0% | 70 57.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 71 38.0% | 70 62.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 71 38.0% | 70 62.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ORL | MISS Francis 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 34.4% | 70 65.6% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 71 37.0% | 70 63.0% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 35.6% | 70 64.4% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | ORL | Battie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 71 32.5% | 70 67.5% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | ORL | Battie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 70 31.5% | 70 68.5% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 69 28.1% | 70 71.9% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 69 26.8% | 70 73.2% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 69 24.1% | 70 75.9% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 69 26.9% | 70 73.1% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | ORL | Francis 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 69 24.1% | 70 75.9% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 67 20.7% | 70 79.3% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 67 21.3% | 69 78.7% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIA | Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 67 20.6% | 69 79.4% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | ORL | MISS Howard 8' Hook Shot | 67 21.6% | 69 78.4% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | MIA | Butler Layup (10 PTS) | 67 24.1% | 69 75.9% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 67 27.7% | 67 72.3% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | MIA | MISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot | 67 30.6% | 67 69.4% |
| Q3 - 1:54 | ORL | Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 67 27.7% | 67 72.3% |
| Q3 - 2:04 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 67 31.2% | 67 68.8% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | ORL | Hill 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST) | 67 27.1% | 67 72.9% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 65 23.9% | 67 76.1% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 65 22.7% | 67 77.3% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | MIA | Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 20.4% | 67 79.6% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | ORL | MISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot | 65 21.4% | 67 78.6% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | MIA | Butler 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 65 24.0% | 67 76.0% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 27.2% | 65 72.8% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | ORL | MISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot | 65 28.4% | 65 71.6% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST) | 65 31.1% | 65 68.9% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 65 34.8% | 63 65.2% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 64 33.7% | 63 66.3% |
| Q3 - 3:57 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 31.1% | 63 68.9% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | MIA | MISS Laettner 13' Jump Shot | 63 29.9% | 63 70.1% |
| Q3 - 4:16 | ORL | Francis 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 63 26.6% | 63 73.4% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 5 AST) | 61 23.8% | 63 76.2% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | ORL | Nelson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 3 AST) | 61 30.2% | 60 69.8% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 59 26.9% | 60 73.1% |
| Q3 - 5:17 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 59 25.8% | 60 74.2% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | ORL | Francis Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST) | 59 23.5% | 60 76.5% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 57 20.9% | 60 79.1% |
| Q3 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 20.0% | 60 80.0% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 57 18.1% | 60 81.9% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 56 17.7% | 60 82.3% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 55 16.0% | 60 84.0% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | ORL | Hill 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST) | 55 18.1% | 58 81.9% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 53 16.2% | 58 83.8% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 53 15.5% | 58 84.5% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | ORL | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 53 13.9% | 58 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | ORL | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 52 13.6% | 58 86.4% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | Doleac 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 51 12.4% | 58 87.6% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 51 13.9% | 56 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | MIA | MISS Doleac Layup | 51 15.5% | 56 84.5% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 51 13.9% | 56 86.1% |
| Q3 - 7:47 | ORL | MISS Francis Layup | 51 14.6% | 56 85.4% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 51 16.3% | 56 83.7% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | ORL | Cato Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 51 14.1% | 56 85.9% |
| Q3 - 8:15 | ORL | MISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 2 | 50 13.6% | 56 86.4% |
| Q3 - 8:37 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 50 14.4% | 56 85.6% |
| Q3 - 8:37 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 50 14.6% | 55 85.4% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | ORL | Howard Dunk (10 PTS) (Hill 2 AST) | 50 16.0% | 54 84.0% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 48 14.4% | 54 85.6% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | MIA | MISS Doleac 5' Hook Shot | 48 13.6% | 54 86.4% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | ORL | Howard Dunk (8 PTS) (Cato 2 AST) | 48 12.4% | 54 87.6% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | MIA | Haslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST) | 46 11.0% | 54 89.0% |
| Q3 - 9:57 | ORL | Hill 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 46 12.4% | 52 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 44 11.1% | 52 88.9% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 44 11.4% | 51 88.6% |
