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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Bobcats20%91101
18Nuggets80%102120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
32.3
32.7
17
46%
8
1
1
1
3
0
5
3
3-8
38%
7-15
6-13
47%
45%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
31.3
27.3
14
65%
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
29.5
23.3
16
53%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-8
29%
39%
4-8
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
25.6
25.5
19
74%
1
4
2
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
2-5
3-8
40%
40%
4-6
67%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
23.4
24.0
6
38%
2
8
2
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-8
38%
42%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
19.8
6.2
9
48%
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
1-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
19.0
17.8
5
58%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
16.4
21.0
5
37%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
13.4
16.8
6
44%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
1-1
100%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
11.9
15.8
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
11.7
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
5.8
14.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
31.5
30.1
3
30%
2
14
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.0
30.8
12.5
14
54%
6
3
2
0
1
2
4
2
0-2
0%
7-12
1-3
58%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
25.1
20.4
7
36%
12
4
1
1
3
1
1
11
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
22.0
28.9
25
70%
3
2
0
1
2
3
1
2
3-4
75%
8-12
6-12
67%
46%
2-4
50%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
21.9
15.3
14
119%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
53%
2-2
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
25.1
19.9
7
41%
2
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
4-6
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
1-5
20%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.0
23.3
22.1
13
73%
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
22.1
20.0
13
73%
6
2
1
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-8
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.8
20.3
26.6
10
63%
3
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.2
12.6
12.1
12
61%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Mark Pope
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
5.4
1.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.2
31.4
1
6-13
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.