Final Win Prob. pScore
1148%99
112
1952%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
117.99589.9
ORL logo Magic
104.099104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
103
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)112
103
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nelson Layup112
103
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)112
103
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)111
103
Q4 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Haslem110
103
Q4 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Anderson FOR Laettner110
103
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLNelson P.FOUL (P4.PN)110
103
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)110
103
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson110
102
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Laettner FOR Dooling110
102
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)110
102
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)110
101
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)110
101
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)110
101
Q4 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Dooling FOR Haslem109
101
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)109
101
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P3.PN)108
101
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
101
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Hill Layup108
101
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMAGIC Rebound108
101
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2108
101
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)108
101
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.PN)108
100
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)108
100
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAJones Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)108
100
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)106
100
Q4 - 1:02ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)106
100
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot106
100
Q4 - 1:15ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard106
100
Q4 - 1:15ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)106
100
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)106
100
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)105
100
Q4 - 1:15ORLHill S.FOUL (P2.PN)104
100
Q4 - 1:34ORLHill Driving Layup (33 PTS)104
100
Q4 - 1:47MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)104
98
Q4 - 2:00ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)102
98
Q4 - 2:00ORLMAGIC Rebound102
97
Q4 - 2:00ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2102
97
Q4 - 2:00MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)102
97
Q4 - 2:00MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)102
97
Q4 - 2:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)102
97
Q4 - 2:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
97
Q4 - 2:31MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)102
97
Q4 - 2:50ORLTurkoglu 7' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)99
97
Q4 - 2:55MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)99
95
Q4 - 2:55ORLMAGIC Rebound99
95
Q4 - 2:55ORLMISS Francis Layup99
95
Q4 - 2:58MIANelson STEAL (2 STL)99
95
Q4 - 3:17ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)99
95
Q4 - 3:36MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
93
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)97
93
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot97
93
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)97
93
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 297
93
Q4 - 3:58MIASUB: Anderson FOR Butler97
93
Q4 - 3:58ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
93
Q4 - 3:58MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling97
92
Q4 - 3:58ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Christie97
92
Q4 - 3:58MIAButler S.FOUL (P5.PN)97
92
Q4 - 4:03MIAChristie STEAL (1 STL)97
92
Q4 - 4:14MIADooling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
92
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot97
92
Q4 - 4:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
92
Q4 - 4:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
91
Q4 - 4:29MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.PN)97
90
Q4 - 4:44MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)97
90
Q4 - 5:06ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)95
90
Q4 - 5:06ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)95
89
Q4 - 5:06MIAButler S.FOUL (P4.PN)95
88
Q4 - 5:14ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
88
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
88
Q4 - 5:22ORLChristie P.FOUL (P1.T4)95
88
Q4 - 5:33ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)95
88
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Reverse Layup (26 PTS)95
88
Q4 - 5:56ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
88
Q4 - 5:56ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
87
Q4 - 5:56MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.T4)93
86
Q4 - 6:13MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)93
86
Q4 - 6:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
86
Q4 - 6:30ORLMISS Francis 19' Fadeaway Jumper90
86
Q4 - 6:41MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anderson90
86
Q4 - 6:41MIASUB: Wade FOR Laettner90
86
Q4 - 6:41ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)90
86
Q4 - 6:48ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
86
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup90
86
Q4 - 6:52MIADooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
86
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot90
86
Q4 - 7:16ORLFrancis Reverse Layup (21 PTS)90
86
Q4 - 7:35MIAJones Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)90
84
Q4 - 7:55ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
84
Q4 - 7:55ORLMAGIC Rebound88
83
Q4 - 7:55ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 288
83
Q4 - 7:55MIADooling S.FOUL (P2.T3)88
83
Q4 - 8:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
83
Q4 - 8:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 8:05ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P3.T3)86
83
Q4 - 8:24ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)86
83
Q4 - 8:44MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)86
81
Q4 - 8:57ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)84
81
Q4 - 8:5784
80
Q4 - 8:57MIALaettner S.FOUL (P3.T2)84
80
Q4 - 8:57ORLFrancis Driving Layup (17 PTS)84
80
Q4 - 9:02ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
78
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Butler 20' Fadeaway Jumper84
78
Q4 - 9:17MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade84
78
Q4 - 9:17ORLSUB: Hill FOR Garrity84
78
Q4 - 9:17ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T2)84
78
Q4 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)84
78
Q4 - 9:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
75
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
75
Q4 - 10:05MIAHeat Rebound84
75
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Christie 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
75
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)84
75
Q4 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)81
75
Q4 - 10:30MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T1)81
74
Q4 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
