Final Win Prob. pScore
1332%87
94
768%93
81
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
116.08186.3
DET logo Pistons
105.27773.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - 0:00.0IND94
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETHam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDDelfino STEAL (2 STL)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMISS Milicic 15' Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDMISS Edwards 15' Jump Shot94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETPISTONS Rebound94
79
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 294
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15INDSUB: Pollard FOR Foster94
79
Q4 - 1:15INDSUB: Edwards FOR Davis94
79
Q4 - 1:15INDSUB: Gill FOR Johnson94
79
Q4 - 1:15INDFoster S.FOUL (P4.PN)94
79
Q4 - 1:25INDJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38DETHunter Violation:Kicked Ball91
79
Q4 - 1:59DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)91
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 1:59DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 1:59DETSUB: Hunter FOR Wallace91
77
Q4 - 1:59INDJackson P.FOUL (P3.PN)91
77
Q4 - 1:59DETMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33DETDelfino Driving Layup (9 PTS)91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46INDJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46INDSUB: Jones FOR Miller90
75
Q4 - 2:46INDPacers Rebound90
75
Q4 - 2:46INDMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46DETSUB: Arroyo FOR Billups90
75
Q4 - 2:46DETSUB: Ham FOR Prince90
75
Q4 - 2:46DETSUB: Milicic FOR Wallace90
75
Q4 - 2:46DETWallace S.FOUL (P4.PN)90
75
Q4 - 3:09INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)90
75
Q4 - 3:12DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29INDJohnson Driving Layup (11 PTS)90
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54DETDelfino Violation:Kicked Ball88
73
Q4 - 3:55INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 3:57DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot88
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 4:13INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 4:35DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 4:35DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 4:35INDSUB: Johnson FOR Gill85
71
Q4 - 4:35INDGill S.FOUL (P4.PN)85
71
Q4 - 4:42DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 4:44INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 4:56DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 4:56DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 4:56INDSUB: Jackson FOR Jones85
69
Q4 - 4:56INDSUB: Davis FOR Pollard85
69
Q4 - 4:56INDFoster L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)85
69
Q4 - 4:56DETPISTONS Rebound85
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot85
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 5:17DETDelfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)85
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 5:21INDJones P.FOUL (P3.T4)85
66
Q4 - 5:35INDGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 5:35INDGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 5:35DETBillups P.FOUL (P5.PN)83
66
Q4 - 5:35INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 5:50INDPollard Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:50INDPacers Rebound82
66
Q4 - 5:50INDMISS Pollard Free Throw 1 of 282
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 5:50DETBillups Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)82
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 5:50INDPollard T.FOUL (P1.T3)82
65
Q4 - 5:50DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.PN)82
65
Q4 - 5:5082
65
Q4 - 6:04INDPacers Rebound82
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 6:04DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot82
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q4 - 6:11INDSUB: Miller FOR Jones82
65
Q4 - 6:11DETSUB: Delfino FOR Hunter82
65
Q4 - 6:11INDJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)82
65
Q4 - 6:21INDGill 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)82
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 6:47DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 6:47INDSUB: Gill FOR Johnson79
64
Q4 - 6:47DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 6:47INDJohnson S.FOUL (P5.T2)79
63
Q4 - 7:06INDJohnson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 7:16DETBillups P.FOUL (P4.T4)77
63
Q4 - 7:23DETSUB: Billups FOR Arroyo77
63
Q4 - 7:23DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess77
63
Q4 - 7:23DETHunter P.FOUL (P4.T3)77
63
Q4 - 7:40DETArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)77
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q4 - 8:00INDJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 8:19DETArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)75
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q4 - 8:19DETArroyo OFF.Foul (P5)75
63
Q4 - 8:47DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
63
Q4 - 8:51INDJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
93.0%
63
7.0%
Q4 - 9:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q4 - 9:10DETMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot73
88.4%
63
11.6%
Q4 - 9:26INDJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
86.8%
63
13.2%
Q4 - 9:45DETArroyo Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
83.7%
63
16.3%
Q4 - 9:57INDSUB: Johnson FOR Gill71
61
Q4 - 9:57DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups71
61
Q4 - 9:57INDFoster P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
61
Q4 - 10:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)71
84.7%
61
15.3%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Gill 12' Jump Shot71
85.5%
61
14.5%
Q4 - 10:25INDSUB: Jones FOR Jackson71
61
Q4 - 10:29DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T6)71
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q4 - 10:29DETBillups OFF.Foul (P3)71
61
Q4 - 10:41DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
84.8%
61
15.2%
Q4 - 10:43DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
86.7%
61
13.3%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)71
82.9%
61
17.1%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)70
82.4%
61
17.6%
Q4 - 11:06INDGill Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)69
81.8%
61
18.2%
Q4 - 11:06DETArroyo S.FOUL (P4.T2)68
61
