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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks58%104103
18Lakers42%101108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
41.8
37.4
23
54%
13
3
1
1
1
0
3
10
8-10
80%
6-14
7-15
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
39.7
32.0
10
39%
4
1
0
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.3
34.7
13.5
19
48%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
11-11
100%
4-13
2-5
31%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
29.1
25.9
12
71%
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.0
16.4
13.4
6
75%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
31.5
25.3
18
44%
7
2
2
1
0
2
4
3
4-6
67%
7-17
4-8
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
25.2
19.3
8
34%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
47%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
16.3
20.5
3
104%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.7
5.3
16.8
4
91%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
33.3
1
4-9
46%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.0
9.7
1
1-2
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
2.4
0
0-1
50%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
43.6
39.4
40
59%
8
6
2
1
2
3
2
6
14-16
88%
13-23
6-14
57%
46%
0-4
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
39.5
36.9
18
71%
11
2
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-6
33%
8-8
5-11
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.6
38.3
33.9
7
39%
1
10
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.0
32.6
29.5
20
60%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
8-14
4-10
57%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
19.9
20.7
10
60%
5
2
0
0
2
1
3
2
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
25.8
19.6
4
23%
8
2
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-5
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
17.5
11.3
5
64%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
11.2
19.9
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
5.9
8.7
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.9
5.8
6.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
10.8
0
1-3
39%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.0
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.