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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards51%10290
30Bucks49%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
45.5
39.5
27
39%
10
7
3
2
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
9-23
6-13
39%
46%
3-12
25%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
44.4
39.3
24
52%
8
5
1
2
0
6
4
4
8-12
67%
5-11
7-14
45%
46%
2-7
29%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.3
36.8
30.4
9
46%
8
0
1
1
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
29.9
29.2
7
56%
4
0
2
1
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.6
23.4
4.8
8
68%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.1
28.4
20.0
3
30%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
25.2
15.5
10
51%
10
0
1
0
0
1
4
6
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.2
6.4
9.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.0
28.7
1
3-7
48%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
14.9
0
2-5
48%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
7.6
0
1-2
45%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.3
3.9
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.4
43.6
35.4
17
51%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
7-8
88%
5-13
6-13
38%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
34.9
32.1
24
85%
10
1
1
1
0
2
4
6
6-7
86%
9-11
4-9
82%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
34.1
36.2
26
55%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
8-8
100%
6-15
8-16
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
26.5
22.3
6
43%
10
2
1
1
3
2
4
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
16.9
28.7
2
20%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.5
31.1
16.1
5
28%
7
6
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.1
20.4
10.9
13
87%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
46%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.3
16.9
13.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.5
12.0
12.4
5
125%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.6
3.6
12.9
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
14.7
0
2-4
45%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.