Q4 - 11:19DETArroyo P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
61
Q4 - 11:37DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)68
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q4 - 12:0068
61
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
72.0%
61
28.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND68
61
Q3 - 0:00.0INDCroshere Layup (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)68
72.0%
61
28.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETSUB: Ham FOR Delfino66
61
Q3 - 0:01.0INDSUB: Johnson FOR Gill66
61
Q3 - 0:01.0DETDelfino P.FOUL (P4.T4)66
61
Q3 - 0:18.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
65.3%
61
34.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot66
64.1%
61
35.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDJackson Dunk (12 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)66
61.2%
61
38.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
55.7%
61
44.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot64
52.6%
61
47.4%
Q3 - 1:08INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)64
61
Q3 - 1:10DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
54.5%
61
45.5%
Q3 - 1:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
59.8%
59
40.2%
Q3 - 1:20INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
61.1%
59
38.9%
Q3 - 1:39DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 1:45INDSUB: Gill FOR Johnson64
56
Q3 - 2:06INDJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)64
70.7%
56
29.3%
Q3 - 2:14DETDelfino P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
56
Q3 - 2:29DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)61
62.5%
56
37.5%
Q3 - 2:41INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 2:41INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
69.6%
53
30.4%
Q3 - 2:41DETDelfino S.FOUL (P2.T2)59
53
Q3 - 2:56DETWallace 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)59
66.8%
53
33.2%
Q3 - 3:19INDCroshere Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)59
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 3:37INDSUB: Foster FOR Davis57
51
Q3 - 3:37INDSUB: Jones FOR Jones57
51
Q3 - 3:37INDSUB: Jackson FOR Miller57
51
Q3 - 3:37DETSUB: Delfino FOR Prince57
51
Q3 - 3:37DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace57
51
Q3 - 3:37INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
51
Q3 - 3:40DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)57
65.2%
51
34.8%
Q3 - 3:57DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 3:59INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot57
70.2%
49
29.8%
Q3 - 4:18INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
71.8%
49
28.2%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
70.6%
49
29.4%
Q3 - 4:27INDSUB: Jones FOR Jackson57
49
Q3 - 4:27DETSUB: Arroyo FOR Hunter57
49
Q3 - 4:27DETBillups Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)57
67.5%
49
32.5%
Q3 - 4:27INDJackson T.FOUL (P2.T4)57
48
Q3 - 4:34INDJackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)57
71.3%
48
28.7%
Q3 - 4:51DETWallace Layup (6 PTS)55
68.2%
48
31.8%
Q3 - 4:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)55
71.3%
46
28.7%
Q3 - 4:56DETMISS Hunter Layup55
74.1%
46
25.9%
Q3 - 5:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q3 - 5:15INDMISS Croshere 17' Jump Shot55
70.6%
46
29.4%
Q3 - 5:37INDDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)55
73.4%
46
26.6%
Q3 - 5:39DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q3 - 5:59DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)55
46
Q3 - 6:05INDCroshere 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)55
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q3 - 6:20INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q3 - 6:22DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot53
63.5%
46
36.5%
Q3 - 6:34INDDavis P.FOUL (P2.T4)53
46
Q3 - 6:43INDSUB: Johnson FOR Gill53
46
Q3 - 6:43INDGill P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
46
Q3 - 6:43DETHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q3 - 6:45DETMISS Hunter 14' Jump Shot53
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q3 - 6:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)53
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q3 - 7:00DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot53
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q3 - 7:26INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)53
59.1%
46
40.9%
Q3 - 7:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
51.6%
46
48.4%
Q3 - 7:32INDMISS Miller 13' Running Jump Shot50
48.8%
46
51.2%
Q3 - 7:44INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
51.7%
46
48.3%
Q3 - 7:46DETMISS Hunter 21' Jump Shot50
50.4%
46
49.6%
Q3 - 7:59DETBillups Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)50
47.7%
46
52.3%
Q3 - 7:59INDPacers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Gill )50
45
Q3 - 8:09INDJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T7)50
50.6%
45
49.4%
Q3 - 8:09INDJackson OFF.Foul (P2)50
45
Q3 - 8:29DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
54.7%
45
45.3%
Q3 - 8:51INDDavis Layup (9 PTS)50
58.2%
43
41.8%
Q3 - 8:52INDDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)48
54.7%
43
45.3%
Q3 - 8:54INDWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)48
51.9%
43
48.1%
Q3 - 9:12DETPrince Driving Layup (11 PTS)48
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q3 - 9:30INDCroshere 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q3 - 9:48DETWallace L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)46
41
Q3 - 9:48INDPacers Rebound46
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Wallace Layup46
52.8%
41
47.2%
Q3 - 9:58INDGill P.FOUL (P2.T2)46
41
Q3 - 10:04INDSUB: Gill FOR Johnson46
41
Q3 - 10:04INDJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T1)46
41
Q3 - 10:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q3 - 10:07INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)46
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q3 - 10:31DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)46
52.9%
41
47.1%
Q3 - 10:51INDJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)46
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q3 - 11:15DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)43
48.6%
39
51.4%
Q3 - 11:39DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q3 - 11:41INDMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot43
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q3 - 12:0043
37