| Q3 - 10:29 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 44 12.4% | 50 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:29 | ORL | Howard Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS) | 44 12.4% | 50 87.6% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 42 10.1% | 50 89.9% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 42 11.1% | 50 88.9% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | ORL | MISS Hill 20' Jump Shot | 42 10.1% | 50 89.9% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 42 11.2% | 50 88.8% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | ORL | Nelson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 42 12.5% | 48 87.5% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | MIA | Jones Layup (10 PTS) | 40 11.2% | 48 88.8% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 40 12.5% | 46 87.5% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | MISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot | 40 13.7% | 46 86.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 40 12.5% | 46 87.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 40 12.5% | 46 87.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot | 40 13.7% | 46 86.3% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 13.2% | 46 86.8% |
| Q2 - 0:21.0 | ORL | MISS Christie 20' Jump Shot | 40 13.5% | 46 86.5% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Jones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 40 14.3% | 46 85.7% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 40 13.1% | 46 86.9% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 39 12.9% | 46 87.1% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 38 11.3% | 46 88.7% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 38 11.0% | 46 89.0% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | ORL | Howard 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 38 10.8% | 46 89.2% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 36 9.1% | 46 90.9% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 10.8% | 44 89.2% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | ORL | MISS Hill 20' Jump Shot | 36 11.0% | 44 89.0% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Jones Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS) | 36 11.5% | 44 88.5% |
| Q2 - 2:01 | ORL | Doleac STEAL (1 STL) | 36 13.5% | 42 86.5% |
| Q2 - 2:10 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 36 14.9% | 42 85.1% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 14.5% | 42 85.5% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 36 13.5% | 42 86.5% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | ORL | MISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 13.3% | 42 86.7% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | ORL | Francis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 35 13.4% | 42 86.6% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 12.5% | 42 87.5% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 35 13.4% | 42 86.6% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 35 16.6% | 39 83.4% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | ORL | MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot | 35 17.2% | 39 82.8% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | Jones 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST) | 35 18.6% | 39 81.4% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | ORL | Hill Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 20.2% | 37 79.8% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | Doleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 35 22.5% | 37 77.5% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 24.4% | 35 75.6% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | ORL | MISS Francis Driving Layup | 35 25.1% | 35 74.9% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 35 26.3% | 35 73.7% |
| Q2 - 4:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 35 25.6% | 35 74.4% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | ORL | Hill 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST) | 35 24.2% | 35 75.8% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | MIA | Haslem Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 33 22.1% | 35 77.9% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 33 24.2% | 33 75.8% |
| Q2 - 4:39 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Turnaround Jump Shot | 33 25.7% | 33 74.3% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 33 24.2% | 33 75.8% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | ORL | MISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 24.8% | 33 75.2% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 33 26.2% | 33 73.8% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 33 28.3% | 31 71.7% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | ORL | MISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot | 33 29.0% | 31 71.0% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 33 30.8% | 31 69.2% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Jones 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 33 30.0% | 31 70.0% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | ORL | Nelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 33 28.3% | 31 71.7% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 30.6% | 31 69.4% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 29.8% | 31 70.2% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 33 27.9% | 31 72.1% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 27.5% | 31 72.5% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 26.2% | 31 73.8% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | MIA | MISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot | 31 25.4% | 31 74.6% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | ORL | Hill 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) | 31 23.7% | 31 76.3% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 29 22.1% | 31 77.9% |
| Q2 - 7:07 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 29 22.5% | 30 77.5% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | ORL | Garrity 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 29 23.8% | 29 76.2% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | ORL | Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 22.1% | 29 77.9% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 27 21.5% | 29 78.5% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 27 20.2% | 29 79.8% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | ORL | MISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 20.7% | 29 79.3% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | ORL | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 22.1% | 29 77.9% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 27 21.4% | 29 78.6% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | ORL | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 27 20.1% | 29 79.9% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | ORL | MISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 | 26 19.8% | 29 80.2% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 26 20.3% | 29 79.7% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 26 20.1% | 29 79.9% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 26 19.0% | 29 81.0% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | ORL | Christie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST) | 26 20.1% | 28 79.9% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | ORL | Augmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 24 18.6% | 28 81.4% |
| Q2 - 9:06 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 18.1% | 28 81.9% |
