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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics28%95103
9Rockets72%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.4
38.8
35.3
12
50%
1
7
5
1
1
4
0
1
6-7
86%
3-7
5-11
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.2
36.2
16.2
11
58%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
7-8
88%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.7
32.1
32.6
10
85%
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
31.6
33.8
18
58%
5
2
4
1
0
0
1
4
3-6
50%
3-8
5-12
38%
44%
3-5
60%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
7.8
25.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.5
32.5
33.9
15
72%
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
1-1
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
26.5
19.1
22
69%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
11-16
3-6
69%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.3
17.8
11.2
3
39%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.2
8.4
12.4
7
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.6
8.2
13.0
5
63%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.4
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
2.0
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
44.6
34.6
22
43%
5
5
2
1
1
4
1
4
6-8
75%
8-16
7-15
50%
48%
0-6
0%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
31.1
25.0
10
34%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-6
50%
2-10
2-5
20%
47%
1-2
50%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.3
30.8
32.9
12
55%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
43%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.5
29.2
26.4
18
73%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
8-12
67%
5-7
6-11
71%
54%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.5
14.9
9.4
3
39%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
32.5
22.1
16
90%
6
0
3
1
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.7
21.2
23.8
2
13%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
16.4
17.0
5
83%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.7
10.8
17.3
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.3
8.4
7.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.1
20.2
0
3-7
46%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.3
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.6
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.