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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons57%96113
18Celtics43%94115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.0
52.5
36.1
27
52%
7
4
0
1
2
3
4
3
4-4
100%
10-21
5-11
48%
50%
1-3
33%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.5
48.5
32.7
23
57%
5
9
0
1
0
2
2
3
11-12
92%
3-8
3-7
38%
43%
2-7
29%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.5
45.1
34.1
9
37%
19
1
2
1
1
1
3
16
1-7
14%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.5
45.0
34.2
18
56%
10
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.1
40.6
37.8
24
52%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
13-18
72%
4-12
6-13
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
25.5
22.6
7
51%
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.3
19.4
4.6
3
80%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.6
13.2
19.4
2
25%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
0.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.1
9.4
0
1-3
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.7
1.9
0
0-1
43%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.6
1.1
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.4
51.0
35.3
38
60%
12
3
2
2
1
0
2
10
14-15
93%
9-21
5-11
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
46.0
31.4
9
22%
8
4
2
1
0
4
2
6
1-3
33%
4-14
5-11
29%
45%
0-5
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.6
45.3
28.0
12
64%
9
8
1
1
1
0
3
6
0-1
0%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
23.4
25.3
7
40%
9
0
0
1
0
0
4
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.2
12.2
12.0
2
20%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.5
42.0
36.7
23
62%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
9-15
6-13
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
35.1
21.4
17
64%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
1-3
33%
8-12
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.6
16.8
19.2
2
50%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.2
11.2
13.3
3
26%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.3
7.0
10.6
2
114%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.3
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.