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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
34Hornets12%9186
3Mavericks88%106103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.5
33.6
27.3
27
65%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
10-11
91%
7-12
3-7
58%
45%
1-4
25%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.5
32.9
24.4
14
57%
2
3
3
1
1
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.8
31.6
29.6
13
53%
12
1
1
0
0
1
5
7
9-14
64%
2-6
5-11
33%
45%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.4
22.6
30.6
8
58%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.1
20.2
21.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-6
5-10
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.7
30.0
25.1
5
34%
5
3
2
1
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
42%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
29.5
19.4
5
33%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-6
33%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-3
33%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
17.5
7.7
4
69%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.8
13.2
25.2
4
67%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
42%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.1
9.1
6.1
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.9
21.5
1
3-6
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
6.0
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
30.2
30.2
15
52%
5
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
1-1
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
51%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
29.6
38.1
25
79%
8
2
2
1
2
2
0
8
11-11
100%
4-7
7-15
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
28.9
32.8
16
47%
5
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
3-5
60%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
1-4
25%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.0
23.6
19.7
5
64%
7
0
2
1
2
0
0
7
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
21.1
35.4
3
28%
1
4
1
2
0
4
1
0
1-1
100%
1-4
5-9
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
27.8
29.8
6
30%
3
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-9
6-11
22%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
25.6
6.8
17
92%
3
3
1
0
1
3
2
1
4-5
80%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
3-3
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
25.6
19.4
13
47%
8
2
1
1
0
0
5
3
4-4
100%
0-7
3-5
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
17.8
16.4
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.7
6.1
5.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.2
2.2
1.0
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
1.7
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.