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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors47%10199
29Knicks53%102115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.6
37.4
36.9
8
37%
4
3
1
2
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
3-8
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.8
37.2
33.4
23
54%
10
4
1
1
1
2
6
4
9-12
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
45%
2-3
67%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
36.8
37.8
24
68%
3
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
6-10
6-13
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
35.1
26.3
6
51%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
31.3
35.1
11
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.9
28.9
27.4
13
50%
3
5
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
14.9
10.6
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-2
50%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
8.3
4.2
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 18.9
6.4
4.4
4
52%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
1.9
9.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.9
1.9
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.6
8.2
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
42.0
30.6
7
39%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
41.3
36.6
26
70%
2
16
4
1
0
4
1
1
6-6
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
34.4
25.1
25
83%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
5-7
71%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
2-3
67%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.4
27.5
19.4
19
74%
7
2
0
1
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
9-12
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
19.1
35.8
6
60%
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
6-12
60%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.3
23.0
19.0
8
82%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.3
21.4
12.8
15
84%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
45%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.6
15.0
21.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.7
7.7
16.1
4
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.7
6.7
6.6
5
56%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.1
1.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.8
10.5
1
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.