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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 7, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies59%95105
28Clippers41%92102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.0
39.7
31.2
17
76%
5
5
1
1
1
3
0
5
3-5
60%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
37.4
38.4
23
76%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
7-7
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
36.9
36.0
20
66%
3
5
2
2
1
2
1
2
6-7
86%
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
2-5
40%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.3
35.6
24.6
12
64%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.5
27.9
36.4
14
61%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
7-8
88%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.1
26.4
25.9
10
46%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.7
16.9
24.6
3
22%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.7
10.3
3.2
4
69%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Humphrey
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
5.1
10.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Emmett
G · 6'5" 230 · 22.5
3.8
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.3
8.2
0
1-3
46%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.0
2.3
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
41.1
35.5
37
74%
6
5
0
1
0
3
1
5
13-16
81%
9-15
5-12
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.8
40.0
37.2
19
53%
6
5
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
8-15
6-13
53%
46%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
31.3
33.4
17
72%
6
3
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
8-11
7-14
73%
49%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.7
30.2
27.3
9
50%
4
8
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
18.6
25.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 23.9
21.0
24.2
9
65%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 29.3
16.6
9.5
4
34%
8
2
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
13.9
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Lionel Chalmers
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.3
12.2
13.2
3
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.9
9.6
13.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 34.4
5.6
7.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 26.2
9.5
1
1-2
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.