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
51.9%
37
48.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 43' 3PT Jump Shot43
54.4%
37
45.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)43
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Davis Tip Shot43
52.4%
37
47.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)43
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMISS Croshere 23' Jump Shot43
52.4%
37
47.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
54.2%
37
45.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
54.8%
36
45.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
35
Q2 - 0:37.0INDJones L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)43
35
Q2 - 0:37.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)43
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot43
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETSUB: Ham FOR Billups42
35
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETArroyo S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
35
Q2 - 0:49.0INDDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
54.3%
35
45.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot41
52.4%
35
47.6%
Q2 - 1:07INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot41
52.7%
35
47.3%
Q2 - 1:29INDDavis Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)41
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 1:45INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Wallace Layup39
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 2:01INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 2:01INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 2:01DETSUB: Arroyo FOR Hunter37
35
Q2 - 2:01DETHunter S.FOUL (P3.PN)37
35
Q2 - 2:12INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 2:14DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot37
39.2%
35
60.8%
Q2 - 2:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 237
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 2:38INDDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
39.2%
35
60.8%
Q2 - 2:38DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
35
Q2 - 2:38DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
35
Q2 - 2:38INDDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 2:39INDWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)36
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 2:59DETWallace Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)36
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 3:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
33
Q2 - 3:17INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 136
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 3:17DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
33
Q2 - 3:17INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)36
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q2 - 3:33INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)34
33
Q2 - 3:41DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
37.0%
33
63.0%
Q2 - 3:48DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 3:50INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot34
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 3:54INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q2 - 3:57DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot34
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 3:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 3:59DETMISS Prince Layup34
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 4:22INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
42.0%
30
58.0%
Q2 - 4:33DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)34
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 4:49INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)34
42.0%
30
58.0%
Q2 - 5:13DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 5:13DETPISTONS Rebound34
29
Q2 - 5:13DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 234
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 5:13INDDavis S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
29
Q2 - 5:25INDSUB: Jones FOR Johnson34
29
Q2 - 5:25INDSUB: Croshere FOR Foster34
29
Q2 - 5:2534
29
Q2 - 5:25INDJohnson L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)34
29
Q2 - 5:25DETPISTONS Rebound34
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 5:26INDMISS Davis Layup34
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 5:27INDDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 5:28INDMISS Johnson Layup34
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 5:41INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 5:43DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot34
46.7%
29
53.3%
Q2 - 5:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 5:56INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot34
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 6:03DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 6:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 6:08DETMISS Prince Layup34
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 6:21INDFoster Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)34
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 6:34DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 6:34INDSUB: Davis FOR Pollard34
28
Q2 - 6:34DETPISTONS Rebound34
46.8%
28
53.2%
Q2 - 6:34INDSUB: Jackson FOR Jones34
28
Q2 - 6:34DETSUB: Billups FOR Arroyo34
28
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 234
48.1%
28
51.9%
Q2 - 6:34INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
28
Q2 - 6:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
46.8%
28
53.2%
Q2 - 6:47DETMISS Prince Layup34
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 7:06INDJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
46.3%
28
53.7%
Q2 - 7:13INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
43.6%
28
56.4%
Q2 - 7:15DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot32
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 7:30INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 7:30INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 7:30INDSUB: Johnson FOR Gill30
28
Q2 - 7:30DETHunter P.FOUL (P2.PN)30
28
Q2 - 7:42DETMcDyess 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)30
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 8:00DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace30
26
Q2 - 8:00INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
40.8%
26
59.2%
