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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 26, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
35Hornets12%8696
7Grizzlies88%10185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.4
38.5
30.2
19
69%
14
0
1
1
1
1
5
9
3-4
75%
8-12
4-8
67%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.5
35.6
30.3
33
87%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
7-9
4-8
78%
45%
6-9
67%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.8
30.5
29.4
10
40%
13
4
0
0
0
3
5
8
4-10
40%
3-8
4-10
38%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.5
28.0
32.8
3
20%
1
7
5
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-5
4-9
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.1
23.8
27.6
8
33%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-12
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.7
24.2
16.8
10
51%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.9
20.0
9.1
8
58%
2
5
2
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
17.5
16.9
3
52%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
12.4
23.7
2
53%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-4
-
41%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
9.5
15.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.8
9.0
0
1-2
41%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
8.5
0
1-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
40.4
33.7
12
58%
12
0
0
1
2
0
5
7
2-3
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
30.9
25.9
11
45%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
1-4
25%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
30.5
28.0
17
54%
8
1
3
1
0
4
1
7
6-6
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.5
30.3
29.9
9
63%
2
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
5-5
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.1
28.2
32.6
13
49%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.2
22.8
29.7
4
72%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
17.5
20.1
9
80%
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
1
5-6
83%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.8
17.1
20.3
3
22%
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
14.8
13.3
4
34%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 25.3
7.6
6.3
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.8
4.3
0
0-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.