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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 31, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat54%97108
13Pacers46%96114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
47.0
25.8
9
46%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.1
45.0
32.3
24
55%
13
2
1
0
1
5
2
11
2-9
22%
11-18
9-15
61%
57%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.2
44.5
38.6
37
54%
9
6
4
2
0
5
2
7
6-10
60%
11-24
8-16
46%
49%
3-6
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
38.5
30.2
27
97%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
50%
5-5
100%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
21.1
16.4
2
50%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.9
28.8
16.3
2
20%
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36.0
15.4
8.7
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-1
100%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.1
10.8
1.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.8
10.2
20.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.1
3.8
5.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.4
37.2
1
2-5
46%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.7
3.7
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.0
42.3
32.4
29
45%
7
2
1
1
0
4
0
7
5-9
56%
3-17
5-11
18%
46%
6-11
55%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
39.2
29.6
16
62%
3
13
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 39.6
36.6
25.2
31
72%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
8-8
100%
10-15
3-6
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.0
36.1
26.4
13
90%
11
1
0
1
2
1
4
7
5-5
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.1
31.3
17.6
3
34%
7
1
3
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.1
21.5
22.2
9
75%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.9
20.6
30.3
7
51%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.2
18.0
17.2
4
69%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.6
12.9
16.0
0
0%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.5
6.5
15.1
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.1
6.2
0
1-2
45%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.