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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 3, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks58%10180
19Cavaliers42%99100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
40.2
34.4
21
53%
7
3
0
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.1
37.3
32.4
13
50%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
46%
3-7
43%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
32.3
28.9
13
70%
0
1
3
1
0
4
0
0
3-3
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
50%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
22.6
33.8
2
33%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 33.0
12.7
22.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
24.8
22.1
6
31%
6
1
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.4
22.3
17.5
16
64%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.7
19.0
18.8
2
17%
8
0
0
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
14.3
17.3
4
23%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
9.3
14.3
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.8
3.1
3.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
2.1
8.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.3
48.0
41.5
37
64%
10
7
2
2
1
6
2
8
13-13
100%
6-15
8-17
40%
48%
4-8
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
40.6
20.1
14
52%
9
4
2
0
2
2
2
7
1-1
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
45%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.8
37.0
27.0
21
49%
16
4
1
1
2
3
9
7
5-8
63%
8-18
4-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
31.1
20.8
8
54%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-1
0%
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.5
28.3
33.8
6
34%
13
3
3
1
0
1
5
8
2-2
100%
2-8
7-13
25%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.4
21.3
19.8
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
19.7
19.2
9
73%
8
0
0
1
1
1
2
6
3-5
60%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.2
7.9
12.1
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
6.1
11.0
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.4
18.9
0
2-5
45%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.2
9.7
0
1-2
43%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.2
2.6
0
0-1
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.