Final Win Prob. pScore
2922%95
71
578%105
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
80.78884.8
MIA logo Heat
122.29094.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA71
110
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
110
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Gaines 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
110
Q4 - 0:22.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
110
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot71
110
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
110
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
110
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
110
Q4 - 0:43.0MILMISS Goldwire 10' Jump Shot71
110
Q4 - 1:07MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
110
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
110
Q4 - 1:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
110
Q4 - 1:09MILBooth S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
109
Q4 - 1:21MILDoleac STEAL (1 STL)71
109
Q4 - 1:51MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
109
Q4 - 1:51MIAHEAT Rebound71
108
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 271
108
Q4 - 1:51MILBooth S.FOUL (P2.T4)71
108
Q4 - 1:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
108
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Smith 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
108
Q4 - 2:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
108
Q4 - 2:22MILMISS Booth 12' Turnaround Jump Shot71
108
Q4 - 2:22MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)71
108
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T8)71
108
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)71
108
Q4 - 2:35MILBooth 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)71
108
Q4 - 2:56MIASmith Layup (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)69
108
Q4 - 3:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
106
Q4 - 3:11MILMISS Strickland 14' Turnaround Jump Shot69
106
Q4 - 3:18MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
106
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot69
106
Q4 - 3:34MILBucks Violation: Delay of game Violation69
106
Q4 - 3:38MILGaines Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)69
106
Q4 - 3:51MIADooling Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)69
106
Q4 - 3:52MILDooling STEAL (1 STL)69
106
Q4 - 4:11MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
106
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot69
106
Q4 - 4:27MILFizer Driving Dunk (11 PTS)69
106
Q4 - 4:46MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)67
106
Q4 - 5:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
104
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Fizer 8' Jump Bank Shot67
104
Q4 - 5:36MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)67
104
Q4 - 5:51MILFizer Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)67
102
Q4 - 5:59MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
102
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot65
102
Q4 - 6:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
102
Q4 - 6:17MILMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
102
Q4 - 6:30MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
102
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot65
102
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)65
102
Q4 - 6:35MIASUB: Smith FOR Anderson65
102
Q4 - 6:35MIASUB: Doleac FOR Laettner65
102
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound65
102
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot65
102
Q4 - 6:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
102
Q4 - 6:51MILMISS Booth 16' Jump Shot65
102
Q4 - 7:00MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
102
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot65
102
Q4 - 7:20MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Goldwire 2 AST)65
102
Q4 - 7:25MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
102
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Dooling Driving Layup62
102
Q4 - 7:32MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)62
102
Q4 - 7:34MILMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot62
102
Q4 - 7:53MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)62
102
Q4 - 7:56MIAHEAT Rebound62
100
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot62
100
Q4 - 8:05MILStrickland P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
100
Q4 - 8:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
100
Q4 - 8:20MILMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
100
Q4 - 8:33MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
100
Q4 - 8:33MIALaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)62
99
Q4 - 8:33MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac62
98
Q4 - 8:3362
98
Q4 - 8:33MILFizer S.FOUL (P3.T2)62
98
Q4 - 8:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
98
Q4 - 8:48MILMISS Booth Tip Shot62
98
Q4 - 8:50MILBooth REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
98
Q4 - 8:52MILMISS Booth 5' Hook Shot62
98
Q4 - 9:08MIADooling Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)62
98
Q4 - 9:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
98
Q4 - 9:16MILMISS Gaines 20' Jump Shot62
98
Q4 - 9:18MILGaines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
98
Q4 - 9:20MILAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)62
98
Q4 - 9:33MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
98
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot62
98
Q4 - 9:43MIADooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
98
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Goldwire 14' Jump Shot62
98
Q4 - 10:02MIADooling Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)62
98
Q4 - 10:18MILGoldwire Layup (7 PTS)62
96
Q4 - 10:20MILGoldwire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
96
Q4 - 10:22MILMISS Strickland Driving Layup60
96
Q4 - 10:28MIADoleac Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)60
96
Q4 - 10:28MIAJump Ball Doleac vs. Gaines: Tip to Strickland60
96
Q4 - 10:47MILFizer 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
96
Q4 - 10:48MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
96
Q4 - 10:50MILMISS Goldwire 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
96
Q4 - 11:09MILBooth REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
96
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 258
96
Q4 - 11:10MILSUB: Gaines FOR Redd58
96
Q4 - 11:10MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
96
Q4 - 11:10MILBooth S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
95
Q4 - 11:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
95
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Doleac Layup58
95
Q4 - 11:26MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
95
Q4 - 11:26MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
95
Q4 - 11:26MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
95
Q4 - 11:40MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)56
95
Q4 - 12:0056
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL56