| Q2 - 9:19 | ORL | Turkoglu Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 24 17.0% | 28 83.0% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | MIA | Butler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST) | 22 15.8% | 28 84.2% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | ORL | Battie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3) | 22 17.0% | 26 83.0% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | MIA | Butler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 22 18.8% | 26 81.2% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 22 20.1% | 24 79.9% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | ORL | MISS Christie Driving Layup | 22 20.7% | 24 79.3% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | Laettner Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 22 22.0% | 24 78.0% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 20.1% | 24 79.9% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | ORL | MISS Christie 21' Jump Shot | 22 20.7% | 24 79.3% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 22 22.0% | 24 78.0% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | ORL | MISS Battie 14' Jump Shot | 22 20.7% | 24 79.3% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 22 21.5% | 24 78.5% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 22 21.9% | 23 78.1% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | MIA | Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 23.2% | 22 76.8% |
| Q2 - 11:11 | ORL | Anderson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 22 23.8% | 22 76.2% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 25.0% | 22 75.0% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | ORL | MISS Francis 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 22 23.8% | 22 76.2% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | ORL | Augmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 22 25.0% | 22 75.0% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 22 23.8% | 22 76.2% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | ORL | Francis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 22 25.0% | 22 75.0% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot | 22 23.8% | 22 76.2% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 22 25.1% | 22 74.9% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 22 25.3% | 21 74.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 22 26.9% | 20 73.1% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 22 28.9% | 20 71.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | MISS Francis Driving Layup | 22 27.5% | 20 72.5% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 28.3% | 20 71.7% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Anderson Layup | 22 27.9% | 20 72.1% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | MIA | Laettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 26.9% | 20 73.1% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | ORL | MISS Augmon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 22 27.3% | 20 72.7% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 22 28.4% | 20 71.6% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 22 30.7% | 18 69.3% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 21 30.1% | 18 69.9% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | MIA | Laettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 20 28.3% | 18 71.7% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | ORL | Nelson Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS) | 20 30.7% | 16 69.3% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Anderson Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 18 28.3% | 16 71.7% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 18 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | MIA | MISS Anderson Tip Shot | 18 31.8% | 14 68.2% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | MIA | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 18 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | MISS Haslem Tip Shot | 18 31.8% | 14 68.2% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | MIA | MISS Jones Driving Layup | 18 31.8% | 14 68.2% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | ORL | Laettner STEAL (1 STL) | 18 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 18 32.4% | 14 67.6% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 18 34.6% | 12 65.4% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 18 35.2% | 12 64.8% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | MIA | Jones 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 18 36.6% | 12 63.4% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | ORL | Hill Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 18 37.8% | 10 62.2% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | MIA | Haslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 16 36.0% | 10 64.0% |
| Q1 - 3:28 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 16 33.7% | 10 66.3% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | ORL | MISS Hill Layup | 16 34.4% | 10 65.6% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 16 36.0% | 10 64.0% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot | 16 35.3% | 10 64.7% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | ORL | Hill 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 16 33.0% | 10 67.0% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | Doleac 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 14 31.5% | 10 68.5% |
| Q1 - 4:22 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 14 33.0% | 8 67.0% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 34.7% | 8 65.3% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 33.0% | 8 67.0% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | ORL | MISS Cato 19' Jump Shot | 14 33.7% | 8 66.3% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 35.4% | 8 64.6% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | ORL | Nelson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cato 1 AST) | 14 32.1% | 8 67.9% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | Doleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 12 30.5% | 8 69.5% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | ORL | Cato 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 12 32.2% | 6 67.8% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | MIA | Doleac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 10 30.6% | 6 69.4% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | ORL | Francis Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 10 28.2% | 6 71.8% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Doleac Layup (2 PTS) | 10 29.9% | 6 70.1% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 10 31.5% | 4 68.5% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | MISS Doleac Layup | 10 32.8% | 4 67.2% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | ORL | Nelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 10 31.6% | 4 68.4% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 29.9% | 4 70.1% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | ORL | MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot | 8 28.7% | 4 71.3% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 29.9% | 4 70.1% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | ORL | MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot | 8 28.7% | 4 71.3% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | ORL | Francis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 8 29.2% | 4 70.8% |