74
Q4 - 10:41MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
72
Q4 - 10:47ORLSUB: Francis FOR Hill79
72
Q4 - 10:47ORLSUB: Howard FOR Hunter79
72
Q4 - 10:47ORLHunter P.FOUL (P2.T1)79
72
Q4 - 11:10ORLChristie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)79
72
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
70
Q4 - 11:45ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)77
70
Q4 - 12:0077
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL77
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound77
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot77
68
Q3 - 0:14.0ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
68
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
68
Q3 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem77
68
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
68
Q3 - 0:15.0ORLHunter S.FOUL (P1.PN)76
68
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)76
68
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
67
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLSUB: Christie FOR Nelson76
66
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard76
66
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAnderson P.FOUL (P3.PN)76
66
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
66
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
66
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 274
66
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Battie74
66
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
66
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)74
65
Q3 - 0:53.0MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)74
65
Q3 - 1:00ORLHill Layup (21 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)74
65
Q3 - 1:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
63
Q3 - 1:06MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)74
63
Q3 - 1:21MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
63
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
63
Q3 - 1:37ORLMAGIC Rebound74
63
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
63
Q3 - 1:43ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
63
Q3 - 1:43ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Francis74
62
Q3 - 1:43ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
62
Q3 - 1:43MIASUB: Anderson FOR Jones74
61
Q3 - 1:43MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)74
61
Q3 - 1:45ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
61
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 1:53MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
61
Q3 - 1:55ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot74
61
Q3 - 2:11MIAWade Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)74
61
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
61
Q3 - 2:17ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot72
61
Q3 - 2:33MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)72
61
Q3 - 2:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
61
Q3 - 2:47ORLMAGIC Rebound70
60
Q3 - 2:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 270
60
Q3 - 2:47MIALaettner S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
60
Q3 - 3:05MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
60
Q3 - 3:30ORLFrancis Slam Dunk (15 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 3:41MIAHoward STEAL (4 STL)68
58
Q3 - 3:54MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
58
Q3 - 3:54ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 168
58
Q3 - 3:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
58
Q3 - 3:54MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
58
Q3 - 3:54ORLNelson Reverse Layup (12 PTS)68
58
Q3 - 4:07ORLMAGIC Rebound68
56
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot68
56
Q3 - 4:30ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T15)68
56
Q3 - 4:30ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P3)68
56
Q3 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
56
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
56
Q3 - 4:57ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)68
56
Q3 - 5:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
56
Q3 - 5:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 5:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
55
Q3 - 5:31MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T4)65
54
Q3 - 5:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
54
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 2 of 265
54
Q3 - 5:44MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
54
Q3 - 5:44ORLSUB: Battie FOR Cato64
54
Q3 - 5:44ORLCato S.FOUL (P4.T4)64
54
Q3 - 5:54ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
54
Q3 - 5:54MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac64
53
Q3 - 5:54ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)64
53
Q3 - 5:54MIADoleac S.FOUL (P4.T3)64
53
Q3 - 5:54ORLHill Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)64
53
Q3 - 5:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
51
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot64
51
Q3 - 6:24ORLFrancis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
51
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
49
Q3 - 6:44ORLCato P.FOUL (P3.T3)62
49
Q3 - 7:02ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)62
49
Q3 - 7:15MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P2.T11)62
47
Q3 - 7:15MIADoleac OFF.Foul (P3)62
47
Q3 - 7:34ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)62
47
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
45
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)60
45
Q3 - 8:08MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)60
44
Q3 - 8:08ORLHill 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
44
Q3 - 8:26MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Doleac 3 AST)60
42
Q3 - 8:43MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
42
Q3 - 8:45ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot57
42
Q3 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
42
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Haslem Layup57
42
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
42
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
42
Q3 - 9:22ORLFrancis 16' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)57
42
Q3 - 9:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
40
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
40
Q3 - 9:56ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
40
Q3 - 9:56ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
39
Q3 - 9:56MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)57
38
Q3 - 9:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
38
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot57
38
Q3 - 10:26ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)57
38
Q3 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
38
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot57
38
Q3 - 10:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
38
Q3 - 10:46ORLMISS Francis Layup57
38
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
38
Q3 - 11:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
38
Q3 - 11:01ORLCato S.FOUL (P2.T2)55
38
Q3 - 11:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
38
Q3 - 11:07ORLMISS Howard Layup55
38
Q3 - 11:13MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)55
38
Q3 - 11:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
38
Q3 - 11:18ORLMISS Cato 13' Jump Shot55
38
Q3 - 11:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
