Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 4, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	12	Kings	35%	99	83
	9	Heat	65%	104	104

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Kings	90.2	92	100.7
Heat	113.0	92	84.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-13

MIA

+16

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 46.1%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MIA	Dooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIA	MISS Zhi-zhi Layup	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:21.0	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:23.0	MIA	MISS Dooling Driving Layup	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:34.0	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:36.0	SAC	MISS Martin 13' Jump Shot	83 0%	104 100%
Q4 - 0:52.0	MIA	Mourning 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 1:07	MIA	Zhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:09	SAC	MISS Evans 20' Jump Shot	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:21	SAC	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:23	MIA	MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:23	MIA	HEAT Rebound	83	102
Q4 - 1:23	MIA	MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:23	SAC	Ostertag S.FOUL (P2.PN)	83	102
Q4 - 1:33	SAC	House 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	83 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:51	SAC	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	81 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:53	MIA	MISS Butler 21' Jump Shot	81 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 2:04	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	81 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 2:06	SAC	Butler BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	81 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 2:22	SAC	SUB: Martin FOR Williamson	81	101
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	SUB: Zhi-zhi FOR Haslem	81	101
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR Wade	81	101
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 2:22	SAC	Williamson S.FOUL (P4.PN)	81	100
Q4 - 2:23	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 2:25	MIA	MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 2:39	SAC	Ostertag Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 2:47	SAC	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 2:49	MIA	MISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 2:59	SAC	SUB: Ostertag FOR Skinner	81	100
Q4 - 2:59	SAC	Williamson P.FOUL (P3.T4)	81	100
Q4 - 3:14	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 3:16	SAC	MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 3:17	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 3:21	SAC	Mourning BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 3:37	SAC	SUB: Evans FOR Mobley	81	100
Q4 - 3:37	SAC	SUB: House FOR Bibby	81	100
Q4 - 3:37	MIA	SUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal	81	100
Q4 - 3:37	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	81	100
Q4 - 3:37	SAC	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 3:40	MIA	MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:01	SAC	Skinner Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	81 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:18	MIA	Haslem Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	79 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:23	SAC	Dooling STEAL (2 STL)	79 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 4:33	MIA	O'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)	79 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 4:47	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	79 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 4:47	SAC	Kings Rebound	78	98
Q4 - 4:47	SAC	MISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2	78 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 4:47			78	98
Q4 - 4:47	MIA	Anderson S.FOUL (P4.T2)	78	98
Q4 - 5:03	MIA	Anderson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)	78 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 5:10	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)	78 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 5:12	SAC	MISS Williamson 10' Jump Shot	78 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 5:26	MIA	Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)	78 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 5:28	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	78 0.4%	93 99.6%