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
91
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL56
90
Q3 - 0:00.0MILFizer S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
90
Q3 - 0:18.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)56
90
Q3 - 0:18.0MILBooth REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
90
Q3 - 0:19.0MILMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot56
90
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)56
90
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
88
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Booth 6' Jump Shot56
88
Q3 - 1:05MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
88
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
88
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
88
Q3 - 1:29MILDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)56
88
Q3 - 1:41MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)56
88
Q3 - 1:59MIASUB: Anderson FOR Wade56
88
Q3 - 2:00MILSUB: Redd FOR Mason56
88
Q3 - 2:00MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
88
Q3 - 2:00MILFizer Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)56
88
Q3 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)56
88
Q3 - 2:35MILFizer 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
86
Q3 - 2:50MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
86
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
86
Q3 - 3:10MILMason Layup (7 PTS)54
86
Q3 - 3:36MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
86
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
84
Q3 - 3:42MILMISS Goldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
84
Q3 - 3:54MIAJones Reverse Layup (8 PTS)52
84
Q3 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
82
Q3 - 4:10MILMISS Booth Free Throw 2 of 252
82
Q3 - 4:10MILBooth Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
82
Q3 - 4:10MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones51
82
Q3 - 4:10MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
82
Q3 - 4:10MILBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
82
Q3 - 4:13MILMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot51
82
Q3 - 4:29MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
82
Q3 - 4:40MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
80
Q3 - 4:40MILBucks Rebound50
80
Q3 - 4:40MILMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 250
80
Q3 - 4:40MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.PN)50
80
Q3 - 4:50MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)50
80
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)50
80
Q3 - 5:04MILSUB: Booth FOR Gadzuric50
79
Q3 - 5:04MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P4.T4)50
79
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)50
79
Q3 - 5:22MILStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
77
Q3 - 5:28MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
77
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot48
77
Q3 - 5:53MILGoldwire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)48
77
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS)45
77
Q3 - 6:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
75
Q3 - 6:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
75
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot45
75
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS O'Neal Layup45
75
Q3 - 6:36MILGadzuric Dunk (6 PTS)45
75
Q3 - 6:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
75
Q3 - 6:41MILMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot43
75
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)43
75
Q3 - 7:00MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd43
75
Q3 - 7:00MILSUB: Goldwire FOR Williams43
75
Q3 - 7:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
75
Q3 - 7:01MILO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)43
75
Q3 - 7:24MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
75
Q3 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
72
Q3 - 7:40MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
72
Q3 - 7:47MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)43
72
Q3 - 7:59MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)43
72
Q3 - 8:00MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)43
72
Q3 - 8:04MILWade STEAL (2 STL)43
70
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
70
Q3 - 8:23MIAHEAT Rebound43
69
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 243
69
Q3 - 8:23MILSUB: Fizer FOR Smith43
69
Q3 - 8:23MILSmith P.FOUL (P4.T3)43
69
Q3 - 8:31MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
69
Q3 - 8:31MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
69
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)41
69
Q3 - 8:50MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)41
69
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
67
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot41
67
Q3 - 9:30MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)41
67
Q3 - 9:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
65
Q3 - 9:38MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot41
65
Q3 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
65
Q3 - 9:53MIAHEAT Rebound41
64
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 241
64
Q3 - 9:53MILSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)41
64
Q3 - 10:10MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
64
Q3 - 10:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
64
Q3 - 10:14MILMISS Redd 20' Turnaround Jump Shot39
64
Q3 - 10:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
64
Q3 - 10:32MIAHEAT Rebound39
63
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 239
63
Q3 - 10:32MILSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
63
Q3 - 10:36MILJones STEAL (2 STL)39
63
Q3 - 10:42MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T1)39
63
Q3 - 11:07MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)39
63
Q3 - 11:38MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
60
Q3 - 12:0037
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)37
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot37
60
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
60
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
58
Q2 - 0:37.0MILO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)37
58
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
58
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)37
58
Q2 - 1:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
56
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 1:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
56
Q2 - 1:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Laettner37
56
Q2 - 1:30MIASUB: Haslem FOR Jones37
56
Q2 - 1:30MILSUB: Smith FOR Fizer37
56
Q2 - 1:30MIAHEAT Rebound37
56
Q2 - 1:30MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 1:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
56
Q2 - 1:52MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
53
Q2 - 1:55MILMISS Fizer 18' Fadeaway Jumper37
53
Q2 - 2:10MIAJones Dunk (6 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)37
