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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 24, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Bobcats29%93108
32Magic71%10094
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
41.2
29.2
22
63%
9
4
1
2
2
1
2
7
4-8
50%
9-13
4-8
69%
45%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
38.8
33.3
23
60%
10
0
2
1
4
1
3
7
13-16
81%
5-12
6-14
42%
44%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
38.5
32.6
20
71%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
10-14
5-10
71%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
38.0
29.8
15
41%
3
15
8
2
0
5
0
3
5-5
100%
5-14
4-10
36%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
21.9
23.0
6
34%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-8
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
27.1
23.7
18
80%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
3-5
60%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
17.4
18.5
2
20%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
8.9
14.7
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
8.3
19.3
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
17.0
1
2-5
39%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
7.1
0
1-2
42%
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
5.8
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.1
41.6
36.9
18
54%
7
13
1
2
0
7
2
5
4-6
67%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.3
39.9
32.2
14
40%
15
0
1
1
0
4
7
8
2-3
67%
6-16
5-9
38%
53%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.5
38.6
33.9
28
55%
6
2
0
1
1
4
1
5
8-8
100%
10-22
8-15
45%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.0
37.1
22.3
23
56%
4
0
0
1
0
1
4
0
5-6
83%
9-18
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.6
30.3
26.4
0
0%
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
19.9
21.2
2
17%
8
1
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
50%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.6
15.8
4.9
3
30%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.6
11.1
6.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 24.3
4.3
4.0
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Jones
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
1.4
9.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.0
4.4
0
1-1
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.