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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs43%87101
6Pistons57%89110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
34.5
18.3
13
60%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-10
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
33.8
30.1
12
43%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
6-12
46%
50%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
18.6
29.3
6
38%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.6
15.8
9.5
14
81%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.9
1.9
28.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
32.0
29.0
18
62%
5
3
0
1
0
2
3
2
7-8
88%
4-6
3-6
67%
43%
1-5
20%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
31.1
19.3
8
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
21.3
15.5
13
67%
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
19.3
15.9
15
58%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.2
18.4
29.4
0
0%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-2
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.6
7.2
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 26.4
6.1
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.5
39.2
35.1
15
86%
6
4
1
1
3
2
2
4
3-4
75%
3-4
5-11
75%
45%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.5
35.6
34.0
25
83%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
7-7
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.1
35.5
38.9
22
56%
8
2
2
1
0
0
4
4
6-8
75%
8-14
6-11
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.5
33.7
34.2
8
60%
9
2
0
1
4
1
1
8
4-6
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.1
28.6
33.8
11
44%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-1
100%
2-9
5-12
22%
44%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.6
23.6
16.3
13
60%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-9
2-4
56%
41%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
23.1
22.2
12
62%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
6-6
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.6
20.6
9.2
4
34%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.1
0.1
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.3
5.4
0
0-1
37%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.7
2.0
0
0-1
40%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.7
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.