53
Q2 - 2:16MILAnderson STEAL (1 STL)37
51
Q2 - 2:32MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
51
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot37
51
Q2 - 2:48MILWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
51
Q2 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)35
51
Q2 - 3:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
49
Q2 - 3:21MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot35
49
Q2 - 3:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
49
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot35
49
Q2 - 4:00MILFizer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)35
49
Q2 - 4:05MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
49
Q2 - 4:07MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot33
49
Q2 - 4:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
49
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal Layup33
49
Q2 - 4:41MILRedd Driving Layup (10 PTS)33
49
Q2 - 4:48MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
49
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
49
Q2 - 5:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
49
Q2 - 5:13MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot31
49
Q2 - 5:33MILSUB: Williams FOR Goldwire31
49
Q2 - 5:3331
49
Q2 - 5:40MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)31
49
Q2 - 5:44MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
47
Q2 - 5:46MILO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)31
47
Q2 - 6:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)31
47
Q2 - 6:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
44
Q2 - 6:17MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot31
44
Q2 - 6:28MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
44
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
44
Q2 - 6:44MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
44
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)29
44
Q2 - 7:10MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
42
Q2 - 7:14MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 7:29MILSUB: Redd FOR Kukoc29
42
Q2 - 7:29MIALaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
42
Q2 - 7:29MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric29
41
Q2 - 7:29MIAHEAT Rebound29
41
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 229
41
Q2 - 7:29MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P3.T4)29
41
Q2 - 7:35MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
41
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 229
41
Q2 - 7:37MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
41
Q2 - 7:37MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Pachulia29
40
Q2 - 7:37MILPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
40
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
40
Q2 - 7:46MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 7:59MILMason Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 7:59MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Anderson )28
40
Q2 - 8:16MIAAnderson Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 8:37MILGoldwire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
38
Q2 - 8:37MILGoldwire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 8:37MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
38
Q2 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
38
Q2 - 9:03MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
38
Q2 - 9:05MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)26
38
Q2 - 9:18MILSUB: Mason FOR Strickland26
38
Q2 - 9:18MIASUB: Jones FOR Doleac26
38
Q2 - 9:18MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Wade26
38
Q2 - 9:18MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
38
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)26
38
Q2 - 9:31MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36
Q2 - 9:33MILMISS Pachulia Layup26
36
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)26
36
Q2 - 9:52MILStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
35
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (18 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 10:12MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Goldwire 1 AST)26
33
Q2 - 10:38MIADoleac 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)23
33
Q2 - 10:57MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 10:57MILBucks Rebound22
31
Q2 - 10:57MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 222
31
Q2 - 10:57MIAAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
31
Q2 - 11:09MILBucks Rebound22
31
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Pachulia Layup22
31
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)22
31
Q2 - 11:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 11:23MILFizer P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
29
Q2 - 11:41MIALaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29
Q2 - 11:43MILMISS Pachulia 9' Hook Shot22
29
Q2 - 12:0022
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound22
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
29
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
29
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 0:30.0MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd21
27
Q1 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Laettner FOR Haslem21
27
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
27
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
27
Q1 - 0:30.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
27
Q1 - 0:32.0MILMISS Pachulia Driving Layup20
27
Q1 - 0:54.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
27
Q1 - 0:54.0MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
26
Q1 - 0:54.0MILKukoc L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)20
25
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
25
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot20
25
Q1 - 1:07MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 1:07MILBucks Rebound19
25
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 219
25
Q1 - 1:07MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
25
Q1 - 1:22MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Doleac 3' Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 1:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 1:36MILMISS Goldwire 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)19
25
Q1 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)19
24
Q1 - 1:57MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal19
23
Q1 - 1:57MILSUB: Goldwire FOR Williams19
23
Q1 - 1:57MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
23
Q1 - 1:57MILKukoc P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
23
Q1 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
23
Q1 - 2:05MILMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade Running Layup (12 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 2:39MILWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
21
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)17
21
Q1 - 3:08MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
19
