Final Win Prob. pScore
2629%96
98
1071%104
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
107.79187.5
MIA logo Heat
111.09194.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL98
101
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
101
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Cato98
100
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
100
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P3.PN)98
99
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: Cato FOR Garrity98
99
Q4 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem98
99
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)98
99
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)98
99
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLMagic Rebound95
99
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)95
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner95
99
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)95
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)95
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)95
98
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P2.PN)95
97
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
97
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Francis 6' Jump Shot95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Cato95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
97
Q4 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Anderson FOR Butler95
96
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
96
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLCato S.FOUL (P1.PN)95
95
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLCato Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)95
95
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
95
Q4 - 1:15MIAHEAT Rebound93
93
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot93
93
Q4 - 1:28ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 1:43MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
93
Q4 - 1:56ORLTurkoglu Layup (11 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)91
91
Q4 - 2:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)89
91
Q4 - 2:26ORLFrancis Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)89
91
Q4 - 2:42ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
91
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot87
91
Q4 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
91
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot87
91
Q4 - 3:17MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
91
Q4 - 3:33MIASUB: Wade FOR Dooling87
88
Q4 - 3:33MIASUB: Haslem FOR Laettner87
88
Q4 - 3:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)87
88
Q4 - 3:34ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 3:46ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
88
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Laettner 19' Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 4:12ORLHill Driving Dunk (24 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 4:15MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)83
88
Q4 - 4:24ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)83
88
Q4 - 4:33MIALaettner Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 4:57ORLFrancis 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 5:16MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
86
Q4 - 5:16ORLSUB: Cato FOR Howard81
85
Q4 - 5:16MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
85
Q4 - 5:16ORLNelson S.FOUL (P4.PN)81
84
Q4 - 5:16MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
84
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Dooling 9' Jump Shot81
84
Q4 - 5:37ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)81
84
Q4 - 6:03MIADooling Driving Dunk (6 PTS)81
84
Q4 - 6:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
82
Q4 - 6:16ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot81
82
Q4 - 6:34MIADooling 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
82
Q4 - 6:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade81
80
Q4 - 6:48ORLHill L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)81
80
Q4 - 6:48MIAHEAT Rebound81
80
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot81
80
Q4 - 7:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T8)81
80
Q4 - 7:04MIAWade OFF.Foul (P5)81
80
Q4 - 7:24ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)81
80
Q4 - 7:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
80
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
80
Q4 - 7:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
80
Q4 - 7:45ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 278
80
Q4 - 7:45ORLSUB: Francis FOR Garrity78
80
Q4 - 7:45ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
80
Q4 - 7:45MIADooling P.FOUL (P3.T2)77
80
Q4 - 8:01ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)77
80
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)77
80
Q4 - 8:22MIAHEAT Rebound77
78
Q4 - 8:24ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot77
78
Q4 - 8:43MIALaettner Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)77
78
Q4 - 8:56ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Augmon77
76
Q4 - 8:5677
76
Q4 - 8:56ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)77
76
Q4 - 8:56ORLMagic Rebound77
76
Q4 - 8:56ORLMISS Augmon 20' Turnaround Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 9:05ORLSUB: Hill FOR Turkoglu77
76
Q4 - 9:05ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)77
76
Q4 - 9:23MIADooling Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)77
76
Q4 - 9:27ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)77
74
Q4 - 9:39ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
74
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot77
74
Q4 - 9:49ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Francis77
74
Q4 - 9:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Anderson77
74
Q4 - 9:49ORLSUB: Howard FOR Battie77
74
Q4 - 9:49ORLBattie P.FOUL (P5.T3)77
74
Q4 - 10:04ORLAugmon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
74
Q4 - 10:17MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
74
Q4 - 10:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
72
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 275
72
Q4 - 10:34ORLMagic Rebound75
72
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 275
72
Q4 - 10:34MIALaettner S.FOUL (P3.T1)75
72
Q4 - 10:43MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
72
Q4 - 10:51ORLBattie P.FOUL (P4.T2)75
70
Q4 - 11:10ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
70
Q4 - 11:23ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
70
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 273
70
Q4 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound73
70
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 273
70
Q4 - 11:25ORLBattie P.FOUL (P3.T1)73
70
Q4 - 11:42ORLGarrity Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
70
Q4 - 12:0071
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL71
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound71
70
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
70
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
70
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
70
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
70
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
70
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLSUB: Augmon FOR Hill69
70
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAnderson L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)69
70
