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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Bobcats23%9280
1676ers77%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
29.6
34.7
17
54%
8
1
1
1
1
2
5
3
1-2
50%
8-14
6-13
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
21.5
31.2
10
56%
2
4
0
2
1
4
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
19.0
21.1
6
33%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
40%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.4
16.1
32.2
2
20%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-11
20%
49%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
12.8
14.2
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
26.5
9.9
5
43%
4
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
24.3
6.9
7
33%
7
0
0
0
0
2
0
7
3-4
75%
2-6
1-2
33%
41%
0-3
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
23.3
10.6
12
60%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
22.7
18.8
10
36%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
41%
0-2
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
22.2
4.7
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
22.1
14.3
4
23%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-4
0%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.3
11.5
1
2-4
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.0
35.9
32.2
17
67%
7
3
2
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
4-8
50%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 29.8
35.0
42.3
25
56%
0
12
4
2
0
4
0
0
9-10
90%
8-17
9-19
47%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
25.5
29.2
16
54%
8
5
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
7-14
7-15
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.1
22.5
30.0
8
67%
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
22.5
26.8
15
72%
6
0
1
1
3
1
1
5
1-1
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
55%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
33.2
8.2
5
51%
5
4
0
0
3
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-4
25%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 30.1
25.5
16.9
9
51%
9
1
1
0
0
2
2
7
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.7
19.6
18.5
6
51%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
13.0
11.8
8
45%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
3.6
3.6
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.2
3.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 32.4
17.8
1
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.