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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards62%100122
33Hawks38%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
40.8
39.9
23
52%
3
7
6
2
0
3
0
3
8-9
89%
6-15
7-15
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
39.8
40.9
29
75%
4
4
4
2
0
2
1
3
7-10
70%
5-9
6-14
56%
47%
4-6
67%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.0
32.6
26.5
13
84%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.3
30.3
31.3
9
58%
5
1
0
1
3
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
24.4
33.5
14
80%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
6-7
3-7
86%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.1
26.6
15.6
17
96%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
3-3
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
17.6
13.8
15
70%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
3-6
50%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.1
11.8
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
11.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.6
5.2
4.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
21.5
1
3-7
49%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.3
4.0
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.7
36.0
37.1
15
79%
5
4
0
1
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
2-2
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.9
27.9
32.1
4
22%
4
6
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
25.4
35.6
8
34%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
3-10
8-16
30%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.3
21.9
29.1
8
44%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.6
18.8
20.4
4
53%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
22.8
27.7
2
25%
7
3
3
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
40%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
20.1
11.4
11
62%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.3
19.6
13.1
11
51%
6
4
2
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.1
18.4
7.7
16
67%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.4
15.8
10.7
10
73%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.5
8.4
7.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
5.0
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.