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMagic Rebound69
70
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot69
70
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)69
70
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot69
70
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
70
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
70
Q3 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound67
69
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 267
69
Q3 - 1:02ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P3.PN)67
69
Q3 - 1:19ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard67
69
Q3 - 1:19ORLBattie L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)67
69
Q3 - 1:19MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
69
Q3 - 1:20ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot67
69
Q3 - 1:35MIAButler Layup (10 PTS)67
69
Q3 - 1:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
67
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot67
67
Q3 - 1:54ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)67
67
Q3 - 1:58ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Nelson67
67
Q3 - 1:58ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
67
Q3 - 2:04MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)67
67
Q3 - 2:21ORLHill 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)67
67
Q3 - 2:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
67
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 2:50MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
67
Q3 - 2:52ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 3:06MIAButler 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)65
67
Q3 - 3:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
65
Q3 - 3:19ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 3:38MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)65
65
Q3 - 3:50ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
63
Q3 - 3:50MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones64
63
Q3 - 3:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
63
Q3 - 3:50ORLSUB: Battie FOR Cato63
63
Q3 - 3:50MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.PN)63
63
Q3 - 3:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
63
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Laettner 13' Jump Shot63
63
Q3 - 4:16ORLFrancis 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)63
63
Q3 - 4:35MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
63
Q3 - 4:58ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)61
60
Q3 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
60
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 5:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
60
Q3 - 5:39ORLFrancis Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)59
60
Q3 - 5:45ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
60
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 6:05ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
60
Q3 - 6:05MIASUB: Anderson FOR Wade56
60
Q3 - 6:05ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
60
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.T4)55
60
Q3 - 6:20MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
60
Q3 - 6:26ORLNelson P.FOUL (P3.T3)55
58
Q3 - 6:42ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)55
58
Q3 - 6:59MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac53
58
Q3 - 6:59MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
58
Q3 - 7:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
58
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot53
58
Q3 - 7:21ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
58
Q3 - 7:21ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
58
Q3 - 7:21MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)51
58
Q3 - 7:33ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending51
58
Q3 - 7:33MIADoleac 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
58
Q3 - 7:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
56
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Doleac Layup51
56
Q3 - 7:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
56
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Francis Layup51
56
Q3 - 8:01MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)51
56
Q3 - 8:15ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
56
Q3 - 8:15ORLMagic Rebound50
56
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 250
56
Q3 - 8:15MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)50
56
Q3 - 8:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
56
Q3 - 8:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 8:37ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)50
54
Q3 - 8:53ORLHoward Dunk (10 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)50
54
Q3 - 9:00ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
54
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Doleac 5' Hook Shot48
54
Q3 - 9:27ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Cato 2 AST)48
54
Q3 - 9:36MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)46
54
Q3 - 9:57ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
52
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
52
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
51
Q3 - 10:14ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)44
50
Q3 - 10:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
50
Q3 - 10:29ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)44
50
Q3 - 10:30ORLMISS Howard Layup42
50
Q3 - 10:41ORLCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)42
50
Q3 - 10:43ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot42
50
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
50
Q3 - 11:21ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
48
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones Layup (10 PTS)40
48
Q3 - 11:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
46
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot40
46
Q3 - 12:0040
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot40
46
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
46
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Christie 20' Jump Shot40
46
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)40
46
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
46
Q2 - 0:40.0MIASUB: Anderson FOR Jones39
46
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLSUB: Augmon FOR Hill39
46
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLSUB: Christie FOR Nelson39
46
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
46
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)38
46
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
46
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot38
46
Q2 - 1:07ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)38
46
Q2 - 1:24MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)36
46
Q2 - 1:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
44
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot36
44
Q2 - 1:56ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending36
44
Q2 - 1:56MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)36
44
Q2 - 2:01ORLDoleac STEAL (1 STL)36
42
Q2 - 2:10ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
42
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
42
Q2 - 2:29ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
42
Q2 - 2:29ORLMagic Rebound35
42
Q2 - 2:29ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 235
42
Q2 - 2:29MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T4)35
42