Q2 - 8:00INDMiller Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)29
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 8:00DETWallace T.FOUL (P2.T4)28
26
Q2 - 8:00DETSUB: Hunter FOR Delfino28
26
Q2 - 8:00INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 8:00DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T4)27
26
Q2 - 8:10INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Delfino Layup27
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q2 - 8:34INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)27
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q2 - 8:43INDSUB: Miller FOR Jones25
26
Q2 - 8:43INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
26
Q2 - 8:53DETDelfino Dunk (4 PTS)25
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q2 - 8:54INDDelfino STEAL (1 STL)25
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q2 - 8:55DETMcDyess Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q2 - 9:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q2 - 9:06INDMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)25
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q2 - 9:37DETArroyo 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q2 - 9:56INDJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q2 - 10:01INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot23
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q2 - 10:30INDFoster Layup (6 PTS)23
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q2 - 10:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q2 - 10:36INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot21
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q2 - 10:47DETArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
22
Q2 - 10:58DETDelfino Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)21
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q2 - 11:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Pollard Layup21
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q2 - 11:20DETDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:31INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 11:31INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q2 - 11:31DETDelfino S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
20
Q2 - 11:43DETSUB: Prince FOR Billups19
20
Q2 - 11:43DETBillups P.FOUL (P2.T1)19
20
Q2 - 12:0019
20
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound19
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jones 39' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDGill P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
18
Q1 - 0:12.0INDFoster Layup (4 PTS)19
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0INDWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)17
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0INDPacers Rebound17
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot17
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)17
18
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 215
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETPISTONS Rebound15
18
Q1 - 0:58.0DETSUB: Delfino FOR Prince15
18
Q1 - 0:58.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 215
24.7%
18
75.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDPollard P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
18
Q1 - 0:58.0DETPISTONS Rebound15
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 1:17DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 1:17DETPISTONS Rebound15
17
Q1 - 1:17DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 215
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 1:17INDSUB: Pollard FOR Croshere15
17
Q1 - 1:17INDSUB: Jones FOR Jackson15
17
Q1 - 1:17INDJackson P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
17
Q1 - 1:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 1:26INDMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot15
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 1:44INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 1:44DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 215
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 1:44DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 1:44INDFoster S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
16
Q1 - 2:05DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 2:07INDMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot15
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 2:14INDPacers Rebound15
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 2:15INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)15
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 2:25DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace15
16
Q1 - 2:25INDSUB: Foster FOR Davis15
16
Q1 - 2:25INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
16
Q1 - 2:34DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 2:55INDCroshere 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
31.8%
14
68.2%
Q1 - 3:15INDGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 3:17DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot13
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 3:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 3:38INDMISS Jackson 20' Turnaround Jump Shot13
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 3:44INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 3:47DETMISS Prince Dunk13
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 3:57DETSUB: Arroyo FOR Hunter13
14
Q1 - 3:57INDSUB: Jones FOR Miller13
14
Q1 - 3:57INDSUB: Gill FOR Johnson13
14
Q1 - 3:57DETBillups Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 3:57INDJohnson T.FOUL (P2.T2)13
13
Q1 - 3:57INDJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)13
13
Q1 - 4:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
29.4%
13
70.6%
Q1 - 4:05INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot13
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 4:24DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)13
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 4:27DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 4:30DETMISS Prince Layup13
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 4:43INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 4:43DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
11
Q1 - 4:43INDCroshere Layup (2 PTS)12
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 5:02INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 5:04DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 5:18DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 5:19INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot10
