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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Cavaliers46%10098
22Raptors54%101105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.2
48.0
40.5
56
66%
10
5
2
2
0
4
2
8
14-15
93%
12-24
8-17
50%
49%
6-12
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.5
41.6
26.8
24
66%
10
2
0
1
0
0
4
6
4-5
80%
10-15
5-11
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.8
40.9
33.7
10
31%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
2-3
67%
4-15
7-14
27%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
39.9
18.5
0
0%
1
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
29.1
20.2
7
58%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
11.8
8.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.1
8.1
6.0
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.3
7.2
14.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.1
7.1
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
6.4
16.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.4
31.6
1
4-8
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.1
3.8
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.1
42.7
38.7
30
61%
7
3
3
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
10-18
6-12
56%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.0
38.6
22.3
11
48%
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
6
9-10
90%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
33.2
33.6
9
46%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-8
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
31.9
35.6
16
63%
5
4
1
2
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
3-4
75%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 26.7
19.9
4.7
5
75%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
1-3
33%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.8
30.8
36.2
24
76%
10
1
0
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
5-10
50%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.1
16.1
18.3
5
47%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-3
33%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
16.0
22.8
5
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
10.7
1.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.6
13.2
0
1-3
47%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.9
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.