Q4 - 5:30	MIA	MISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	78 0.5%	93 99.5%
Q4 - 5:55	SAC	Mobley 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	78 0.4%	93 99.6%
Q4 - 6:08	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Jones	76	93
Q4 - 6:08	MIA	SUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac	76	93
Q4 - 6:08	MIA	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	76 0.5%	93 99.5%
Q4 - 6:26	SAC	Mobley 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	76 0.4%	93 99.6%
Q4 - 6:40	MIA	Haslem Layup (9 PTS)	74 0.3%	93 99.7%
Q4 - 6:42	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	74 0.4%	91 99.6%
Q4 - 6:44	MIA	MISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot	74 0.5%	91 99.5%
Q4 - 7:02	SAC	Mobley 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	74 0.6%	91 99.4%
Q4 - 7:19	MIA	Anderson Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	72 0.4%	91 99.6%
Q4 - 7:37	MIA	Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 0.5%	89 99.5%
Q4 - 7:41	SAC	MISS Williamson 9' Hook Shot	72 0.6%	89 99.4%
Q4 - 7:53	MIA	Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	72 0.7%	89 99.3%
Q4 - 7:53	MIA	Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	72 0.8%	88 99.2%
Q4 - 7:53	SAC	Mobley S.FOUL (P3.T3)	72	87
Q4 - 7:58	SAC	Haslem STEAL (1 STL)	72 0.9%	87 99.1%
Q4 - 8:11	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	72 1.7%	87 98.3%
Q4 - 8:13	SAC	Skinner S.FOUL (P4.T2)	72	87
Q4 - 8:13	MIA	MISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2	72 1.6%	87 98.4%
Q4 - 8:13	MIA	HEAT Rebound	72	87
Q4 - 8:13	MIA	MISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2	72 1.4%	87 98.6%
Q4 - 8:31	SAC	Skinner 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)	72 1.3%	87 98.7%
Q4 - 8:42	SAC	SUB: Skinner FOR Stojakovic	70	87
Q4 - 8:42	SAC	SUB: Mobley FOR Songaila	70	87
Q4 - 8:42	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	70	87
Q4 - 8:48	MIA	Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)	70 1.0%	87 99.0%
Q4 - 9:01	SAC	Bibby L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)	70	84
Q4 - 9:01	MIA	Dooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	70 2.2%	84 97.8%
Q4 - 9:02	SAC	MISS Songaila 13' Jump Shot	70 2.4%	84 97.6%
Q4 - 9:21	MIA	Dooling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	70 2.7%	84 97.3%
Q4 - 9:48	SAC	Thomas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)	70 3.4%	82 96.6%
Q4 - 10:00	MIA	Anderson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)	68 2.7%	82 97.3%
Q4 - 10:18	SAC	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	68 4.0%	80 96.0%
Q4 - 10:24	MIA	Anderson P.FOUL (P3.T1)	66	80
Q4 - 10:31	MIA	Haslem 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS)	66 3.2%	80 96.8%
Q4 - 10:47	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	66 4.0%	78 96.0%
Q4 - 10:49	SAC	Doleac BLOCK (2 BLK)	66 4.2%	78 95.8%
Q4 - 11:07	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	66 5.6%	78 94.4%
Q4 - 11:08	MIA	MISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot	66 5.3%	78 94.7%
Q4 - 11:29	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	66 4.6%	78 95.4%
Q4 - 11:31	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 4.9%	78 95.1%
Q4 - 11:37	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 5.6%	78 94.4%
Q4 - 11:39	MIA	MISS Doleac 21' Jump Shot	66 5.2%	78 94.8%
Q4 - 12:00			66	78
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC		66 4.6%	78 95.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	66 6.2%	78 93.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0	MIA	MISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2	66 6.0%	78 94.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	66 5.3%	78 94.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0	SAC	Williamson P.FOUL (P2.PN)	66	77
Q3 - 0:20.0	SAC	Jones STEAL (1 STL)	66 6.3%	77 93.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0	MIA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)	66 7.4%	77 92.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0	SAC	Songaila Tip Shot (8 PTS)	66 10.9%	74 89.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	64 8.9%	74 91.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	64 7.9%	74 92.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0	MIA	Jones Driving Layup (11 PTS)	64 8.9%	74 91.1%
Q3 - 1:13	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	64 11.3%	72 88.7%
Q3 - 1:13	SAC	SUB: Williamson FOR Mobley	63	72
Q3 - 1:13	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	63 11.2%	72 88.8%
