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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 8, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards51%10483
29Knicks49%10393
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
43.5
41.5
23
42%
8
2
1
2
0
3
2
6
5-7
71%
6-16
6-14
38%
46%
2-8
25%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
43.3
35.2
27
51%
5
1
3
2
0
2
0
5
10-12
83%
7-17
6-13
41%
46%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
35.0
7.4
7
44%
7
2
2
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.3
33.8
32.9
13
61%
11
1
2
1
3
3
4
7
5-6
83%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.0
29.4
28.9
2
10%
7
2
0
1
1
1
3
4
2-4
50%
0-8
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.0
20.9
14.7
8
52%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.6
13.1
11.9
2
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.1
12.8
18.9
1
17%
6
0
0
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
8.3
10.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
31.8
1
5-10
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
8.5
0
1-2
48%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.3
7.1
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.0
42.2
35.1
19
56%
6
6
2
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
5-10
50%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
40.7
37.9
14
44%
4
10
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-8
6-13
25%
49%
2-6
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
38.8
27.7
15
50%
11
4
1
1
3
3
1
10
1-2
50%
7-14
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
30.7
29.1
12
50%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
6-7
86%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.4
14.5
23.1
7
64%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.6
25.2
18.6
12
55%
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
2-3
67%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.3
21.1
20.5
8
46%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.8
9.2
6.5
4
106%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 28.4
8.6
16.8
2
33%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.7
5.0
12.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.8
3.4
6.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.1
0.7
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.