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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 24, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards39%9685
23Jazz61%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
48.0
38.8
29
56%
3
6
0
2
0
2
2
1
6-7
86%
7-17
6-13
41%
46%
3-6
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.2
42.7
37.2
25
51%
9
2
4
2
0
3
0
9
6-8
75%
5-14
6-12
36%
46%
3-7
43%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
40.8
29.2
5
47%
8
2
2
1
1
1
0
8
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.0
31.3
17.9
11
61%
8
0
2
0
2
2
5
3
7-9
78%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.3
20.0
27.2
4
43%
3
0
2
1
1
3
0
3
2-6
33%
1-2
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
23.6
19.5
6
39%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Damone Brown
F · 6'8" 202 · 25.7
17.4
14.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.1
8.4
24.4
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.2
4.7
12.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.6
3.1
12.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.5
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.3
3.9
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
31.9
24.6
13
60%
2
4
3
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-6
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
30.9
24.2
11
43%
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
48%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
24.6
30.6
5
30%
8
1
0
1
3
2
5
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 31.4
20.4
14.1
2
14%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
3.0
37.4
2
100%
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
5-10
100%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
42.1
32.9
18
57%
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
51%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
35.6
16.8
10
56%
10
3
1
0
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
16.1
18.8
8
50%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.8
14.6
12.2
9
64%
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.5
11.6
11.9
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
9.2
10.1
4
35%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 30.0
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.