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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Bobcats33%9085
34Hornets67%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
39.0
33.9
18
60%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
6-9
67%
6-11
6-13
55%
45%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.4
37.1
29.6
8
34%
12
3
0
0
0
1
2
10
4-4
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.3
34.4
30.4
16
50%
4
5
1
2
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
8-16
4-9
50%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
27.1
26.9
13
73%
8
2
3
1
4
4
2
6
1-2
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
17.2
27.8
4
33%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
19.9
16.8
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
2-5
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.8
18.9
19.0
10
54%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.8
15.9
21.5
9
48%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
13.7
8.6
1
9%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
9.7
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
3.9
8.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
3.1
2.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.4
36.3
34.7
12
47%
15
1
0
1
0
2
4
11
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.7
35.9
20.7
10
34%
13
1
3
1
1
2
4
9
6-8
75%
2-10
3-5
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.5
28.4
30.0
18
60%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
4-7
57%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.5
28.1
22.5
17
67%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
2-6
33%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
13.8
17.6
6
60%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.0
27.0
22.8
14
47%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
23.2
23.6
11
67%
8
4
0
1
1
1
3
5
3-5
60%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
19.9
22.7
6
44%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.8
19.6
21.1
0
0%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.7
7.9
16.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.1
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.