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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors39%102104
12Kings61%10694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.9
39.1
26.9
29
68%
14
1
1
1
1
3
7
7
7-10
70%
5-10
4-9
50%
44%
4-7
57%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.9
37.8
34.6
13
33%
4
8
2
2
2
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
3-8
43%
43%
1-11
9%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.6
37.0
27.8
8
36%
2
9
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
42%
2-5
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
32.8
28.5
13
41%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
2-6
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.0
26.4
15.5
12
83%
10
0
1
1
1
1
3
7
2-5
40%
5-5
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
25.6
16.1
17
79%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
7-7
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
20.6
15.6
5
56%
9
0
0
1
1
0
4
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
13.3
2.9
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.9
7.4
1.7
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
38.3
1
6-12
49%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
26.8
0
3-5
48%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.7
4.2
0
1-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.8
44.8
38.4
14
34%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
2-11
5-9
18%
50%
2-8
25%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
40.4
15.2
15
59%
8
0
0
1
1
0
1
7
5-6
83%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
39.6
37.4
24
48%
3
8
2
2
1
1
0
3
4-5
80%
10-18
6-12
56%
49%
0-5
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.1
31.8
19.3
15
49%
9
3
1
1
0
1
7
2
3-3
100%
6-14
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 28.8
24.7
31.0
4
45%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 27.7
34.0
29.5
18
51%
8
1
3
1
1
2
4
4
6-8
75%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.9
12.9
8.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.1
8.6
4.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Erik Daniels
· 6'8" 215 · 23.0
3.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.5
37.6
1
4-9
46%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
14.5
0
2-5
47%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.9
11.4
0
2-3
53%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.0
2.9
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.