| Q1 - 7:10 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 28.0% | 4 72.0% |
| Q1 - 7:26 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 8 29.2% | 4 70.8% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | ORL | MISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 8 30.9% | 2 69.1% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | ORL | Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 32.0% | 2 68.0% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 30.8% | 2 69.2% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 7 30.3% | 2 69.7% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 7 29.1% | 2 70.9% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | MIA | MISS Wade Reverse Layup | 7 30.3% | 2 69.7% |
| Q1 - 8:11 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 28.8% | 2 71.2% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | ORL | MISS Francis 6' Running Jump Shot | 7 29.3% | 2 70.7% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 7 30.6% | 2 69.4% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | ORL | MISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 | 7 29.0% | 2 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | ORL | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 7 30.1% | 2 69.9% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 6 29.0% | 2 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 30.4% | 0 69.6% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | MIA | MISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot | 6 31.6% | 0 68.4% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 6 30.4% | 0 69.6% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | ORL | MISS Howard 8' Hook Shot | 6 30.9% | 0 69.1% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 6 32.1% | 0 67.9% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 31.5% | 0 68.5% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | ORL | Hill 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST) | 6 30.1% | 0 69.9% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 4 28.9% | 0 71.1% |
| Q1 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 4 28.3% | 0 71.7% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 27.0% | 0 73.0% |
| Q1 - 9:44 | MIA | MISS Doleac 6' Hook Shot | 4 28.3% | 0 71.7% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | ORL | Howard 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST) | 4 26.9% | 0 73.1% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 25.7% | 0 74.3% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot | 2 25.2% | 0 74.8% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | ORL | Hill 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 24.1% | 0 75.9% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 22.9% | 0 77.1% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 0 22.5% | 0 77.5% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 0 21.4% | 0 78.6% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | MIA | MISS Jones Layup | 0 22.5% | 0 77.5% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 21.5% | 0 78.5% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | ORL | Doleac BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 21.9% | 0 78.1% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | ORL | Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 22.7% | 0 77.3% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 0 22.3% | 0 77.7% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 0 21.5% | 0 78.5% |
| Q1 - 11:43 | ORL | MISS Francis 17' Jump Shot | 0 21.9% | 0 78.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Doleac vs. Cato: Tip to Nelson | 0 22.7% | 0 77.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
22
59%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
ORL
23
50
46%
MIA
22
50
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
20
28
71%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hill | 28 | 70% | 14.0 / 20 | |
| S. Francis | 16 | 42% | 8.0 / 19 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 14 | 70% | 7.0 / 10 | |
| J. Nelson | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| D. Howard | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| K. Cato | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| P. Garrity | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| T. Battie | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| S. Augmon | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| D. Christie | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 25 | 66% | 12.5 / 19 | |
| E. Jones | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| D. Jones | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| R. Butler | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| M. Doleac | 10 | 31% | 5.0 / 16 | |
| U. Haslem | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| C. Laettner | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| K. Dooling | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| S. Anderson | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
82
+15
-9
97
MIA
81
+17
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 101.8 106.6 | ORL 107.7 MIA 111.0 +3.3 |
| Pace | 97.7 93.9 | ORL 87.5 MIA 94.8 +7.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.6 15.6 | ORL 16.5 MIA 15.2 +1.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.8% 52.4% | ORL 49.4% +1.8% MIA 47.6% |
| TO % | 16.0% 14.0% | ORL 10.8% MIA 9.5% +1.3% |
| ORB % | 30.0% 27.0% | ORL 27.8% MIA 33.3% +5.5% |
| FTrt | 35.0 38.7 | ORL 35.4 +7.2 MIA 28.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 52.2% 57.8% | ORL 50.0% +11.5% MIA 38.5% |
| STL % | 7.9% 6.8% | ORL 4.4% +1.1% MIA 3.3% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 8.7% | ORL 8.2% +4.0% MIA 4.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.3% 52.7% | ORL 50.0% MIA 51.5% +1.5% |
| Rim FG% | 57.1% 63.0% | ORL 59.1% MIA 60.9% +1.8% |
| Mid FG% | 40.0% 41.0% | ORL 46.0% +2.0% MIA 44.0% |
| 3P % | 34.9% 37.7% | ORL 28.6% +3.6% MIA 25.0% |
| FT % | 75.9% 67.2% | ORL 71.4% MIA 83.3% +11.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.8% 37.6% | ORL 27.8% +0.8% MIA 27.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 50.5% 42.6% | ORL 63.3% MIA 58.8% +4.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 13.7% 19.8% | ORL 8.9% MIA 14.1% +5.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
| Game Totals | ORL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.9 | 23.1 |
| Points | 98 | 101 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 40 |
| Assists | 19 | 15 |
| Steals | 4 | 3 |
| Blocks | 6 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (2) | 10 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (5) | 14 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (3) | 26 (4) |
| Field Goals | 38-79 | 39-85 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-22 | 14-23 |
| Midrange FG | 23-50 | 22-50 |
| 2-Point FG | 36-72 | 36-73 |
| 3-Point FG | 2-7 | 3-12 |
| Free Throws | 20-28 | 20-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.