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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks56%103109
21Warriors44%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
39.9
34.3
29
79%
10
2
2
1
0
6
2
8
9-10
90%
7-10
6-13
70%
48%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
38.3
29.3
23
73%
4
8
1
1
0
1
1
3
13-13
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
37.7
30.9
6
25%
9
4
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
26.1
29.8
10
44%
7
1
2
1
0
3
3
4
2-3
67%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.0
19.5
21.0
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
28.6
21.6
24
88%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
21.7
28.6
6
34%
3
2
0
2
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
3-7
5-11
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
17.0
14.6
7
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
10.2
17.0
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.8
0.6
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.2
0.5
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
2.2
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
42.9
26.1
11
32%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
1-6
17%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.9
41.5
34.9
22
47%
5
8
4
2
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
6-11
3-8
55%
43%
1-9
11%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 30.6
36.0
30.7
14
51%
6
5
1
1
1
3
1
5
10-13
77%
2-7
3-6
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
29.8
18.4
0
0%
9
1
0
0
4
3
1
8
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 24.5
11.2
29.8
8
62%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
27.8
17.6
22
68%
5
0
2
1
0
2
3
2
6-7
86%
8-10
2-4
80%
45%
0-3
0%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
25.8
19.4
12
56%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.0
13.4
19.3
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
11.8
7.2
2
13%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24.9
31.1
1
4-10
44%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 21.9
4.1
0
0-1
36%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33.7
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.