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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Celtics66%103116
36Hawks34%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.7
34.0
32.3
14
92%
4
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
31.1
34.4
7
35%
7
4
1
1
2
5
0
7
1-2
50%
3-8
6-13
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.2
28.6
21.7
10
50%
3
1
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
27.6
25.7
8
40%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
0-2
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.5
22.6
35.9
17
97%
5
5
1
2
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-3
5-10
67%
48%
3-4
75%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.5
37.3
31.7
36
84%
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
8-10
80%
14-17
5-10
82%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.4
14.9
8.5
6
100%
5
3
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
14.9
17.1
8
50%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.4
14.0
13.8
1
17%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
6.3
2.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.2
5.5
8.5
6
77%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.7
3.3
6.2
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.8
39.8
32.3
26
68%
5
3
2
1
0
2
4
1
11-14
79%
6-9
4-9
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.3
38.9
30.7
16
45%
11
2
1
1
1
1
4
7
2-2
100%
7-16
4-9
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
32.3
25.7
15
40%
7
3
0
1
0
3
3
4
7-9
78%
4-15
5-11
27%
48%
0-0
-
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.6
28.2
17.2
9
51%
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.3
24.3
13.8
4
41%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.2
29.4
22.7
18
48%
5
7
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
23.7
28.9
8
68%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
40%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
8.1
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.3
7.3
6.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.4
4.2
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.6
4.0
10.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.9
25.9
1
4-8
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.