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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 2, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
33Bobcats26%9097
27Bulls74%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
37.4
33.0
28
55%
16
1
1
1
5
3
8
8
6-10
60%
11-21
6-14
52%
43%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
33.0
31.2
10
64%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
32.4
31.2
6
23%
2
7
4
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-12
4-10
17%
41%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
18.7
19.2
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
13.4
32.2
4
52%
3
1
0
2
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
26.2
16.0
20
57%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
7-8
88%
5-10
2-5
50%
39%
1-4
25%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
25.9
20.4
13
74%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
5-5
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
18.9
19.2
7
60%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
43%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
18.5
6.0
5
51%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.8
6.7
9.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.2
6.1
20.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
38%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
2.8
4.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
35.0
20.1
22
57%
4
2
0
0
1
2
2
2
6-10
60%
8-15
4-7
53%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
33.5
23.2
17
74%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
39%
3-5
60%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.3
29.2
25.7
15
56%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
25.2
19.1
9
50%
3
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
19.3
30.1
8
58%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.5
35.1
27.2
12
46%
15
3
1
1
0
2
3
12
4-7
57%
4-10
3-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
23.4
11.3
19
114%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
18.4
18.2
8
52%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
12.2
29.3
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-11
25%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.7
8.6
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.0
19.7
1
3-6
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.3
15.1
0
4-6
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.