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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 5, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bulls21%9286
4Heat79%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 25.3
27.9
26.5
14
64%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
27.4
25.8
8
40%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 22.6
24.7
26.5
5
30%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
36%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
16.1
21.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-6
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.0
12.5
2.6
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
30.6
18.1
13
37%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
5-12
2-5
42%
40%
0-4
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 22.5
28.1
29.5
11
60%
8
0
0
1
1
2
5
3
3-5
60%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 30.8
26.6
7.4
9
54%
8
2
1
0
0
2
3
5
3-3
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
26.5
23.1
14
47%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
42%
1-4
25%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
19.7
15.6
8
57%
3
1
3
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
24.9
0
4-9
51%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 22.3
12.2
0
3-5
52%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.5
41.1
24.5
15
57%
8
4
1
1
1
2
0
8
5-7
71%
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
38.8
30.9
16
67%
15
1
1
1
1
1
5
10
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.2
32.9
36.4
39
71%
4
7
1
2
1
6
2
2
13-17
76%
13-18
8-16
72%
49%
0-2
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
32.2
33.3
17
86%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
5-7
71%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.8
20.0
16.9
2
25%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.9
24.1
13.2
6
51%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
24.0
19.9
3
52%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.2
19.1
8.1
6
75%
3
0
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36.0
6.4
7.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27.7
1.4
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.1
34.5
1
10-17
58%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 24.1
7.8
0
1-3
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.