Q2 - 2:31ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
42
Q2 - 2:33ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 2:46ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
42
Q2 - 2:52MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 3:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
39
Q2 - 3:15ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot35
39
Q2 - 3:31MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
39
Q2 - 3:45MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade35
37
Q2 - 3:45ORLSUB: Howard FOR Garrity35
37
Q2 - 3:45ORLHill Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
37
Q2 - 3:45ORLHill OFF.Foul (P2)35
37
Q2 - 3:51MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)35
37
Q2 - 3:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
35
Q2 - 3:58ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup35
35
Q2 - 4:03ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
35
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
35
Q2 - 4:24ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)35
35
Q2 - 4:35MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)33
33
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Butler 20' Turnaround Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 4:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
33
Q2 - 4:57ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
33
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
31
Q2 - 5:22ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot33
31
Q2 - 5:35ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
31
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Jones 16' Fadeaway Jumper33
31
Q2 - 5:57MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson33
31
Q2 - 5:57ORLSUB: Francis FOR Turkoglu33
31
Q2 - 5:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
31
Q2 - 5:57ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)33
31
Q2 - 6:01ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
31
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
31
Q2 - 6:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
31
Q2 - 6:16MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling32
31
Q2 - 6:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 6:16MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T3)31
31
Q2 - 6:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
31
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 6:46ORLHill 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 7:07MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 7:07MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 7:07ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Christie29
29
Q2 - 7:07ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T4)29
29
Q2 - 7:25ORLGarrity 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 7:41ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 7:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
29
Q2 - 7:58ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 8:06ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 8:17ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
29
Q2 - 8:17ORLMagic Rebound26
29
Q2 - 8:17ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 226
29
Q2 - 8:17MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
29
Q2 - 8:33ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
29
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
29
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 8:35ORLSUB: Cato FOR Augmon26
28
Q2 - 8:35ORLSUB: Hill FOR Battie26
28
Q2 - 8:3526
28
Q2 - 8:35ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T3)26
28
Q2 - 8:54ORLChristie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)26
28
Q2 - 9:04ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
28
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
28
Q2 - 9:19ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (2 PTS)24
28
Q2 - 9:35MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)22
28
Q2 - 9:47MIASUB: Doleac FOR Laettner22
26
Q2 - 9:47ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)22
26
Q2 - 10:06MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)22
26
Q2 - 10:12MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
24
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Christie Driving Layup22
24
Q2 - 10:22MIALaettner Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
24
Q2 - 10:22MIALaettner OFF.Foul (P2)22
24
Q2 - 10:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
24
Q2 - 10:37ORLMISS Christie 21' Jump Shot22
24
Q2 - 10:47ORLMagic Rebound22
24
Q2 - 10:49ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot22
24
Q2 - 11:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
24
Q2 - 11:08ORLSUB: Christie FOR Francis22
23
Q2 - 11:08MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones22
23
Q2 - 11:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
23
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
22
Q2 - 11:10MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22
Q2 - 11:11ORLAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
22
Q2 - 11:13ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22
Q2 - 11:15ORLMISS Francis 10' Fadeaway Jumper22
22
Q2 - 11:26MIADooling L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)22
22
Q2 - 11:26ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22
Q2 - 11:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper22
22
Q2 - 11:34ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
22
Q2 - 11:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot22
22
Q2 - 11:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
22
Q2 - 11:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
21
Q2 - 11:48ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
20
Q2 - 12:0022
20
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
20
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound22
20
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup22
20
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
20
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Anderson Layup22
20
Q1 - 0:28.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
20
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Augmon 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
20
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)22
20
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLSUB: Augmon FOR Nelson22
18
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T3)22
18
Q1 - 1:01ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
18
Q1 - 1:01ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
18
Q1 - 1:01MIALaettner S.FOUL (P1.T4)20
18
Q1 - 1:07MIALaettner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 1:25ORLNelson Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)20
16
Q1 - 1:38MIAAnderson Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
16
Q1 - 1:39MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
14
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Anderson Tip Shot18
14
Q1 - 1:41MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
14
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
14
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot18
14
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup18
14
Q1 - 1:49ORLLaettner STEAL (1 STL)18
14
Q1 - 2:01MIASUB: Anderson FOR Wade18
14
Q1 - 2:01MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac18
14
Q1 - 2:01ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Howard18
14
Q1 - 2:01ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Hill18
14