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 5:38DETHunter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)10
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 5:51DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
9
Q1 - 6:04INDJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 6:24DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)8
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 6:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 6:43INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot8
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 6:52INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 6:54DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 7:12DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot8
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 7:38INDDavis Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 7:48INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 7:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 7:58DETMISS Billups Layup6
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:02INDJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 8:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:08INDMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot6
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:11INDJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 8:12INDMISS Jackson Layup6
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:33DETBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 8:48INDJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:02INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot4
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:10INDMISS Croshere Layup4
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:27DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)4
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 9:31DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot4
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 9:53INDCroshere Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:02INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:05DETMISS Hunter 12' Jump Shot4
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:25INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 10:32DETBillups L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:32INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:33INDMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot2
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:41INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:44DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot2
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:08INDJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:16DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:25INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:25INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:25DETHunter S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38INDDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.9%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Davis: Tip to Prince0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
27
63%
DET
10
22
45%
Midrange
IND
9
32
28%
DET
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
DET
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
24
28
86%
DET
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Croshere1550%7.5 / 15
R. Miller1464%7.0 / 11
S. Jackson1233%6.0 / 18
A. Johnson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Foster10100%5.0 / 5
D. Davis956%4.5 / 8
F. Jones850%4.0 / 8
E. Gill880%4.0 / 5
J. Jones583%2.5 / 3
S. Pollard125%0.5 / 2
J. Edwards0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2377%11.5 / 15
R. Wallace1583%7.5 / 9
T. Prince1341%6.5 / 16
C. Delfino990%4.5 / 5
B. Wallace829%4.0 / 14
C. Arroyo660%3.0 / 5
A. McDyess330%1.5 / 5
L. Hunter213%1.0 / 8
D. Ham2100%1.0 / 1
D. Milicic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
74
+14
-7
88
DET
69
+14
-8
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
103.0
IND 116.0 +10.9
DET 105.2
Pace
89.9
89.5
IND 86.3 +13.1
DET 73.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
IND 16.7 −3.0
DET 19.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
47.2%
IND 50.0% +6.4%
DET 43.6%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
IND 8.9%
DET 8.9%
ORB %
26.5%
31.3%
IND 33.3% +3.3%
DET 30.0%
FTrt
35.8
33.5
IND 40.0
DET 40.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
62.7%
IND 46.9%
DET 57.1% +10.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
IND 6.2% +3.6%
DET 2.6%
BLK %
6.8%
9.4%
IND 7.0%
DET 10.2% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
49.3%
IND 54.0% +5.8%
DET 48.2%
Rim FG%
55.1%
55.5%
IND 63.0% +17.5%
DET 45.5%
Mid FG%
39.5%
39.7%
IND 28.1%
DET 37.1% +9.0%
3P %
34.4%
34.5%
IND 54.5% +16.0%
DET 38.5%
FT %
79.2%
73.9%
IND 85.7% +14.3%
DET 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
35.1%
IND 38.6% +7.1%
DET 31.4%
Mid Att. %
42.1%
48.5%
IND 45.7% −4.3%
DET 50.0%
3P Att. %
25.5%
16.4%
IND 15.7%
DET 18.6% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions8177
Possession Minutes22.525.3
Points9481
Rebounds4036
Assists1516
Steals52
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)24 (4)
Field Goals32-7028-70
At-the-Rim FG17-2710-22
Midrange FG9-3213-35
2-Point FG26-5923-57
3-Point FG6-115-13
Free Throws24-2820-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
35.0
12
33%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-13
23%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 195 · 40
28.6
14
64%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
7-7
100%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 252 · 36
28.2
9
56%
13
0
2
4
0
2
5
8
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
28.1
15
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 30
23.6
12
75%
3
6
0
0
1
5
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28
23.4
10
100%
6
1
0
0
1
4
3
3
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 225 · 26
22.1
8
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
19.0
8
80%
3
0
2
0
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24
15.8
5
83%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30
15.0
1
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
54%
40
15
5
4
7
0
12
28
24-28
86%
26-59
44%
6-11
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.