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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Kings39%101111
22Magic61%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
44.3
39.3
26
48%
4
10
1
2
1
3
0
4
2-3
67%
9-17
6-12
53%
48%
2-9
22%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.5
40.0
38.1
14
47%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
5-10
4-10
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.7
39.4
9.2
28
83%
4
1
2
0
0
3
1
3
11-11
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
3-7
43%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.0
34.4
15.4
15
56%
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
1-1
100%
7-13
2-4
54%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28.8
34.0
22.2
12
60%
5
2
0
1
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 27.6
20.6
30.9
8
82%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
45%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.2
18.1
28.5
8
62%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
4-6
5-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
5.5
19.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.8
3.7
12.2
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
40%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.9
26.2
1
4-8
51%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.1
6.4
0
1-1
44%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.0
5.5
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.1
40.0
32.3
19
54%
1
6
3
2
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
9-14
5-11
64%
47%
0-3
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.0
38.2
35.7
29
61%
4
10
1
1
1
3
1
3
5-9
56%
12-19
7-15
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.2
35.8
32.7
20
64%
16
2
0
1
3
0
8
8
8-8
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.4
34.9
36.5
20
67%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
9-14
8-16
64%
50%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.5
34.5
21.2
13
67%
12
4
2
1
0
1
3
9
3-4
75%
5-8
2-4
63%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
21.7
14.4
5
51%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.6
12.8
4.6
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.0
12.1
21.9
6
60%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.8
6.0
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.5
4.0
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.9
5.4
0
1-2
45%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.3
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.