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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 1, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs52%9484
10Nuggets48%93102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
35.7
34.9
17
47%
1
7
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.8
27.5
32.6
2
17%
4
2
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
26.9
29.5
6
43%
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.6
25.9
24.3
7
44%
9
0
2
1
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.7
25.6
29.9
13
49%
9
6
0
2
0
2
4
5
10-12
83%
0-6
4-7
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.3
22.9
25.6
2
16%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 26.4
14.6
9.8
10
47%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
5-6
83%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-5
20%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
14.3
4.4
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
14.1
13.9
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
13.0
15.1
10
60%
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
2-3
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.9
11.4
3.4
6
44%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
8.3
11.8
4
29%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
34.0
27.1
15
52%
10
5
0
1
8
0
3
7
3-3
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
32.9
32.5
12
56%
6
6
1
1
0
4
3
3
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
32.5
31.4
18
50%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
12-14
86%
3-11
5-12
27%
43%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
26.8
20.1
13
49%
7
0
0
1
3
4
0
7
3-3
100%
5-12
3-5
42%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 24.9
19.8
15.1
8
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
52%
2-2
100%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
28.7
27.7
9
44%
7
3
0
1
0
0
4
3
1-3
33%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 28.8
28.3
25.3
23
72%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
7-7
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
2-2
100%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.0
16.6
16.8
4
67%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
12.9
20.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.3
7.5
9.3
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
10.1
0
2-4
47%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.1
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.