Q1 - 3:08MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Mason16
19
Q1 - 3:08MIASUB: Anderson FOR Dooling16
19
Q1 - 3:08MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
19
Q1 - 3:08MIADooling P.FOUL (P3.PN)15
19
Q1 - 3:10MIADooling P.FOUL (P2.T4)15
19
Q1 - 3:14MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
19
Q1 - 3:35MILSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
19
Q1 - 3:53MIAWade Reverse Layup (10 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 4:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
17
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 4:20MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 4:34MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 4:34MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 4:34MIADooling S.FOUL (P1.T3)11
17
Q1 - 4:41MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot11
17
Q1 - 4:54MIASUB: Dooling FOR Jones11
17
Q1 - 4:54MILMason Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
17
Q1 - 5:15MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
17
Q1 - 5:19MILJones STEAL (1 STL)11
15
Q1 - 5:37MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
15
Q1 - 5:41MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)11
13
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
12
Q1 - 5:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
11
Q1 - 5:58MILWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)11
11
Q1 - 6:07MIAHEAT Rebound11
11
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Clear Path11
11
Q1 - 6:07MILMason C.P.FOUL (P1.T4)11
11
Q1 - 6:09MILWade STEAL (1 STL)11
11
Q1 - 6:18MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
11
Q1 - 6:27MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 211
11
Q1 - 6:27MILSUB: Pachulia FOR Gadzuric11
11
Q1 - 6:27MIAHEAT Rebound11
11
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 211
11
Q1 - 6:27MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P2.T3)11
11
Q1 - 6:43MILGadzuric Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
11
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
11
Q1 - 6:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
11
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 29
11
Q1 - 7:00MILGadzuric Violation:Lane9
11
Q1 - 7:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 7:00MILSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
10
Q1 - 7:18MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 7:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
10
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
10
Q1 - 7:48MILRedd Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 7:55MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
10
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot5
10
Q1 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
10
Q1 - 8:20MILMISS Gadzuric 15' Jump Shot5
10
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
10
Q1 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 8:46MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
8
Q1 - 9:23MILGadzuric Layup (2 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 9:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
6
Q1 - 9:27MILMISS Redd 11' Running Jump Shot3
6
Q1 - 9:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
6
Q1 - 9:52MILGadzuric P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 10:11MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
2
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 10:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Bank Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Jones0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
19
58%
MIA
25
32
78%
Midrange
MIL
10
44
23%
MIA
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIL
17
21
81%
MIA
23
35
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1447%7.0 / 15
M. Fizer1161%5.5 / 9
M. Williams1056%5.0 / 9
D. Mason739%3.5 / 9
A. Goldwire735%3.5 / 10
D. Gadzuric675%3.0 / 4
E. Strickland523%2.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia317%1.5 / 9
C. Booth325%1.5 / 6
T. Kukoc3150%1.5 / 1
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
R. Gaines0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2985%14.5 / 17
S. O'Neal2153%10.5 / 20
D. Jones1594%7.5 / 8
E. Jones1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
A. Mourning857%4.0 / 7
M. Doleac542%2.5 / 6
S. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
C. Laettner375%1.5 / 2
R. Butler338%1.5 / 4
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
S. Smith233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
77
+13
-11
90
MIA
82
+11
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.0%
MIA
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
106.6
MIL 80.7
MIA 122.2 +41.5
Pace
93.5
93.9
MIL 84.8
MIA 94.0 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.6
MIL 17.0
MIA 15.3 −1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
52.4%
MIL 34.6%
MIA 58.8% +24.2%
TO %
14.2%
14.0%
MIL 12.1%
MIA 8.2% −3.9%
ORB %
29.0%
27.0%
MIL 21.6% +1.0%
MIA 20.6%
FTrt
33.9
38.7
MIL 26.9
MIA 47.3 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
57.8%
MIL 36.0%
MIA 58.5% +22.5%
STL %
6.9%
6.8%
MIL 3.4%
MIA 8.9% +5.5%
BLK %
5.4%
8.7%
MIL 5.0%
MIA 9.5% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
52.7%
MIL 39.0%
MIA 58.5% +19.5%
Rim FG%
54.1%
63.0%
MIL 57.9%
MIA 78.1% +20.2%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.0%
MIL 22.7%
MIA 39.3% +16.6%
3P %
35.1%
37.7%
MIL 26.7%
MIA 35.7% +9.0%
FT %
77.2%
67.2%
MIL 81.0% +15.3%
MIA 65.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
37.6%
MIL 24.4%
MIA 43.2% +18.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.6%
MIL 56.4%
MIA 37.8% −18.6%
3P Att. %
14.1%
19.8%
MIL 19.2% +0.3%
MIA 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes24.923.0
Points71110
Rebounds3847
Assists924
Steals38
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)40 (1)
Field Goals25-7841-74
At-the-Rim FG11-1925-32
Midrange FG10-4411-28
2-Point FG21-6336-60
3-Point FG4-155-14
Free Throws17-2123-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
28.2
7
39%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
26.8
14
47%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
36%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
20.6
10
56%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 30
17.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
12.6
6
75%
6
0
1
0
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 27
30.9
11
61%
7
2
0
1
3
3
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 34
27.4
7
35%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
22.2
5
23%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
18.3
3
17%
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
3-4
75%
0-7
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 29
17.1
3
25%
7
0
0
2
0
3
3
4
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 24
11.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 36
7.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
71
39%
38
9
3
3
11
0
11
27
17-21
81%
21-63
33%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.