Q3 - 1:13	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Wade	62	72
Q3 - 1:13	MIA	Anderson S.FOUL (P2.T2)	62	72
Q3 - 1:30	MIA	Jones Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)	62 9.3%	72 90.7%
Q3 - 1:34	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	62 11.3%	70 88.7%
Q3 - 1:36	SAC	O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)	62 11.9%	70 88.1%
Q3 - 1:47	MIA	Jones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	62 13.2%	70 86.8%
Q3 - 2:16	SAC	Mobley 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)	62 16.3%	68 83.7%
Q3 - 2:21	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	60 13.9%	68 86.1%
Q3 - 2:23	MIA	MISS Wade Driving Layup	60 13.2%	68 86.8%
Q3 - 2:37	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	60 11.8%	68 88.2%
Q3 - 2:39	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2	60 13.6%	68 86.4%
Q3 - 2:39	MIA	HEAT Rebound	60	68
Q3 - 2:39	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2	60 12.6%	68 87.4%
Q3 - 2:39	SAC	Skinner S.FOUL (P3.PN)	60	68
Q3 - 2:41	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	60	68
Q3 - 2:41	SAC	Songaila P.FOUL (P1.T4)	60	68
Q3 - 2:41	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	60 11.8%	68 88.2%
Q3 - 2:43	MIA	MISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot	60 13.2%	68 86.8%
Q3 - 3:03	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	60 12.2%	68 87.8%
Q3 - 3:05	SAC	MISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot	60 12.9%	68 87.1%
Q3 - 3:25	MIA	Haslem Dunk (4 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)	60 14.4%	68 85.6%
Q3 - 3:30	MIA	Jump Ball Anderson vs. Songaila: Tip to O'Neal	60	66
Q3 - 3:55	SAC	Bibby 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	60 16.6%	66 83.4%
Q3 - 4:01	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	58 14.9%	66 85.1%
Q3 - 4:03	MIA	MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot	58 14.2%	66 85.8%
Q3 - 4:15	MIA	HEAT Rebound	58 12.5%	66 87.5%
Q3 - 4:17	SAC	MISS Songaila 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	58 13.2%	66 86.8%
Q3 - 4:18	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	58 14.9%	66 85.1%
Q3 - 4:20	SAC	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	58 13.2%	66 86.8%
Q3 - 4:27	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	58 14.9%	66 85.1%
Q3 - 4:29	MIA	MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot	58 14.1%	66 85.9%
Q3 - 4:35	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	58 12.5%	66 87.5%
Q3 - 4:37	SAC	MISS Mobley 15' Fadeaway Jumper	58 13.2%	66 86.8%
Q3 - 4:45	MIA	SUB: Anderson FOR Jones	58	66
Q3 - 4:45	SAC	Kings Rebound	58	66
Q3 - 4:45	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical	58 14.9%	66 85.1%
Q3 - 4:45	MIA	HEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )	58	66
Q3 - 4:59	MIA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)	58 14.9%	66 85.1%
Q3 - 5:03	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	58 19.7%	63 80.3%
Q3 - 5:05	SAC	MISS Songaila 15' Jump Shot	58 20.6%	63 79.4%
Q3 - 5:21	SAC	Kings Rebound	58 22.9%	63 77.1%
Q3 - 5:22	MIA	MISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot	58 21.9%	63 78.1%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	58 19.7%	63 80.3%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	57 19.2%	63 80.8%
Q3 - 5:40	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P2.T1)	56	63
Q3 - 5:51	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	56 17.5%	63 82.5%
Q3 - 5:51	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	56 18.0%	62 82.0%
Q3 - 5:51	SAC	Mobley S.FOUL (P2.T3)	56	61
Q3 - 6:13	SAC	Mobley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	56 20.1%	61 79.9%
Q3 - 6:23	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	54	61
Q3 - 6:30	MIA	Wade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	54 17.8%	61 82.2%
Q3 - 6:36	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	54 20.1%	59 79.9%
Q3 - 6:38	SAC	MISS Skinner 6' Hook Shot	54 20.9%	59 79.1%
Q3 - 6:40	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	54 23.0%	59 77.0%
Q3 - 6:42	SAC	MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 20.9%	59 79.1%
Q3 - 7:03	MIA	Jones 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)	54 23.1%	59 76.9%
Q3 - 7:10	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	54 25.8%	57 74.2%
Q3 - 7:12	SAC	MISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot	54 26.8%	57 73.2%
Q3 - 7:28	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	54 29.0%	57 71.0%
Q3 - 7:30	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2	54 28.6%	57 71.4%
