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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Lakers29%9497
11Pacers71%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.0
42.7
30.5
19
49%
10
1
6
1
0
1
4
6
3-3
100%
8-18
4-10
44%
43%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.6
34.1
32.9
23
61%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
8-13
3-6
62%
46%
2-5
40%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
28.5
40.1
12
40%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-10
7-14
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
20.7
34.5
9
39%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
5-6
83%
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
18.9
20.2
6
34%
4
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
29.1
15.0
9
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
25.7
18.4
9
90%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
21.9
7.4
2
25%
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
13.8
12.9
8
47%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
38%
1-3
33%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
4.6
9.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.0
12.9
0
2-4
44%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.0
3.8
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.2
39.4
25.1
6
60%
17
4
0
1
0
2
4
13
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.0
38.4
30.2
19
44%
2
5
0
1
1
5
0
2
4-4
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
49%
1-9
11%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
36.1
29.8
13
59%
3
11
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.0
35.4
26.3
6
50%
16
2
2
1
3
1
7
9
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.6
35.2
27.0
39
87%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
10-10
100%
10-13
3-6
77%
52%
3-5
60%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.9
15.6
21.5
6
68%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.0
13.5
21.8
6
43%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.6
11.8
15.1
6
150%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-2
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.5
9.3
16.7
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.1
5.3
17.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.1
6.2
0
1-2
47%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
3.4
0
0-1
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.