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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets49%9897
24Warriors51%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
44.0
38.7
20
34%
7
4
2
2
0
3
1
6
0-1
0%
7-23
7-16
30%
47%
2-6
33%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.3
33.2
33.4
16
63%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.1
30.1
30.4
18
60%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
8-14
4-10
57%
45%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.5
29.1
30.6
14
49%
15
0
0
0
1
1
6
9
4-5
80%
5-12
7-13
42%
53%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
25.1
21.8
9
113%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
3-3
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.7
23.7
27.4
7
35%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
20.9
22.8
5
51%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-4
25%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.7
18.3
14.8
4
69%
10
1
0
0
4
2
3
7
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
15.3
9.7
4
40%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.3
0.3
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.5
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.3
2.5
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
44.1
32.9
13
36%
11
8
1
1
0
1
0
11
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
49%
2-7
29%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.9
38.0
28.6
8
27%
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
2-9
3-6
22%
44%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.9
35.8
29.3
24
68%
9
1
1
1
0
2
4
5
5-8
63%
5-10
4-9
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.6
32.7
32.2
0
0%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
15.6
28.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
31.6
4.9
26
83%
10
1
1
0
0
0
2
8
5-6
83%
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
5-7
71%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
26.1
19.6
21
67%
7
2
0
1
0
2
5
2
3-6
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
4-8
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 18.9
13.1
14.8
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-2
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
3.0
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
30.4
1
4-8
48%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.7
7.1
0
1-2
47%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.9
3.0
0
0-1
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.