Q3 - 7:30	MIA	HEAT Rebound	54	57
Q3 - 7:30	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2	54 27.2%	57 72.8%
Q3 - 7:30	SAC	Skinner S.FOUL (P2.T2)	54	57
Q3 - 7:51	SAC	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)	54 25.8%	57 74.2%
Q3 - 8:16	MIA	O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)	51 20.6%	57 79.4%
Q3 - 8:26	SAC	Bibby P.FOUL (P1.T1)	51	55
Q3 - 8:42	SAC	Bibby Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)	51 23.0%	55 77.0%
Q3 - 8:54	MIA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)	49 20.6%	55 79.4%
Q3 - 9:14	SAC	Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Skinner 3 AST)	49 25.9%	52 74.1%
Q3 - 9:17	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	47 23.2%	52 76.8%
Q3 - 9:19	SAC	MISS Songaila 9' Jump Shot	47 21.4%	52 78.6%
Q3 - 9:38	MIA	O'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)	47 23.2%	52 76.8%
Q3 - 9:52	MIA	HEAT Rebound	47 25.9%	50 74.1%
Q3 - 9:53	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	47 26.8%	50 73.2%
Q3 - 10:07	MIA	Wade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	47 28.9%	50 71.1%
Q3 - 10:26	SAC	Songaila 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	47 31.9%	48 68.1%
Q3 - 10:36	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 28.9%	48 71.1%
Q3 - 10:38	MIA	MISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot	45 28.0%	48 72.0%
Q3 - 11:04	SAC	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	45 26.0%	48 74.0%
Q3 - 11:15	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	43 23.6%	48 76.4%
Q3 - 11:17	MIA	MISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot	43 22.8%	48 77.2%
Q3 - 11:39	SAC	Skinner Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	43 21.0%	48 79.0%
Q3 - 12:00			41	48
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		41 19.0%	48 81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	41 16.8%	48 83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Wade 43' 3PT Jump Shot	41 18.3%	48 81.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0	SAC	Songaila 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	41 17.6%	48 82.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0	MIA	O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	39 15.2%	48 84.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	39 17.5%	46 82.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	38 17.1%	46 82.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0	MIA	Jones P.FOUL (P1.PN)	37	46
Q2 - 0:52.0	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	37 15.2%	46 84.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2	37 15.0%	46 85.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0	MIA	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	37 14.3%	46 85.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0	SAC	Skinner S.FOUL (P1.T3)	37	45
Q2 - 0:57.0	SAC	Laettner STEAL (3 STL)	37 15.6%	45 84.4%
Q2 - 1:01	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 17.3%	45 82.7%
Q2 - 1:03	MIA	MISS O'Neal Driving Layup	37 16.9%	45 83.1%
Q2 - 1:20	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	37 15.9%	45 84.1%
Q2 - 1:22	SAC	MISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2	37 16.1%	45 83.9%
Q2 - 1:22	SAC	Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	37 17.4%	45 82.6%
Q2 - 1:22	MIA	Laettner P.FOUL (P2.PN)	36	45
Q2 - 1:32	MIA	Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	36 15.5%	45 84.5%
Q2 - 1:54	SAC	Skinner Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)	36 14.3%	45 85.7%
Q2 - 2:08	MIA	Laettner Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)	34 12.8%	45 87.2%
Q2 - 2:18	SAC	Jones STEAL (2 STL)	34 14.2%	43 85.8%
Q2 - 2:27	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	34 15.9%	43 84.1%
Q2 - 2:47	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	34 14.2%	43 85.8%
Q2 - 2:49	SAC	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	34 14.7%	43 85.3%
Q2 - 3:03	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Anderson	34	43
Q2 - 3:03	SAC	SUB: Mobley FOR Evans	34	43
Q2 - 3:03	SAC	SUB: Songaila FOR Thomas	34	43
Q2 - 3:03	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	34	43
Q2 - 3:06	MIA	O'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	34 16.2%	43 83.8%
Q2 - 3:10	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 17.7%	41 82.3%
Q2 - 3:11	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Driving Layup	34 18.3%	41 81.7%
Q2 - 3:26	MIA	Anderson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	34 19.9%	41 80.1%
