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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 8, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks31%93101
28Bucks69%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
41.0
36.9
19
53%
4
9
3
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
9-16
7-14
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
34.0
25.2
27
68%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-15
3-6
53%
46%
3-4
75%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.7
32.4
34.9
13
57%
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
1-3
33%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.5
26.3
23.1
14
75%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.3
23.6
29.2
6
50%
8
1
1
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
28.9
24.9
6
38%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
39%
0-1
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.4
21.7
17.9
10
44%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
13.6
25.8
2
33%
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.3
10.5
3.7
2
35%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
6.5
6.5
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 29.9
1.4
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.5
5.2
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.4
43.0
35.6
22
62%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
12-13
92%
5-12
6-13
42%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
41.6
40.4
21
41%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
8-18
8-17
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
34.3
32.7
19
73%
9
0
0
1
1
1
4
5
7-9
78%
6-9
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
33.7
33.1
22
79%
2
10
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
2-2
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
24.0
17.9
6
80%
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-4
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.6
18.3
12.0
10
60%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.5
17.9
21.3
5
51%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.3
14.3
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.1
12.8
22.0
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.5
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.