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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
32Bulls38%9587
27Bucks62%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.5
38.2
34.4
4
29%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
39%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
35.9
28.2
24
54%
4
3
3
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
42%
3-10
30%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.3
31.5
26.3
6
27%
9
3
0
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
30.8
26.5
10
73%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.2
16.3
19.5
8
45%
5
1
1
0
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.4
34.1
23.1
10
68%
12
1
1
1
2
1
3
9
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.9
26.4
28.5
20
56%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-10
5-11
70%
44%
2-8
25%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.1
13.5
20.6
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.7
12.0
8.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.4
1.3
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
7.6
0
1-2
41%
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.0
2.2
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
38.5
40.0
16
33%
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-18
8-17
28%
47%
2-6
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.4
38.1
40.4
20
56%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
8-9
89%
6-14
7-15
43%
46%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
33.9
37.3
16
56%
5
11
2
1
0
4
2
3
8-10
80%
4-9
5-11
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
29.9
31.1
10
46%
16
1
1
1
0
1
3
13
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
18.6
21.9
9
57%
6
0
3
1
1
1
4
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.1
28.1
14.7
6
61%
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.5
20.8
21.4
8
100%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.6
18.1
7.3
8
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
4-8
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.3
14.1
12.8
2
18%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
3.2
0
0-1
39%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 28.7
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.