Q2 - 3:28	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	34 21.6%	39 78.4%
Q2 - 3:30	MIA	MISS Anderson Layup	34 23.4%	39 76.6%
Q2 - 3:33	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	34 21.6%	39 78.4%
Q2 - 3:35	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot	34 22.4%	39 77.6%
Q2 - 3:42	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	34 24.2%	39 75.8%
Q2 - 3:44	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	34 22.4%	39 77.6%
Q2 - 3:49	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 24.2%	39 75.8%
Q2 - 3:51	SAC	MISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot	34 22.4%	39 77.6%
Q2 - 4:02	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 24.1%	39 75.9%
Q2 - 4:04	MIA	MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot	34 23.3%	39 76.7%
Q2 - 4:26	SAC	Bibby 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Skinner 2 AST)	34 21.8%	39 78.2%
Q2 - 4:39	SAC	SUB: Stojakovic FOR Williamson	32	39
Q2 - 4:39	SAC	SUB: Bibby FOR House	32	39
Q2 - 4:39	MIA	Laettner P.FOUL (P1.T4)	32	39
Q2 - 4:40	MIA	Jones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	32 19.9%	39 80.1%
Q2 - 4:44	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 17.9%	39 82.1%
Q2 - 4:45	SAC	MISS Williamson 20' Jump Shot	32 18.5%	39 81.5%
Q2 - 5:01	MIA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)	32 20.1%	39 79.9%
Q2 - 5:26	SAC	House 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	32 24.3%	36 75.7%
Q2 - 5:31	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30 22.1%	36 77.9%
Q2 - 5:32	SAC	O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)	30 20.7%	36 79.3%
Q2 - 5:40	MIA	O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	30 22.1%	36 77.9%
Q2 - 5:43	SAC	Laettner STEAL (2 STL)	30 20.2%	36 79.8%
Q2 - 5:58	MIA	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	30 22.1%	36 77.9%
Q2 - 5:58	SAC	Thomas Violation:Lane	30	35
Q2 - 5:58	MIA	HEAT Rebound	30	35
Q2 - 5:58	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2	30 23.0%	35 77.0%
Q2 - 5:58	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Dooling	30	35
Q2 - 5:58	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	30	35
Q2 - 5:58	SAC	Williamson S.FOUL (P1.T2)	30	35
Q2 - 6:08	SAC	Laettner STEAL (1 STL)	30 22.2%	35 77.8%
Q2 - 6:16	SAC	House Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	30 24.6%	35 75.4%
Q2 - 6:16	MIA	HEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Anderson )	29	35
Q2 - 6:25	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	29 22.5%	35 77.5%
Q2 - 6:27	MIA	MISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot	29 21.8%	35 78.2%
Q2 - 6:44	MIA	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 20.2%	35 79.8%
Q2 - 6:46	SAC	MISS House 12' Jump Shot	29 20.9%	35 79.1%
Q2 - 6:59	MIA	O'Neal Layup (8 PTS)	29 22.5%	35 77.5%
Q2 - 7:08	SAC	SUB: Skinner FOR Ostertag	29	33
Q2 - 7:08	MIA	SUB: Laettner FOR Haslem	29	33
Q2 - 7:08	MIA	SUB: O'Neal FOR Doleac	29	33
Q2 - 7:08	SAC	Evans P.FOUL (P1.T1)	29	33
Q2 - 7:10	SAC	Dooling STEAL (1 STL)	29 24.4%	33 75.6%
Q2 - 7:12	SAC	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 26.6%	33 73.4%
Q2 - 7:15	SAC	Jones BLOCK (1 BLK)	29 25.0%	33 75.0%
Q2 - 7:23	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 26.6%	33 73.4%
Q2 - 7:25	MIA	MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot	29 25.9%	33 74.1%
Q2 - 7:37	SAC	Evans Tip Shot (2 PTS)	29 24.3%	33 75.7%
Q2 - 7:39	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 22.4%	33 77.6%
Q2 - 7:41	SAC	MISS Ostertag 12' Jump Shot	27 21.0%	33 79.0%
Q2 - 8:04	SAC	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 22.6%	33 77.4%
Q2 - 8:06	MIA	MISS Haslem Layup	27 22.0%	33 78.0%
Q2 - 8:26	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 20.7%	33 79.3%
Q2 - 8:28	SAC	Doleac BLOCK (1 BLK)	27 21.3%	33 78.7%
Q2 - 8:49	MIA	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)	27 22.5%	33 77.5%
Q2 - 8:56	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Wade	27	30
Q2 - 8:56			27	30
Q2 - 8:56	MIA	HEAT Rebound	27 26.7%	30 73.3%
Q2 - 8:57	MIA	MISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot	27 28.1%	30 71.9%
Q2 - 9:02	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	27 26.5%	30 73.5%
Q2 - 9:04	SAC	MISS Williamson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	27 27.1%	30 72.9%
Q2 - 9:21	MIA	Wade 7' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)	27 28.7%	30 71.3%
Q2 - 9:35	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	27 30.9%	28 69.1%
Q2 - 9:35	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	26 30.4%	28 69.6%