Q1 - 2:01ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
14
Q1 - 2:05MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
14
Q1 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 2:20ORLMISS Howard Layup18
12
Q1 - 2:44MIAJones 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
12
Q1 - 3:09ORLHill Driving Layup (9 PTS)18
10
Q1 - 3:23ORLSUB: Battie FOR Cato16
10
Q1 - 3:23MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
10
Q1 - 3:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
10
Q1 - 3:30ORLMISS Hill Layup16
10
Q1 - 3:44ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
10
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot16
10
Q1 - 4:08ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)16
10
Q1 - 4:21MIADoleac 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 4:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
8
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 4:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Cato 19' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
8
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)14
8
Q1 - 5:09ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)14
8
Q1 - 5:25MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
8
Q1 - 5:45ORLCato 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)12
6
Q1 - 5:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
6
Q1 - 5:58MIADoleac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 6:13ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 6:13ORLFrancis OFF.Foul (P1)10
6
Q1 - 6:18MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 6:20MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Doleac Layup10
4
Q1 - 6:36ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
4
Q1 - 6:42ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
4
Q1 - 6:51ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
4
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot8
4
Q1 - 6:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 7:06MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)8
4
Q1 - 7:08ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
4
Q1 - 7:10ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 7:26MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 7:41MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
2
Q1 - 7:42ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 28
2
Q1 - 7:42ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 7:42MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
2
Q1 - 7:49ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
2
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot7
2
Q1 - 7:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
2
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup7
2
Q1 - 8:11MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
2
Q1 - 8:12ORLMISS Francis 6' Running Jump Shot7
2
Q1 - 8:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
2
Q1 - 8:19ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 27
2
Q1 - 8:19ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
2
Q1 - 8:19MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 8:25MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 8:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
0
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 8:47MIAHEAT Rebound6
0
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:02ORLMagic Rebound6
0
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:25ORLHill 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
0
Q1 - 9:39ORLMagic Rebound4
0
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 9:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Doleac 6' Hook Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:10ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 10:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:37ORLHill 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:57MIAHEAT Rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Jones Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:05ORLDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:15ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:27ORLHill P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAHEAT Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Cato: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
22
59%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
ORL
23
50
46%
MIA
22
50
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
20
28
71%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2870%14.0 / 20
S. Francis1642%8.0 / 19
H. Turkoglu1470%7.0 / 10
J. Nelson1354%6.5 / 12
D. Howard1250%6.0 / 12
K. Cato550%2.5 / 5
P. Garrity440%2.0 / 5
T. Battie233%1.0 / 3
S. Augmon233%1.0 / 3
D. Christie225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2566%12.5 / 19
E. Jones1563%7.5 / 12
D. Jones1450%7.0 / 14
R. Butler1246%6.0 / 13
M. Doleac1031%5.0 / 16
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
C. Laettner857%4.0 / 7
K. Dooling675%3.0 / 4
S. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+15
-9
97
MIA
81
+17
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
106.6
ORL 107.7
MIA 111.0 +3.3
Pace
97.7
93.9
ORL 87.5
MIA 94.8 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
ORL 16.5
MIA 15.2 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
52.4%
ORL 49.4% +1.8%
MIA 47.6%
TO %
16.0%
14.0%
ORL 10.8%
MIA 9.5% −1.3%
ORB %
30.0%
27.0%
ORL 27.8%
MIA 33.3% +5.5%
FTrt
35.0
38.7
ORL 35.4 +7.2
MIA 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
57.8%
ORL 50.0% +11.5%
MIA 38.5%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
ORL 4.4% +1.1%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
ORL 8.2% +4.0%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
52.7%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 51.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%
57.1%
63.0%
ORL 59.1%
MIA 60.9% +1.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.0%
ORL 46.0% +2.0%
MIA 44.0%
3P %
34.9%
37.7%
ORL 28.6% +3.6%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
75.9%
67.2%
ORL 71.4%
MIA 83.3% +11.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
37.6%
ORL 27.8% +0.8%
MIA 27.1%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
42.6%
ORL 63.3%
MIA 58.8% −4.5%
3P Att. %
13.7%
19.8%
ORL 8.9%
MIA 14.1% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points98101
Rebounds3840
Assists1915
Steals43
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)26 (4)
Field Goals38-7939-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2214-23
Midrange FG23-5022-50
2-Point FG36-7236-73
3-Point FG2-73-12
Free Throws20-2820-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
40.8
16
42%
3
4
1
2
3
3
3
0
6-10
60%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
38.5
28
70%
4
3
2
0
2
3
0
4
4-6
67%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
37.5
13
54%
8
7
0
0
1
4
1
7
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
30.1
5
50%
10
2
1
2
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
29.0
12
50%
5
1
0
2
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 26
21.9
14
70%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
16.4
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
12.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
5
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
8.5
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35
4.7
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
F · 6'7" 266 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
50%
38
19
4
6
9
0
10
28
20-28
71%
36-72
50%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.