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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Magic37%94105
26Nets63%9881
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.1
41.3
36.2
22
88%
6
3
2
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
6-7
5-11
86%
45%
1-2
50%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.0
32.4
33.0
26
81%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
7-9
78%
8-10
6-13
80%
44%
1-2
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.4
28.0
33.3
9
41%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
7-14
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.5
23.5
27.7
16
78%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
7-9
3-5
78%
51%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.2
23.2
32.9
11
90%
11
1
0
1
2
2
2
9
5-7
71%
3-3
4-8
100%
48%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.5
29.0
11.9
7
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.0
26.2
20.8
4
29%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.9
13.6
8.4
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
12.4
18.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.8
6.3
0
1-1
44%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.6
5.7
0
1-1
39%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 32.1
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 24.9
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.1
34.6
37.0
20
55%
6
5
2
1
0
6
1
5
5-5
100%
6-13
8-17
46%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.0
29.5
36.6
5
25%
5
4
1
2
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
1-6
17%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
25.0
29.9
5
56%
4
4
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.6
18.9
28.2
7
52%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.1
17.1
21.3
2
20%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.6
23.1
16.4
8
69%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
20.1
18.5
10
45%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 27.3
16.3
8.2
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.2
15.5
23.7
8
67%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
2-3
67%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
13.8
14.1
5
26%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-8
2-3
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 28.1
13.6
9.7
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 22.5
12.5
2.3
7
61%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.