Q2 - 9:35	MIA	Dooling S.FOUL (P1.T3)	25	28
Q2 - 9:44	MIA	Dooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)	25 28.7%	28 71.3%
Q2 - 9:47	SAC	Anderson STEAL (1 STL)	25 26.5%	28 73.5%
Q2 - 9:54	SAC	SUB: Evans FOR Mobley	25	28
Q2 - 9:54	MIA	Anderson P.FOUL (P1.T2)	25	28
Q2 - 10:11	MIA	Dooling 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	25 28.8%	28 71.2%
Q2 - 10:19	MIA	Dooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 30.9%	26 69.1%
Q2 - 10:21	SAC	MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 31.7%	26 68.3%
Q2 - 10:37	SAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	25 33.3%	26 66.7%
Q2 - 10:39	MIA	MISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot	25 32.6%	26 67.4%
Q2 - 10:54	MIA	Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25	26
Q2 - 10:56	SAC	MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 1	25 31.2%	26 68.8%
Q2 - 10:56	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)	25	26
Q2 - 10:56	SAC	Thomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)	25 30.9%	26 69.1%
Q2 - 11:06	SAC	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 28.9%	26 71.1%
Q2 - 11:08	MIA	MISS Wade Driving Layup	23 28.3%	26 71.7%
Q2 - 11:16	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	23 26.8%	26 73.2%
Q2 - 11:18	SAC	MISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot	23 27.5%	26 72.5%
Q2 - 11:27	SAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 28.9%	26 71.1%
Q2 - 11:29	MIA	MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot	23 28.3%	26 71.7%
Q2 - 11:46	SAC	Mobley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)	23 26.8%	26 73.2%
Q2 - 12:00			21	26
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA		21 24.9%	26 75.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	21 23.0%	26 77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Jones 14' Jump Shot	21 24.3%	26 75.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0	SAC	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	21 23.4%	26 76.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	21 24.7%	26 75.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	21 25.1%	25 74.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0	SAC	Mobley S.FOUL (P1.PN)	21	24
Q1 - 0:18.0	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	21 27.1%	24 72.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0	SAC	MISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot	21 27.5%	24 72.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	21 28.6%	24 71.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	21 28.6%	24 71.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	21 29.0%	23 71.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0	SAC	Ostertag S.FOUL (P1.T2)	21	23
Q1 - 0:50.0	SAC	Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	21 29.0%	23 71.0%
Q1 - 1:11	MIA	Doleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)	18 24.9%	23 75.1%
Q1 - 1:32	SAC	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	18 27.3%	21 72.7%
Q1 - 1:40	MIA	SUB: Doleac FOR Jones	16	21
Q1 - 1:40	MIA	SUB: Dooling FOR O'Neal	16	21
Q1 - 1:40	SAC	SUB: Thomas FOR Skinner	16	21
Q1 - 1:40	SAC	SUB: Ostertag FOR Songaila	16	21
Q1 - 1:40	SAC	Kings Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	16	21
Q1 - 1:48	MIA	Wade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	16 24.9%	21 75.1%
Q1 - 1:57	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	16 27.3%	19 72.7%
Q1 - 1:59	MIA	MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot	16 28.2%	19 71.8%
Q1 - 2:19	SAC	Songaila 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	16 27.3%	19 72.7%
Q1 - 2:39	MIA	Jones Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)	14 25.2%	19 74.8%
Q1 - 2:43	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 27.3%	17 72.7%
Q1 - 2:44	SAC	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	14 27.8%	17 72.2%
Q1 - 2:50	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	14 28.8%	17 71.2%
Q1 - 2:52	MIA	MISS Wade Reverse Layup	14 28.4%	17 71.6%
Q1 - 2:57	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	14 27.3%	17 72.7%
Q1 - 2:59	SAC	MISS Skinner 20' Jump Shot	14 27.8%	17 72.2%
Q1 - 3:17	MIA	Wade Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)	14 28.9%	17 71.1%
Q1 - 3:21	SAC	O'Neal STEAL (1 STL)	14 30.9%	15 69.1%
Q1 - 3:42	MIA	Jones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	14 32.8%	15 67.2%
Q1 - 3:46	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	14 30.9%	15 69.1%
Q1 - 3:48	MIA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	14 32.2%	15 67.8%
