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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 22, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Lakers41%97107
26Jazz59%100115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
44.0
37.0
43
75%
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-6
33%
7-11
6-13
64%
47%
9-15
60%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.0
38.5
35.4
12
47%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.6
38.4
34.8
17
63%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
15.8
24.3
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.0
15.5
12.5
5
36%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
32.2
16.8
6
80%
8
3
2
0
0
1
3
5
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
29.3
20.2
17
74%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
4-6
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
9.8
10.5
1
27%
0
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
9.6
15.6
4
50%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
6.9
7.4
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
21.2
0
3-6
49%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.0
2.7
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
39.1
25.5
27
102%
16
5
0
0
0
3
2
14
11-12
92%
5-6
4-8
83%
49%
2-2
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
37.1
31.1
23
86%
8
5
0
1
0
5
3
5
3-3
100%
10-12
5-10
83%
51%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
34.6
17.5
22
50%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-15
3-6
47%
49%
2-6
33%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
29.2
21.8
9
51%
2
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 31.3
11.8
16.0
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
41.1
36.3
18
85%
1
5
4
2
5
2
1
0
5-6
83%
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
1-1
100%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
18.8
19.4
8
100%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.8
13.2
10.8
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.5
11.6
11.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
3.5
14.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
25.7
1
4-7
47%
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 30.0
7.0
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.