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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Bobcats8%8376
5Spurs92%10193
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
35.5
31.9
7
25%
12
0
0
1
4
7
6
6
1-2
50%
3-13
5-13
23%
42%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
31.4
28.3
18
90%
7
2
1
0
2
2
3
4
8-9
89%
5-6
4-9
83%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
26.5
25.0
5
21%
5
0
0
1
0
4
2
3
3-4
75%
1-7
3-7
14%
37%
0-3
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
23.9
23.6
8
52%
4
7
3
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
40%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
22.0
25.2
9
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
37%
1-1
100%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
22.9
18.1
10
56%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-6
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
22.4
19.1
10
45%
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-11
2-5
45%
42%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
19.4
12.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
15.7
15.2
5
30%
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
2-8
1-4
25%
37%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
12.0
14.2
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
35%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
8.3
9.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
35%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
11.3
0
1-4
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
31.7
29.0
24
61%
5
5
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-6
33%
11-17
6-11
65%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.9
30.3
26.8
19
46%
6
3
3
1
3
1
2
4
1-2
50%
9-20
7-12
45%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.2
28.1
31.8
6
51%
1
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
24.2
33.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-2
0%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
16.1
19.8
0
0%
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
32.0
27.8
15
57%
4
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
19.4
19.7
11
94%
9
1
2
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
19.1
13.3
8
38%
8
1
1
0
2
4
6
2
2-6
33%
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
16.3
16.0
2
14%
0
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 26.4
11.7
10.0
2
33%
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.6
11.1
9.6
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.6
10.4
1
1-2
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.