Q1 - 4:17	SAC	Mobley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)	14 30.9%	15 69.1%
Q1 - 4:34	MIA	O'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)	12 29.4%	15 70.6%
Q1 - 4:36	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 31.0%	13 69.0%
Q1 - 4:38	MIA	MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot	12 32.3%	13 67.7%
Q1 - 4:47	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 31.0%	13 69.0%
Q1 - 4:49	SAC	MISS Bibby 24' Jump Shot	12 31.6%	13 68.4%
Q1 - 5:08	MIA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)	12 33.0%	13 67.0%
Q1 - 5:21	MIA	HEAT Rebound	12 36.2%	10 63.8%
Q1 - 5:22	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 36.8%	10 63.2%
Q1 - 5:35	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 38.2%	10 61.8%
Q1 - 5:37	MIA	MISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	12 37.6%	10 62.4%
Q1 - 5:50	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	12	10
Q1 - 5:58	SAC	Bibby Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	12 36.2%	10 63.8%
Q1 - 6:02	MIA	O'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	10 34.3%	10 65.7%
Q1 - 6:08	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 35.9%	8 64.1%
Q1 - 6:10	SAC	MISS Skinner 16' Jump Shot	10 36.5%	8 63.5%
Q1 - 6:19	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 37.7%	8 62.3%
Q1 - 6:21	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot	10 36.5%	8 63.5%
Q1 - 6:31	SAC	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 37.7%	8 62.3%
Q1 - 6:32	MIA	MISS O'Neal Layup	10 37.1%	8 62.9%
Q1 - 6:44	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 35.9%	8 64.1%
Q1 - 6:46	SAC	MISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 36.5%	8 63.5%
Q1 - 6:53	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 37.6%	8 62.4%
Q1 - 6:54	MIA	MISS O'Neal Layup	10 37.1%	8 62.9%
Q1 - 6:55	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	10 35.9%	8 64.1%
Q1 - 6:56	MIA	MISS Jones Reverse Layup	10 37.1%	8 62.9%
Q1 - 7:16	SAC	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)	10 35.6%	8 64.4%
Q1 - 7:46	MIA	Wade Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	8 34.3%	8 65.7%
Q1 - 7:50	SAC	Jones STEAL (1 STL)	8 35.6%	6 64.4%
Q1 - 8:00	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	8 37.2%	6 62.8%
Q1 - 8:02	MIA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	8 36.5%	6 63.5%
Q1 - 8:06	MIA	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 35.6%	6 64.4%
Q1 - 8:08	SAC	MISS Songaila Driving Layup	8 36.0%	6 64.0%
Q1 - 8:15	MIA	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	8 36.9%	6 63.1%
Q1 - 8:32	SAC	Bibby 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST)	8 35.5%	6 64.5%
Q1 - 8:47	MIA	Haslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	6 34.3%	6 65.7%
Q1 - 9:29	SAC	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)	6 35.5%	4 64.5%
Q1 - 9:43	MIA	Wade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	4 34.4%	4 65.6%
Q1 - 10:01	SAC	Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)	4 35.2%	2 64.8%
Q1 - 10:14	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	2	2
Q1 - 10:15	MIA	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1	2 34.4%	2 65.6%
Q1 - 10:15	SAC	Stojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)	2	2
Q1 - 10:15	MIA	O'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 34.6%	2 65.4%
Q1 - 10:39	SAC	Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)	2 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 10:50	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 34.8%	0 65.2%
Q1 - 10:51	MIA	MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot	0 34.6%	0 65.4%
Q1 - 11:00	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 34.4%	0 65.6%
Q1 - 11:01	SAC	MISS Mobley Reverse Layup	0 34.4%	0 65.6%
Q1 - 11:08	SAC	Skinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 34.8%	0 65.2%
Q1 - 11:10	MIA	MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot	0 34.7%	0 65.3%
Q1 - 11:28	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 34.7%	0 65.3%
Q1 - 11:30	SAC	MISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot	0 34.8%	0 65.2%
Q1 - 11:40	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 35.1%	0 64.9%
Q1 - 11:42	MIA	MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot	0 35.1%	0 64.9%
Q1 - 12:00	MIA	Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Skinner: Tip to Jones	0 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIA
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 46.1%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