38
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 255
38
Q3 - 11:35MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
38
Q3 - 11:35ORLNelson S.FOUL (P3.T1)54
38
Q3 - 11:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
38
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot54
38
Q3 - 12:0054
38
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
38
Q2 - 0:00.0MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
38
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
38
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
38
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot54
38
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
38
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper54
38
Q2 - 0:53.0MIALaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
38
Q2 - 1:07MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac54
38
Q2 - 1:07ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P1.T12)54
38
Q2 - 1:07ORLGarrity OFF.Foul (P1)54
38
Q2 - 1:16MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)54
38
Q2 - 1:32MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)52
38
Q2 - 1:32ORLSUB: Hunter FOR Howard52
38
Q2 - 1:32MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)52
38
Q2 - 1:32ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T11)52
38
Q2 - 1:32ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P2)52
38
Q2 - 1:49MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)52
38
Q2 - 2:09ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
38
Q2 - 2:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
35
Q2 - 2:49ORLHill Slam Dunk (9 PTS)47
35
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
33
Q2 - 3:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
33
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot45
33
Q2 - 3:25MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
33
Q2 - 3:45ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
33
Q2 - 3:45ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
32
Q2 - 3:45MIASUB: Jones FOR Dooling42
31
Q2 - 3:45MIADooling P.FOUL (P1.PN)42
31
Q2 - 3:47MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)42
31
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
31
Q2 - 3:59ORLMISS Francis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot42
31
Q2 - 4:18MIASUB: Wade FOR Anderson42
31
Q2 - 4:18MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)42
31
Q2 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound42
31
Q2 - 4:18MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)42
31
Q2 - 4:45ORLHill Driving Layup (7 PTS)42
31
Q2 - 5:06MIADooling 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)42
29
Q2 - 5:17MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
29
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot40
29
Q2 - 5:24ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Cato40
29
Q2 - 5:24MIAAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T4)40
29
Q2 - 5:31ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
29
Q2 - 5:38MIADooling 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
29
Q2 - 5:49ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)38
29
Q2 - 6:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot38
29
Q2 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
29
Q2 - 6:27ORLMISS Cato Layup38
29
Q2 - 6:43MIADooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
29
Q2 - 6:43MIADooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 6:43ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T4)36
29
Q2 - 6:55ORLHill P.FOUL (P1.T3)36
29
Q2 - 7:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
29
Q2 - 7:14ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot36
29
Q2 - 7:29ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Christie36
29
Q2 - 7:29ORLSUB: Cato FOR Battie36
29
Q2 - 7:29MIADooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
29
Q2 - 7:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
29
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot36
29
Q2 - 8:02MIASUB: Haslem FOR Butler36
29
Q2 - 8:02MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T3)36
29
Q2 - 8:09MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
29
Q2 - 8:09MIAHeat Rebound35
29
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 235
29
Q2 - 8:09ORLSUB: Hill FOR Turkoglu35
29
Q2 - 8:09ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.T2)35
29
Q2 - 8:13ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
29
Q2 - 8:24MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)35
29
Q2 - 8:43ORLSUB: Howard FOR Stevenson32
29
Q2 - 8:43ORLSUB: Francis FOR Garrity32
29
Q2 - 8:4332
29
Q2 - 8:43ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)32
29
Q2 - 8:56ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
29
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 9:21MIAHeat Rebound32
29
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot32
29
Q2 - 9:43ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
29
Q2 - 9:44ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 232
29
Q2 - 9:44ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
29
Q2 - 9:44MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
28
Q2 - 9:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 10:03ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
28
Q2 - 10:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28
Q2 - 10:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 10:29MIAAnderson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
28
Q2 - 10:40MIASUB: Doleac FOR Laettner30
28
Q2 - 10:40MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade30
28
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
28
Q2 - 10:50ORLSUB: Christie FOR Nelson30
27
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
27
Q2 - 10:50MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)30
26
Q2 - 10:57MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)30
26
Q2 - 11:16ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)28
26
Q2 - 11:29MIALaettner Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
24
Q2 - 11:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
24
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Laettner 18' Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 12:0026
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound26
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Laettner 3PT Jump Shot26
24
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)26
24
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
22
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot26
22
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T4)26
22
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
22
Q1 - 1:00MIASUB: Anderson FOR Jones26
22
Q1 - 1:00MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem26
22
Q1 - 1:00MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones26
22
Q1 - 1:00ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Hill26
22
Q1 - 1:00ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard26
22
Q1 - 1:00MIALaettner P.FOUL (P1.T4)26
22
Q1 - 1:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Jones 19' Fadeaway Jumper26
22
Q1 - 1:20ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)26
22
Q1 - 1:47MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
20
Q1 - 1:55ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
20
Q1 - 1:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20
Q1 - 2:01ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 2:15MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 2:26ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 2:49MIAWade Dunk (5 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:16MIAHeat Rebound18
18
Q1 - 3:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)18
18
Q1 - 3:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
18
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:45ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)18
18
Q1 - 3:50MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)18
16
Q1 - 4:05ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Francis18
16
Q1 - 4:05ORLFrancis L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)18
16
Q1 - 4:05MIAHeat Rebound18
16
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot18
16
Q1 - 4:22MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
16
Q1 - 4:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 4:42ORLSUB: Battie FOR Cato16
16
Q1 - 4:42ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
16
Q1 - 4:49MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)16
16
Q1 - 5:04ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P3.T5)14
16
Q1 - 5:04ORLFrancis OFF.Foul (P1)14
16
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 5:19ORLCato S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
16
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 5:22ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
16
Q1 - 5:29MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
16
Q1 - 5:48ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)9
16
Q1 - 5:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 6:20ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)9
14
Q1 - 6:41MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
12
Q1 - 6:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12
Q1 - 6:48ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot6
12
Q1 - 6:51ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
12
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot6
12
Q1 - 7:13MIALaettner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 7:29ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)4
12
Q1 - 7:30MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)4
10
Q1 - 7:37ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
10
Q1 - 7:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
10
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot4
10
Q1 - 8:05ORLFrancis Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)4
10
Q1 - 8:05MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Laettner )4
9
Q1 - 8:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
9
Q1 - 8:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 8:31ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:31MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
7
Q1 - 8:45MIALaettner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 9:09ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 9:09MIASUB: Laettner FOR Doleac2
6
Q1 - 9:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
6
Q1 - 9:09MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T2)2
6
Q1 - 9:09ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:16ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:26ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
4
Q1 - 9:31ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:01MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
4
Q1 - 10:07ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:25MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:25MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
2
Q1 - 10:25ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:34ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:59ORLMAGIC Rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Hill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:22MIADoleac L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:41ORLCato Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Cato vs. Doleac: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
ORL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
15
67%
ORL
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
20
40
50%
ORL
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
ORL
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
19
23
83%
ORL
35
43
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2874%14.0 / 19
E. Jones2463%12.0 / 19
D. Jones2273%11.0 / 15
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Laettner975%4.5 / 6
K. Dooling638%3.0 / 8
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
S. Anderson583%2.5 / 3
R. Butler350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill3461%17.0 / 28
S. Francis2248%11.0 / 23
J. Nelson1450%7.0 / 14
H. Turkoglu1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard975%4.5 / 6
P. Garrity5125%2.5 / 2
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
D. Christie250%1.0 / 2
D. Stevenson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+13
-15
93
ORL
82
+10
-17
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
ORL
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
101.8
MIA 117.9 +13.9
ORL 104.0
Pace
93.9
97.7
MIA 89.9
ORL 104.9 +15.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.6
MIA 16.0
ORL 13.7 −2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.8%
MIA 60.4% +9.7%
ORL 50.7%
TO %
14.0%
16.0%
MIA 15.5% −1.0%
ORL 16.5%
ORB %
27.0%
30.0%
MIA 31.4% +12.0%
ORL 19.4%
FTrt
38.7
35.0
MIA 29.9
ORL 64.2 +34.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
52.2%
MIA 68.3% +16.8%
ORL 51.5%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
MIA 10.5% +1.4%
ORL 9.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.0%
MIA 6.7% +3.1%
ORL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.3%
MIA 60.2% +4.2%
ORL 56.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
57.1%
MIA 66.7%
ORL 71.4% +4.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.0%
MIA 50.0% +9.0%
ORL 41.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.9%
MIA 50.0% +21.4%
ORL 28.6%
FT %
67.2%
75.9%
MIA 82.6% +1.2%
ORL 81.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.8%
MIA 19.5%
ORL 31.3% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
50.5%
MIA 51.9% −6.3%
ORL 58.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
13.7%
MIA 28.6% +18.1%
ORL 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9599
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points112103
Rebounds3630
Assists2817
Steals109
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)24 (2)
Field Goals41-7733-67
At-the-Rim FG10-1515-21
Midrange FG20-4016-39
2-Point FG30-5531-60
3-Point FG11-222-7
Free Throws19-2335-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
44.2
24
63%
4
5
2
0
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
4-9
44%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
39.0
28
74%
3
11
2
3
8
3
2
1
6-7
86%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
37.0
10
50%
12
1
4
1
1
3
4
8
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
30.7
22
73%
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
6-10
60%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
18.5
5
50%
5
3
0
0
2
4
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 36
22.9
9
75%
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
19.6
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
17.8
6
38%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
10.3
3
50%
1
3
0
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
36
28
10
4
15
0
11
25
19-23
83%
30-55
55%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.