50%

MIA

59%

Midrange

SAC

46%

MIA

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

3.0

17%

25%

MIA

12.0

67%

100%

Free Throws

SAC

73%

MIA

48%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bibby	22	58%	11.0 / 19
C. Mobley	17	61%	8.5 / 14
P. Stojakovic	15	47%	7.5 / 16
B. Skinner	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Songaila	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Thomas	6	38%	3.0 / 8
E. House	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Evans	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Williamson	0	-	0.0 / 6
G. Ostertag	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	22	58%	11.0 / 19
S. O'Neal	18	41%	9.0 / 22
E. Jones	17	85%	8.5 / 10
D. Jones	14	70%	7.0 / 10
U. Haslem	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. Anderson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Dooling	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Mourning	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Doleac	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Laettner	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 1
W. Zhi-zhi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-13

MIA

+16

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 46.1%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.4 106.6	SAC 90.2 MIA 113.0 +22.8
Pace	95.7 93.9	SAC 100.7 +16.0 MIA 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14.4 15.6	SAC 14.3 −2.7 MIA 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.6% 52.4%	SAC 43.9% MIA 55.4% +11.5%
TO %	13.1% 14.0%	SAC 12.8% MIA 8.7% −4.1%
ORB %	28.8% 27.0%	SAC 23.9% MIA 27.3% +3.4%
FTrt	28.7 38.7	SAC 18.3 MIA 30.1 +11.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.6% 57.8%	SAC 54.3% MIA 54.8% +0.5%
STL %	8.5% 6.8%	SAC 4.3% MIA 12.0% +7.7%
BLK %	5.6% 8.7%	SAC 2.8% MIA 10.0% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.6% 52.7%	SAC 46.1% MIA 52.5% +6.4%
Rim FG%	59.3% 63.0%	SAC 50.0% MIA 58.6% +8.6%
Mid FG%	41.2% 41.0%	SAC 46.2% +5.7% MIA 40.5%
3P %	37.4% 37.7%	SAC 16.7% MIA 66.7% +50.0%
FT %	78.7% 67.2%	SAC 73.3% +25.3% MIA 48.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.3% 37.6%	SAC 22.0% MIA 34.9% +13.0%
Mid Att. %	49.7% 42.6%	SAC 63.4% MIA 50.6% −12.8%
3P Att. %	20.0% 19.8%	SAC 14.6% +0.2% MIA 14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.

Game Totals	SAC	MIA
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	83	104
Rebounds	43	47
Assists	19	23
Steals	4	11
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (0)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	35 (3)
Field Goals	35-82	42-83
At-the-Rim FG	9-18	17-29
Midrange FG	24-52	17-42
2-Point FG	33-70	34-71
3-Point FG	2-12	8-12
Free Throws	11-15	12-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 27	37.0	22	58%	3	7	0	0	3	2	0	3	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%
Brian Skinner C · 6'9" 255 · 29	35.2	8	57%	11	3	0	1	1	4	2	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Cuttino Mobley G · 6'4" 215 · 30	33.0	17	61%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 28	31.9	15	47%	7	0	0	0	1	1	1	6	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 27	28.7	8	40%	6	4	2	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	22.6	6	38%	2	1	0	0	4	0	2	0	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 31	18.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 27	11.0	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26	10.5	2	33%	4	0	2	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 32	9.5	0	0%	4	0	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	46%	43	19	4	2	13	0	11	32	11-15	73%	33-70	47%	2-12	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 27	37.0	22	58%	3	7	0	0	3	2	0	3	6-8	75%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%
Brian Skinner C · 6'9" 255 · 29	35.2	8	57%	11	3	0	1	1	4	2	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Cuttino Mobley G · 6'4" 215 · 30	33.0	17	61%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 28	31.9	15	47%	7	0	0	0	1	1	1	6	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 27	28.7	8	40%	6	4	2	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	22.6	6	38%	2	1	0	0	4	0	2	0	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 31	18.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 27	11.0	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26	10.5	2	33%	4	0	2	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 32	9.5	0	0%	4	0	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	46%	43	19	4	2	13	0	11	32	11-15	73%	33-70	47%	2-12	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 25	38.5	11	69%	13	1	1	0	0	2	3	10	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones F · 6'6" 200 · 33	35.3	17	85%	4	3	2	1	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	5-5	100%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 23	32.7	22	58%	7	7	0	0	2	0	2	5	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	1-2	50%
Shaquille O'Neal C · 7'1" 325 · 33	32.0	18	41%	7	5	1	2	2	0	2	5	2-9	22%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Damon Jones G · 6'3" 195 · 29	28.3	14	70%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-4	50%

Shandon Anderson G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31	25.7	8	57%	6	2	1	0	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keyon Dooling G · 6'3" 195 · 25	19.7	6	33%	3	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 28	12.4	2	25%	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Christian Laettner F-C · 6'11" 245 · 36	7.1	2	100%	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 35	3.6	4	50%	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Wang Zhi-zhi C · 7'1" 284 · 28	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	47	23	11	7	9	0	12	35	12-25	48%	34-71	48%	8-12	67%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE